Tuesday, July 28, 2026

The role of racial bigotry and racism in MAGA politics and policy

Context
A NYT Magazine article (not paywalled), What the Crackup of the Heritage Foundation Says About the Post-Trump Right, raises the issue of how and why the GOP radicalized over time. The article reports that after Trump took office in Jan. 2025, Heritage was pushed aside. Heritage was the source of Project 2025 and the still-secret 180-Day Playbook that was given to a few MAGA elites on how to implement Project 2025. After Trump was sworn in, Heritage tried to get back to the center of power, but it sank into a vicious, still ongoing in-house conflict. The old guard of establishment experts were swamped and attacked by a surge of radical younger MAGA authoritarian kleptocrats. Those MAGA operatives are hell-bent on remaking Heritage into their own version of a Trump-style organization. Their tyranny and kleptocracy tactics are (1) being online all the time, (2) being ruthless in fighting culture wars, and (3) vehement in rejecting the dogmas of postwar politics grounded in evidence-based pro-democracy, pro-rule of law conservatism. This new generation of MAGA elites isn't evidence or reason based. It is almost completely wealth and power ideology-based.

That is the tyrannical and corrupt moral rot now taking control of most of America's non-left political universe. As far as these young MAGA crusaders go, things need to get a lot better to attain their vision of what they want Heritage and the GOP to be. These young MAGA elites are waging war on democracy, the rule of law and civil liberties. They want things to get a hell of a lot worse than they are now. MAGA's war isn't remotely close to being over. 


The rise of extremist MAGA authoritarianism & kleptocracy
That's a complicated story. Multiple factors were and still are in play. Factors include elite and social polarization, deeply aggressive and corrupting donor politics, a corrupted rule of law for MAGA-aligned elites and corporations, wage stagnation and inflation with economic pressures, corrupted media ecosystems, and uncompromising GOP institutional hardball. But also among those major factors was and still is immigration. Just beneath the surface intense anger and fear about legal and illegal immigration are powerful emotional drivers of racism and race bigotry.   


Racism and racial bigotry
MAGA demagoguery has played on and enormously amplified bigotry and racism among a minority of Americans, nearly all of whom are aligned with Trump and MAGA authoritarian politics and policy. Racism and racial bigotry are important components of MAGA's wealth and power movement, primarily for culture war extremists. Racial animus helps keeps fear and anger alive for a lot of the rank and file. Some of the elites have the same nasty feelings, mainly those in the Christian nationalist theocrat crowd. Absent religion, most oligarchs and dictators like Trump generally don't care much about immigration, with their focus on wealth and power, not culture war or race. When the autocrats and oligarchs do care about non-white immigration, it is used politically to emotionally mobilize voters, e.g., by fomenting irrational or baseless anger, fear, resentments, feelings of threat or victimhood, etc. 

Trump and allied elites repeatedly use immigration as a political weapon. There is solid evidence that Christian nationalism overlaps with white supremacy and anti-immigrant sentiment. There is a significant Christian theocratic cadre among MAGA elites. Clearly, the issue cannot be reduced to religion alone. Sometimes the elites use immigration and race for public influence to serve their own labor, status, and control goals. Racial culture war goals can thus be secondary.

What appeared to be a significant crystallizing stimulant to racial animus in the MAGA movement was the election and re-election of Obama. That set millions of Americans on edge. To make matters a lot worse, MAGA demagoguery ruthlessly exaggerated racial resentments and fears with and fabricated white threat and victimhood narratives. Empirical evidence from research and reporting consistently link MAGA politics to white grievance, racism, and hostility to immigrants. That is particularly true for the movement’s rank and file. 

The bottom line is that racial animus and Christian nationalist ideology are central to MAGA’s mass politics. Oligarchic and autocratic interests exploit those grievances to consolidate elite (and allied corporate) wealth and power. Thus, not every elite actor is motivated primarily by racism. Even without immigration politics would not vanish absent religion.

Regardless of when Trump exits from politics, the MAGA movement and its element of racial bigotry and racism are not going to go away.

Q: Is racism and racial bigotry a significant factor in the rise of MAGA authoritarianism, or is it trivial or completely non-existent?


Info sources:
Racial resentment fueled Jan. 6 rebellion and opposition to House probe, scholars find -- In their analysis, the resentment syncs with support for former President Donald Trump and a message at the core of his Make American Great Again (MAGA) movement: that white people are unfairly losing out to groups that are getting advantages that they haven’t earned and don’t deserve.


Barack Obama legacy: Did he improve US race relations? -- America's racial problems have not melted away merely because Obama has spent eight years in the White House. Far from it. Indeed, the insurmountable problem for Obama was that he reached the mountaintop on day one of his presidency.

Race and Politics in the Age of Obama -- Race has rarely mattered more in US politics than it does now. The election of President Obama has laid bare the racial divisions that continue to fracture the United States. ..... Many hoped that the election of the first black president of the United States would signal the end to what may rightfully be called the continuing significance of race.

Defining Oligarchy: The Fusion of Wealth and Power in American Democracy -- [Oligarchy] represents a form of governance focused on preserving the political and economic influence of the wealthy by securing the approval of the rest of the population.


How Christian Nationalism Promotes White Supremacy: An Examination of Racial Stereotypes -- Findings suggest Christian nationalism promotes White supremacy more by promoting a higher view of White Americans (the “prototypical Americans”) than promoting a lower view of racial minorities.

MAGA movement - American political movement -- The MAGA movement, often referred to simply as MAGA, or Make America Great Again, was founded on the belief that the United States was once a “great” country but has lost this status owing to foreign influence, both within its borders (via immigration and multiculturalism) and without (via globalization, or the increased integration of multiple national economies)

A systemic approach to the psychology of racial bias within individuals and society -- systemic factors operating across levels — from the interpersonal to the cultural — contribute to the production and reinforcement of racial biases in children and adults. We consider the effects of five systemic factors on racial biases in the USA: power and privilege disparities, cultural narratives and values, segregated communities, shared stereotypes and nonverbal messages.

Research States That Prejudice Comes From a Basic Human Need and Way of Thinking -- prejudice stems from a deeper psychological need, associated with a particular way of thinking. People who aren’t comfortable with ambiguity and want to make quick and firm decisions are also prone to making generalizations about others.


Sunday, July 26, 2026

Update: Trump & global warming

break environmental laws

Trump has repeatedly rejected climate change, calling it a hoax, con job, or a scam. While in office, his administrations have aggressively moved to weaken the EPA and neuter environmental laws and regulations. In essence, environmental laws and regulations are mostly no longer in effect. There is no major enforcement in practical terms. Law and regulation enforcement still exists on paper in a small number of cases. The number of civil lawsuits, inspections, penalties, and prosecutions has fallen sharply to a point that many experts describe enforcement efforts as effectively collapsed, not a functioning enforcement regime.

Targeting endangered species
Trump and MAGA elites also do not care about species going extinct. At present, the greatest threat to animals in the US and globally is habitat destruction. Grasslands are being converted to farms, forests are cut, and wetlands are being drained to build suburbs. That’s the main reason why hundreds of species have been listed under the Endangered Species Act. That law gives federal protection to species that are currently at risk of extinction or are about to be. Well, at least that is what federal law used to do.

A new Trump administration rule says that destroying habitat of federally threatened and endangered species is no longer explicitly illegal. That is the case even if it causes species extinctions. That reverses decades of regulatory precedent and practice. Experts note that Trump’s new rule directly contradicts the intent of the Endangered Species Act. Congress passed that law in 1973 with near-unanimous bipartisan support. Richard Nixon signed the bill into law.

The legality of Trump’s new rule is being challenged in court, but this is another example of the intense hostility that Trump and MAGA elites have for environmental protections and laws. 


Ignoring public opinion
MAGA’s constant hostility toward environmental law and protection is contrary to majority US public opinion. About 66% are worried some or a lot about climate change. But, authoritarians usually don’t care about public opinion. And kleptocrats don’t care about much of anything if it gets in the way of amassing wealth. Public opinion on this issue has little to no impact on Trump and pro-pollution MAGA politics and policy. To limit public disapproval, Trump is hiding as much information related to global warming as possible. 



Info sources: 
Trump wages battle against regulations, not climate change -- Trump's recent decision to pull out of the Paris climate deal was just his latest rapid-fire move to weaken or dismantle federal initiatives to reduce carbon emissions, which scientists say are heating the planet to levels that could have disastrous consequences.

Trump's EPA issues record low legal actions against polluters, watchdog group finds -- Last March, EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin announced plans to target more than two dozen rules and policies, calling it the "most consequential day of deregulation in U.S. history".

Despite What This EPA Says, Enforcement under Trump Has Dropped -- In a press release, the agency claims the results show “the strongest enforcement and compliance results in years.” But three independent groups’ analyses of this report, including the group we represent, paint a much different picture: of a record plunge in the agency’s enforcement of the nation’s laws protecting human health and the environment

Civil Cases Against Major Polluters Plummet Under Trump -- And last week, the E.P.A. said it would rescind the landmark scientific finding that enables the government to regulate the greenhouse gases that are warming the planet.

It’s no longer illegal to destroy the one thing endangered species need most to survive -- Under the new rule, set to take effect in September, “harm” no longer explicitly includes actions that may accidentally or indirectly doom a wildlife population to extinction.

Trump administration rule weakens protections for threatened species --  The Trump administration finalized a major change on Friday to how threatened species ​are considered in agency actions, removing regulatory language aimed at ‌preventing damage to wildlife habitats and drawing a legal challenge.

Climate Change Concern Near Its High Point in U.S. -- In addition to the 44% now worrying a great deal about global warming or climate change, another 22% worry “a fair amount,” while 12% say they worry “only a little” and 23% do not worry at all.

As Trump Administration Purges Climate Data and Web Pages, Research Groups Scramble to Save Information -- The Trump administration has directed federal agency staff to remove climate references and scientific data from many web pages. Researchers are rushing to archive it.

Major climate change reports are removed from U.S. websites -- Legally mandated U.S. national climate assessments seem to have disappeared from the federal websites built to display them, making it harder for state and local governments and the public to learn what to expect in their backyards from a warming world.

Trump Pardons Violators of the Clean Air Act and a Major Donor -- The White House announced on Friday that President Trump had issued pardons to 11 men, most of whom had been convicted of crimes related to the Clean Air Act, a bedrock environmental law.


Saturday, July 25, 2026

Understanding Trump’s primary motives: authoritarianism, vengeance, and grift


By now it is clear and undeniable that Trump’s destructiveness runs deep and broad. Much more than what is needed for him to merely gain wealth and power. Something else is going on beyond mere blind lust for wealth and power.

The evidence so far indicates there are three main drivers or motives for such vast destruction. One is his innate authoritarianism and need for control. The 2nd is a need for personal vengeance against real and imagined wrongs. Last, and overlapping both and unifying his main motives, is his ruthless drive for self-enrichment via any means, including all kinds of grift. Reporting and analyses of his actions in office and explicit statements in Project 2025 make clear that his governing blueprint is aimed at concentrating power in the presidency and special interests. The tactics are standard for modern authoritarians in liberal democracies. Trump weakens checks and balances, attacks opposition and the free press, and politicizes and corrupts democratic institutions and the rule of law. Reliable sources describe this as an assault on democratic guardrails, not just ordinary partisan hardball.

Authoritarianism, specifically an above-the-law dictatorship for himself, is one part of the mindset. Reporting has documented a vast authoritarian war and vengeance campaign against federal employees, prosecutors, universities, law firms, cities, critics, the public interest, and democratic institutions, laws and norms. Trump himself openly frames many of his authoritarian attacks as “retribution”. The dictator demands revenge with his tyrant-level power. That significantly explains why the damage is often excessive. Enemies, real and imagined, are not just defeated in MAGA’s war on democracy and the rule of law. They are humiliated, intimidated, and sometimes made to pay.

On top of tyranny and vengeance, the third primary motive is grift or greed. Trump has repeatedly corrupted public office and political access into a vehicle for his personal enrichment. Watchdogs and news outlets have tracked family-linked profit streams, monetization of the presidency, and a pattern of self-dealing that is far bigger that recent modern politics had allowed. His criminal cases and convictions are relevant as direct evidence of his mindset where rules are obstacles, to be neutered or avoided, but not constraints.

Taken together, these motives make the destructiveness more much more intelligible. Authoritarianism creates destructive machinery, vengeance decides who gets crushed, and grift explains why so much corruption and institutional damage gets tolerated or even encouraged. Trump’s harm is not random at all of one sees those three core motives as primary drivers of Trump politics and policy. So far, what we see from Trump and MAGA politics and policy is a wealth and power project that rewards Trump personally with authoritarian power, satisfaction of retaliation, and wealth extraction all at once. It’s a win-win-win for Trump and his anointed special interest allies and corrupt enablers, but a lose-lose-lose for democracy, the rule of law, personal wealth and freedom, and the public interest.

Q1: If Trump politics and policy are mostly not driven by his lust for anti-democratic dictatorship, personal vengeance and wealth by grift, what are his primary drivers, e.g., defense of democracy, honest, transparent governance, lowering the price of food, gas and rent, stopping illegal immigration, or waging war against liberalism and Democratic Party communism or socialism?

Q2: What is the evidence, if any, that Trump politics and policy are truly driven primarily by defense of democracy, honest, transparent governance, lowering the price of food, gas and rent, stopping illegal immigration, or waging war against liberalism and Democratic Party communism or socialism?

Info sources:

1. Authoritarian Action WatchAuthoritarians use a consistent playbook of seven tactics. We’re tracking how rapidly the use and effectiveness of those tactics is changing in the U.S.

2. Sliding Toward Authoritarianism?The Trump administration has embraced a wide range of authoritarian tactics, policies, and actions that undermine human rights protections as well as many key pillars of US democracy.

3. One Year of Project 2025: 53 Percent of Authoritarian Agenda’s Domestic Policy Recommendations Completed or UnderwayThe administration has used the framework of Project 2025 to consolidate power in those loyal to the president. Federal funding and policy decisions are now designed to punish those who disagree with the administration.

4. Trump’s campaign of retribution: At least 470 targets and countingIn his second term, Donald Trump has turned a campaign pledge to punish political opponents into a guiding principle of governance.

5. Trump promised retribution – how far will he go?in a series of interviews following his May 2024 felony conviction, [Trump] was more blunt. He told television psychologist Dr Phil that “sometimes revenge can be justified” and “revenge does take time”

6. Tracking retaliatory use of arrests, prosecutions, and investigations by the Trump administrationSince Donald Trump returned to the presidency, the Department of Justice has launched numerous investigations and prosecutions against his political opponents – often, but not always, after direct public threats from the president himself. Most of those cases have failed

7. Trump ran on a promise of revenge. He’s making good on it

8. How the Establishment Is Helping Trump’s Revenge-a-thon

9. How Weak Federal Ethics Laws Enable Presidential ProfiteeringSince taking office in January 2025, President Trump has pocketed an estimated $3 billion from his various business enterprises. His family is estimated to have raked in billions more.

10. The Corruption ChroniclesThe scale and severity of Trump’s conflicts of interest has already far outstripped those of his first term.

11. Exposing President Trump’s Pay-to-Play AdministrationThis pay-to-play relationship is a defining feature of how Trump’s second administration is operating, by embracing unprecedented levels of unabashed political corruption. Multimillion dollar checks get political donors appointed to the presidential Cabinet; seven-figure corporate donations are rewarded with support for legislative and policy positions; and hefty inaugural fund donations make federal investigations disappear.


Friday, July 24, 2026

A Trump corruption roundup

It's time for another update on how Trump’s crime business operations are doing. Enquiring minds want to know. Bottom line, they’re doing extremely well.

That aint gonna happen under Trump
He is Americas Swamp Filler-in-Chief


Pilfering from Venezuela
One article, Trump Hit With Demand for Answers Over $13B Secret (and this), reports that about $13 billion collected by the US government from Venezuelan oil sales has "disappeared" somehow. Who controls that money and where it went has not been made public. Given Trump’s rock solid track record of shameless corruption, it is reasonable to believe that Trump or his family or allies have siphoned off a at least few billions of that, with most of it secretly falling under Trump’s control. Trump claims the money is controlled by Venezuela, but we all know he is a chronic liar in addition to being a thief.

That speculation could be mostly or completely wrong. However, in view of his track record of corruption the burden of proof is in Trump himself to prove he hasn’t stolen some or all of that loot. That’s the rational thing to believe in view of all available evidence. 

One can also wonder why the US government, or MAGA thieves, collect money from Venezuelan oil sales. That’s another MAGA corruption mystery.

Corporate pardons for sale
In an unusually creepy and corrupt move, Trump has started issuing pardons for crimes by sleazy corporations. The “reasoning” is that since corporations are people, they can be pardoned too! Makes perfect sense.  /s

 An article, Trump Invents the Corporate Pardon, points out that corporate personhood dates back to a USSC headnote in an 1886 lawsuit. There, the high court, in its infallible wisdom, hinted in Santa Clara County v. Union Pacific Railroad that corporations were covered by the Fourteenth Amendment’s guarantee of equal protection under the law. That was in a headnote, not the holding of the case. But because kleptocrats, oligarchs, oligarchy, wealth and power all love the idea of civil liberties applying to corporations, the concept has somehow morphed into a legal precedent.  

Remember Mitt Romney’s famous 2011 battle cry, “Corporations are people, my friend”. So there you have it, my friends. Reporting such as, The Most Corrupt Presidency in American History, by the Numbers, reminds us that Trump's pardons of human criminals as of last March included forgiveness of over $2 billion in fines and crime victim restitutions.

Anyway, the reporting notes that Trump has turned the presidential pardon into a tool for corporate clemency, including pardoning a corporation itself. He has granted nine corporate pardons, wiping out about $200 million in fines, with roughly half of that tied to BitMEX, arguably a corrupt bitcoin corporation. Secrecy and opacity are standard operating procedures for Trump and MAGA elites. The crypto industry staunchly supports Trump, and he staunchly supports crypto. This reeks of large-scale grifting and corruption.

Note that as has been the case for Trump’s pardons of criminals, his pardons of corporations wipe out culpability not only for crimes, but also for fines and restitution to victims the courts impose. Trump let BitMEX off the hook for $200 million. One has to wonder how much of that flows directly or indirectly, secretly back to Trump.  


More crypto and crime shenanigans
In other reporting, US to Drop Charges for Alleged $722 Million Crypto Fraudster, Trump shows his support for crypto criminals. DOJ leaders are going to drop charges against Matthew Goettsche, the alleged mastermind of a $722 million crypto Ponzi scheme. That comes in 2026 after a 2019 indictment that had been slowly headed toward trial at the usual leisurely federal court pace. The DOJ dropping the case comes after Trump’s stopping enforcement of crypto crime laws. Not surprisingly, Goettsche’s lawyers had connections to the Trump administration while lobbying Trump’s DOJ for relief from prosecution.

As this reporting indicates, Trump Justifies Money Made as President With Inaccurate Claims. Trump falsely says the $2 billion he grifted during his second term was due to a hot stock market. He also lied when he said that he is the only president to donate his salary -- two others have done so before him. As usual for a shameless liar and crook, he rejects any notion of impropriety. He says he is just an honest guy doing honest work protecting us from criminals, thieves and all sorts of miscreants. 

Note that he is a proven chronic liar, so that can be taken with a block of salt. One report summarizes the situation like this: “here we are in Trump's second term, so overwhelmed by dodgy-sounding deals that any attempt to measure or characterize the scope of corruption can seem preemptively futile. The numbers are too big, the conflicts too brazen, the examples too numerous”.

That sounds about right.

Q1: Does the public record contain enough evidence of corruption, concealment, and incentive structures, e.g., a corrupted rule of law and a corrupted USSC, to justify a presumption of bad faith and corruption by Trump and MAGA elites? 

Q2: Is demanding disclosure, tracing money flows, and assuming that the absence of transparency is the primary means that Trump uses to get his bribes and payoffs, legal or not?**

** Lest we forget, in practice it isn’t illegal for Trump to take bribes and payoffs. The USSC has made damned sure that Trump is protected from liability for his crimes in office. In theory maybe some of it is illegal. But in practice under MAGA’s pro-corruption laws and MAGA’s corrupted DOJ and FBI, the reality is that Trump is not going to be prosecuted for any federal crimes he is involved in. That’s probably the sad case for as long as he lives.

The Symposium of Silicon (Satire)

 

The Symposium of Silicon

A dialogue in the manner of Plato, wherein SOCRATES finds himself, inexplicably, at a dinner party of tech oligarchs


PERSONS OF THE DIALOGUE: Socrates, Musk, Thiel, Karp, Altman, Huang

The scene: a rooftop in Palo Alto. Wine is served in glasses shaped like rocket boosters. SOCRATES has arrived believing he was invited to discuss the nature of justice.


SOCRATES: Friends, I confess confusion. I came expecting a discussion of the just city, and instead I find you speaking of robots, gods, and something called "abundance." Perhaps we might begin simply — Musk, you spoke first. What is this AGI of which you speak?

MUSK: Socrates, imagine — no, you cannot imagine, that's the point — imagine a civilization where the difference between man and machine is as the difference between a chimpanzee and a man. We will be the chimpanzees, Socrates. Contentedly swinging in our trees. Eating our bananas. It will be wonderful.

SOCRATES: I see. And in this arrangement, who governs the chimpanzee?

MUSK: No one need govern anyone! Money will not exist. You simply have anything you think of.

SOCRATES: Anything?

MUSK: Anything.

SOCRATES: Suppose I think of your rocket company.

MUSK: (pause) Well, obviously there are edge cases.

THIEL: (interrupting, softly, as though revealing a secret) Socrates, may I speak plainly? What Elon describes as utopia I recognize as something far graver. When men promise universal comfort, universal safety, one world without want — this is not the coming of God, Socrates. This is the coming of the Antichrist.

SOCRATES: The Antichrist... offers abundance?

THIEL: Precisely his disguise! Peace and safety, Socrates — that is his slogan. Beware any man who promises you will never want again.

SOCRATES: Then you disagree with Musk.

THIEL: Entirely. Although I find his company's valuation quite sound.

MUSK: Peter, you invested in Palantir. You cannot possibly believe civilization needs saving while also insisting on backyard tomatoes for all.

THIEL: I contain multitudes, Elon.

KARP: (standing abruptly, wine sloshing) Gentlemen, GENTLEMEN. While you debate gardens of paradise, the actual battlefield awaits. Socrates — you ask what governs the chimpanzee. I will tell you: whoever controls the targeting software.

SOCRATES: You speak of war, then, not abundance.

KARP: I speak of avoiding war, Socrates, by developing weapons so terrifying that our adversaries dare not test us. This is peace through unspeakable technological menace. It is, in its way, quite beautiful.

SOCRATES: Menace... as peace.

KARP: You would understand if you had read more Heidegger.

SOCRATES: I confess I have read some Heidegger, and I do not recall him claiming technology as a means to "peace" but rather violence. 

KARP: He was speaking allegorically, he meant both. Menace as peace. (Socrates  begins to interject but Altman rises, and signals everyone, in a drab , understated mon otone voice:

ALTMAN: (gently but gesturing as a teacher might to a pack of arguing children) Hey, simmer down with all the dramatics and high fellutin name checking..We at OpenAI foresee a more prosaic and  gentle singularity. A soft landing. Prosperity, broadly distributed —

SOCRATES: Distributed how?

ALTMAN: Through mechanisms we're still finalizing.

SOCRATES: I see. And did you not once say this same technology carried grave risk of extinguishing mankind entirely?

ALTMAN: I did say that, yes.

SOCRATES: And now?

ALTMAN: Now I say prosperity. The facts remain identical; only my emphasis has evolved.

SOCRATES: Remarkable. In Athens we call a man who reverses his position without new evidence inconsistent. What do you call it here?

ALTMAN: Iteration.

MUSK: Speaking of extinction — I should mention, there remains perhaps a ten to twenty percent chance the robots simply kill everyone.

SOCRATES: Wait — this abundance you promised, it coexists with a one-in-five chance of annihilation?

MUSK: Of course. But consider the alternative — the heat death of the universe! Everything ends eventually, Socrates. So really it's about enjoying the ride.

SOCRATES: You would board a rocket with a twenty percent chance of exploding?

MUSK: Yes, obviously.

SOCRATES: Would you board it twice?

MUSK: (long pause) ...I have people for that.

HUANG: (raising a glass shaped like a graphics card) If I may lighten the mood — the important thing, Socrates, is simply that everyone buy more chips. Whether the future holds utopia or terminators, both futures require enormous quantities of chips. In this sense I am agnostic, and also extremely well-positioned.

SOCRATES: You have no view on which future arrives?

HUANG: I have a view on quarterly guidance.

SOCRATES: (to the group) Friends, let me attempt to summarize, that I might understand you rightly. Musk foresees a garden of infinite plenty, shadowed by a one-in-five chance of robotic apocalypse, which does not trouble him because the universe ends anyway. Thiel foresees the same plenty as the mask of a cosmic evil, unrelated to his own considerable stake in weapons software. Karp foresees permanent war-readiness as a form of peace. Altman foresees prosperity whose mechanism he cannot yet specify, having previously foreseen doom whose mechanism he also could not specify. And Huang foresees whichever future requires him to sell the most chips, which is to say, both.

ALL: Yes, essentially.

SOCRATES: Then it seems to me none of you are describing the future at all.

THIEL: What do you mean?

SOCRATES: I mean you are describing yourselves. Karp sells deterrence, and so he sees a world requiring deterrence. Musk sells rockets and now robots, and so he sees a world made safe by both, and enjoyable regardless. Altman sells a company whose worth depends on prosperity being imaginable, and so it is imaginable, until it is not, and then it is again. You have each mistaken your ledger for a prophecy.

KARP: That is a very reductive reading of extremely sophisticated geopolitical analysis.

SOCRATES: Perhaps. Tell me this, then, since you are all so certain: has any one among you changed your forecast because of new evidence, or only when your company changed its needs?

(A long silence. Someone's phone buzzes with a stock alert. No one answers.)

MUSK: Socrates, I don't think you understand exponential curves.

SOCRATES: I do not, friend. But I understand a merchant praising his own wares as the will of the gods, and I have understood it since long before your grandfather's grandfather learned to write. The costume changes. The performance does not.

(He rises to leave. Thiel begins quoting Girard to no one in particular. Karp is already on his phone with a general. Altman is drafting a blog post titled "Reflections." Musk has started talking about Mars again, then stops, remembering it is currently unfashionable, and pivots smoothly back to abundance. Huang refills everyone's glass.)

SOCRATES: (to himself, departing) And they say philosophy died with hemlock. It seems it merely changed its business model.

Thursday, July 23, 2026

Joining with fighters defending democracy, the rule of law and civil liberties

The Trump/MAGA imbalance: not much good, overwhelming bad

Nowadays, it is very important to pay specific attention to the intentional damage to America’s D-RL-CL (democracy, rule of law, civil liberties) that Trump, MAGA elites, and their politics and policy have caused. So far, the breadth and depth of accumulated damage is enormous. The damage is truly heart-breaking. We have lost so much that was good since Trump came on the scene in 2016, when he energized the forces of aggressive authoritarianism and corruption. Although a precise number is impossible to assign to the analysis, the effects of Trump/MAGA elites on American D-RL-CL have been maybe ~90% bad and ~10% good since 2016 when Trump came on the scene. The ~10% good is almost completely in the form of indirect reactions that Trump and MAGA elites have triggered in people alarmed by MAGA’s toxic, aggressive politics and policy. That good amounts to resistance to MAGA authoritarianism and kleptocracy, after Trump and MAGA exposed ghastly weaknesses in our D-RL-CL. That created fear that convinced a lot of people and institutions to organize seriously in defense of our beleaguered D-RL-CL. Multiple indicators show a decline in the health of America’s democracy in 2025The assessments come as most Americans say democracy in the United States used to be a good example for other countries to follow but has not been in recent years; Understanding democratic decline in the United StatesThe United States is experiencing two major forms of democratic erosion in its governing institutions: election manipulation and executive overreach; Legal experts say rule of law has hit its lowest point in a decade; ACLU 2025 Annual ReportIn 2025, the Trump administration has shown extraordinary hostility toward our First Amendment freedoms. Attacks on free speech are a hallmark of authoritarianism; Civicus Monitor Watchlist —  In the first six months of President Donald Trump’s second term, authorities have escalated suppression of protesters through military deployments, targeted journalists, criminalised dissent, and undermined civil society through legislative and financial restrictions. The USA, once a global champion of democracy and civic freedoms, joins the latest Watchlist along with Kenya, El Salvador, Indonesia, Serbia, and Turkey.

Yes, looking for and understanding MAGA’s damage is a scary, sad activity. Doing that requires a person to put some effort into understanding what is actually going on. The MSM does a piss-poor job of connecting MAGA’s authoritarianism and corruption dots for us, grade of F. The MSM’s shockingly bad job arguably amounts to complicity with Trump and MAGA. It’s been that way since 2016. The MSM never had a handle on Trump or America’s radical right authoritarianism. The MSM still underestimates the depth, power, and aggressiveness of radical right American authoritarianism and corruption. How The Media Failed In Covering Donald Trump; Media “Failings” In Covering Trump; In Trump 2.0, MAGA-aligned influencers and media emerge as the new mainstreamThere’s an argument to be made that they’re not influencers, they’re propagandists; Why is Trump coverage so feeble?You simply cannot cover Trump’s second term accurately and responsibly if you are not willing to situate his acts as part of a terrifying descent into authoritarianism, racism, and cruelty. And the mainstream political media – for a variety of reasons — is not willing to do anything of the kind. Rather than speaking truth to power, they have become stenographers with amnesia, hiding the truth through the use of anodyne adjectives, convoluted phrasing and buried leads

That’s all water under the bridge. Our sordid past can’t be undone.

Joining with patriots and freedom fighters

There are pockets of resistance to MAGA tyranny and corruption. Their successes tend to be small and mostly invisible due to lack of MSM and MAGA media coverage. Little things usually don’t make for profitable news reporting, and for MAGA media, inconvenient things usually aren’t reported at all.

Here are some groups that worried D-RL-CL defenders can contact and offer support in money or time.

Democracy Forward: Uses litigation and policy work to challenge illegal executive actions and defend what is left of our collective power.

Democracy 2025: A coalition hub connecting 700+ pro-democracy organizations. It invites people to sign up, donate, or partner with the coalition.

Protect Democracy: Focuses on free and fair elections, stopping consolidation of authoritarian power, and collective action. It offers action steps like poll-working and election-related engagement.

ACLU: A major civil-liberties organization that engages in election safeguarding, volunteer training, and litigation programs.

Human Rights First / Democracy Watch: Tracks rights-crushing legislation and organizes response and opposition efforts.

ACLU’s election safeguarding initiative: A particularly good fit for people who want a direct volunteer pathway tied to the 2026 midterms.

Americans United for Separation of Church and State: A well-known pro-democracy, church-state separation group.

Interfaith Alliance: A faith-based democracy and pluralism organization.

One approach is to split support for one litigation group (the 1st three listed), a voting-rights group (2nd three), and a coalition or local civic group (last three). That gives support for defenses against immediate authoritarian and kleptocrat abuses and a support for longer-term democratic infrastructure defense.

Democratic Party: Despite being generally clueless, flawed, cautious, and compromised, it still is one of the few large-scale organizations still organizing mostly in defense of democracy, elections, voting rights, checks and balances, anti-corruption law, and defense of civil liberties. Like it or not, the Dems are the biggest, most powerful thing we have left defending D-RL-CL. Bad as Dem elites are, they’re far better than the corrupted, authoritarian elite Repubs.

Q: If Trump and MAGA elites, with their policies, politics and tactics have been more good than bad for D-RL-CL, exactly what are the good things that rationally flip the Trump/MAGA assessment from almost all bad to mostly good?

Sunday, July 19, 2026

USSC attacks congressional power and the public interest

Most headlines about Landor v. Louisiana Department of Corrections and Public Safety say the Supreme Court denied a Rastafarian prisoner damages after guards forcibly shaved his dreadlocks in violation of his faith. That’s the facts, but it’s only the surface story that most of the MSM is reporting. Most of the MSM is ignoring the far more important flow of power context. This June 23, 2026 decision is far more important than those facts alone. This decision in Landor is really about (1) gutting Congress’s ability to enforce federal conditions on spending federal money, and (2) gutting civil rights for people affected by federal spending conditions that require respect for people's civil liberties. US Supreme Court won't let Rastafarian man shaved bald in prison sue guardsThe Supreme Court Deals Major Blow to Congressional Authority -- In one devastating ruling, the Republican justices disempower ordinary citizens and their elected representatives. ..... with time, the ruling may prove far more disastrous and far-reaching, unleashing illegal behavior that both Congress and the victims are powerless to preventLandor v. Louisiana Department of Corrections and Public Safety (2026) -- Although the federal government had the right to attach strings to aid that it provided, any conditions had to be clearly established and agreed to as they would be in most contracts. Although the prisons that had accepted aid had agreed to the conditions Congress had imposed under RLUIPA, their employees had not and were hence not liable. 

Under the Religious Land Use and Institutionalized Persons Act (RLUIPA), Congress promised “appropriate relief” when prisons violate religious rights. For decades, courts treated that kind of statutory language as enforceable creating rights, including enforcement of spending‑clause programs like Medicaid, nursing‑home protections and prisons. In Landor, the 6–3 MAGA majority written by the authoritarian kleptocrat Gorsuch changed that. Now, federal spending‑clause statutes are just contracts with states, not “laws” that individuals can enforce against state officials. This lands a massive blow to Congressional power because it severs civil rights from remedies to enforce those rights. The MAGA judges have been planning this kind of authoritarian attack for some time now. LANDOR v. LOUISIANA DEPARTMENT OF
CORRECTIONS AND PUBLIC SAFETY ET AL. -- Held: Individuals may not be held liable in their personal capacities under a Spending Clause statute unless those individuals have voluntarily and knowingly consented to answer lawsuits under the statute; because the individual defendants in this case did not voluntarily and knowingly consent to face RLUIPA liability in an agreement with the federal government, Mr. Landor’s case cannot proceed against themSpending Programs and the New Roberts Court -- The Supreme Court is poised to place new limits on Congress’s spending power at the urging of states vying for regulatory dominance, particularly in health care and public health. .....  Congress may not choose to work more with states if the spending power becomes harder to exercise; and, states depend on federal funding for the safety net’s fiscal stability. Also, federal spending has often protected civil rights, so limits on spending programs may contribute to retrenchment.New Rule: Spending Clause Statutes Cannot Impose Personal-Capacity Damages Liability on Nonconsenting State Employees

Mainstream coverage mostly misses this. Most MSM reporting frame Landor as a narrow question about whether a mistreated prisoner can sue his guards for money, emphasizing the egregious facts and the culture‑war angle around religious liberty. Some highlights the contradiction with the Court’s broader campaign to expand religious‑liberty claims, but still treats the case largely as a doctrinal oddity in that field. The result is fact‑accurate but context‑empty reporting that leaves readers thinking Landor is a one‑off injustice instead of a major shift in federalism and civil‑rights enforcement. The Supreme Court’s campaign to expand religious liberty now has a glaring exception; Supreme Court Bars Lawsuit After Prison Guards Shaved Inmate’s Dreadlocks -- Damon Landor, a Rastafarian, tried to sue Louisiana prison officials for violating his religious rights

The main, under-reported impact is on power. Congress uses conditional spending to enforce civil‑rights and social‑welfare protections in the public interest. That includes Medicaid patient rights, nursing‑home standards, nondiscrimination rules in education and health care, and protections baked into environmental cooperative‑federalism regimes like the Clean Air Act. When private enforcement is taken away from injured people, their “remedy” becomes federal agencies cutting off or threatening funds. That is no remedy at all. The HHS itself has said cutting funding is politically implausible, usually harmful to the people Congress meant to protect. Landor shifts serious power from Congress and individual beneficiaries to state governments and the organized interests that dominate state policy, e.g., hospital chains, insurers, fossil‑fuel businesses, charter‑school advocates, and utility giants. The Spending Power and Environmental Law after Sebelius -- The review sheds light not only on environmental law after Sebelius, but also the many other realms of American governance that engage spending power bargaining, such as public education, civil rights law, social service programs, and civic infrastructure. The Article concludes that the impacts of the doctrine will be most palpable not in litigation but in the dynamics of intergovernmental bargaining. States will have more leverage when negotiating design and enforcement terms within spending-power partnershipsFederalism by Waiver after the Health Care Case -- But the Court’s Spending Clause ruling will have potentially an even more far-reaching effect on the constitutionality of other federal statutes enacted pursuant to Congress’s spending power, as states will be prompted to challenge other conditional-spending laws in the education, social welfare, environmental, and civil rights areas as unconstitutionally coercive 

In a normal constitutional order, that would be bad enough. In a political environment where the MAGA movement and its allies are openly hostile to voting rights, equal protection, and independent law enforcement, disabling Congress’s main enforcement tool for civil rights, health care, and environmental protections takes on a different character. It gives state‑level actors aligned with authoritarianism and special interest demands much more room to violate federal spending conditions with impunity. Violators of the law can be confident that neither Washington nor individual plaintiffs can predictably hold them to account. 

Fundamentally, Landor is authoritarian and kleptocratic even though it’s dressed up in contract‑law jargon. Authoritarian, because it concentrates power in less accountable state institutions and a Supreme Court majority that is systematically obliterating space for democratic lawmaking and rights enforcement. Kleptocratic, because the beneficiaries of weakened enforcement are not “the people” but entrenched economic interests that profit when civil‑rights, health‑care, and environmental conditions are treated as optional rather than obligatory. The MSM sells the Landor decision to the public as a tragic but technical dispute about a prisoner’s dreadlocks. In reality, the decision is a major step in dismantling Congress’s capacity to protect the public interest. Special interests[1] win, we lose.


Footnote:
1. Special interests include state governments. By contrast with the federal government, it is usually easier for special interests to capture and corrupt state governments. About 85% of public‑corruption convictions in the US are the result of federal prosecutions, not state or local cases. That suggests states do little to prosecute corruption by their own state and local officials. In effect states acquiesce to federal dominance in corruption enforcement. State governments are, on average, easier targets for corrupt networks than the federal government because federal prosecutors and national media often uncover and punish state‑level corruption. Now the government is neutered by MAGA anti-government and anti-rule of law politics and policy. 

Saturday, July 18, 2026

Trump's lies about election interference by China and the deep state

page 26 of 37
"IC Mainline Judgments: Beijing has not deployed influence efforts 
intended to change the outcome of the US presidential election" 
Influence  interference


On July 16, Trump have a highly publicized prime time speech to reveal huge evidence of massive election vote and voter fraud. As expected, his speech consisted of a pack of unsubstantiated lies, falsehoods and bizarre crackpottery. Trump prominently blamed China and the evil Deep State for shocking vulnerabilities in American voting systems and vote counts. But neutral assessments of the documents he released (available at this link) show that his allegations were false, unsubstantiated and/or idiotic. The documents again show that Russia tried real hard to get Trump elected, but there's nothing of substance about China or any alleged American Deep State fraud. Not much new information was released.

Some analysist assert that Trump's obvious goal is to set the stage for him to directly intervene in and subvert the 2026 mid-term elections.   

Q: Is Trump's allegations credible in view of the contrary evidence in the documents he says proves his story, or is he as usual just a morally rotten dictator lying to the American people?

Info sources: 
Trump Just Did More Damage to American Elections Than China -- ..... what these documents discuss are influence operations—propaganda, proxies who speak for foreign interests, fake stories, and so on—rather than interference, which would involve actual manipulation of data or sabotaging of electoral infrastructure. These classified revelations, despite Trump’s assertions, show that the intelligence community didn’t even agree that China was fully engaged even in these more limited influence operations.

The Documents Trump Declassified To Blame China For The 2020 Election… Actually Show Russia Was The One Meddling For Him -- At a fundamental level, none of it makes sense. He’s focused on the 2020 election, when HE was in charge of the government. Assuming that there really was a huge foreign effort then, wouldn’t it have also worked in 2024 when Trump won, but Biden was president?

Trump Accidentally Proves That Putin Did Help Him Run for President -- Among the newly declassified intelligence documents Trump released Thursday are assessments that the Russian president and senior Russian officials directed proxy efforts to spread allegations about Joe Biden and Burisma, ..... orchestrate a corruption scandal against the Democratic nominee, and “ensure the President’s victory,” a reference to Trump, who was the incumbent at the time.

Trump Election Documents Reveal China, Russia Targeted Joe Biden -- A Newsweek review of the documents posted on the White House’s website found no evidence supporting Trump's claim that foreign interference or fraud had altered the outcome of any election, including the 2020 presidential election.

‘Trump Is Trying to End Our Democracy’: Alarm as President Attacks Elections Ahead of Midterms -- Trump, who has said his administration should “take over” US elections that are currently run by states, asserted in his speech that the American voting system was “left vulnerable to being rigged and stolen” by his political enemies and accused China of “illicit acquisition of 220 million US voter files” in an effort to undermine him.

Thursday, July 16, 2026

Trump's damage to the US nationally and internationally

International relations
A Foreign Affairs magazine article, The World Is Giving Up on America, summarizes reasons that our allies and some other nations now have negative opinions of the US government, its trustworthiness, and its disrespect for personal freedoms. Foreign nations that Trump has threatened and insulted are undergoing a slow process of de-coupling from American entanglements when possible. A 36 nation survey found that solid majorities (correctly) believe that the US government does not respect the personal freedoms of its people. 


Biden was viewed more positively than Trump, and approval of the United States’ approach to world affairs and its respect for individual liberties at home, returned or nearly returned to pre-Trump levels in many countries during his presidency. That has reversed since Trump took office in Jan. 2025. Foreign publics mostly disapprove of Trump’s approach to immigration, trade, climate policies, international relations and military interventions. Allies no longer trust the US to be a reliable partner for addressing major international problems.


Foreign public opinion is generally not far out of synch with majority US public opinion on the same issues.



Economic impacts
Loss of trust and dislike of Trump and his politics is starting to generate significant economic losses. There are measurable economic costs from reduced tourism and exports, higher risk assessments on US assets, increased macro‑uncertainty, and damage to the “safe haven” status of the US economy. Cost estimates range from tens of billions of dollars annually to significantly more. Damage has negatively affected both growth and borrowing costs. 


Info sources: 

The biggest economic risk from Donald Trump’s presidency is a loss of confidence in US governance -- Trump’s economic policies may prove surprisingly benign in the short term. But steps that undermine domestic US institutions and international alliances would do serious and lasting damage.

The World Is Cutting Ties With America. It’s Already Costing Us. -- As Mr. Trump muses about making Canada a 51st state, it has embarked on a “new strategic partnership” with China, opened its market for the first time to 50,000 Chinese electric vehicles and joined a more than $150 billion European defense fund aimed at breaking the dependency on the American defense industry.




Wednesday, July 15, 2026

AI & The Human Commons

 


AI and the Human Commons: Toward a Sustainable Ecosystem
An Interdependent System, Not a Mirror
Ask an AI to summarize the causes of World War II, and you'll likely get back a competent textbook paragraph. Ask it instead to explore what Europe might look like today if Germany had won the war and a captured Alan Turing had been forced to invent the internet under house arrest in 1950, and something radically different happens . Philip K. Dick built an entire novel, The Man in the High Castle, out of standard alternate-history speculation. What the machine executes here, however, is a raw, multi-variable collision of distinct datasets. Readers have always found alternate-history thought experiments strangely compelling—they demand a creative recombination that straight narration does not. What's new is the machine's participation in that process. By pattern-matching across a vast archive of historical and biographical detail, an AI can surface combinations of consequence and contingency that no single human would likely generate alone. The human, in turn, supplies the judgment, plausibility checks, and interpretive frame that turn those combinations into something meaningful. That difference—between a machine that only answers and one that generates something that can be interpreted as genuinely new and meaningful content—is, in large part, what this essay is about: not what AI can do on its own, but how deeply human judgment and machine combinatorics have come to depend on each other.
AI is often discussed as if the central question is whether machines are becoming intelligent in some deep, almost metaphysical sense. A more useful question is what kind of ecosystem human beings and AI systems form together, and whether that ecosystem is sustainable or self-consuming.
Like an ecosystem, AI and the human production of knowledge are interdependent in ways not immediately obvious. AI's replies are only as rich as the human material behind them . When we get an answer that feels genuinely useful or interpretable, it ultimately traces back to our contemporaries or predecessors in culture—Reddit threads, newspapers, novels, scientific papers, ordinary conversation. Pattern-matching algorithms without human creations behind them have nothing to match against.
But this isn't the same as saying AI merely mirrors us, or that it's a "stochastic parrot" endlessly recombining prior phrases into statistically likely imitations. Both tropes miss something important. When an AI system answers an idiosyncratic prompt by pattern-matching across an enormous, idiosyncratic corpus, it can surface combinations that never existed anywhere before—not in the corpus, not latent in the user's mind. That's genuine combinatorial novelty, not reflection and not imitation. Much of ordinary AI use is still routine: ask about a historical event and you'll likely get back something close to a standard textbook account .That's fine, and common.
But it isn't the limit of what these systems do. Whether navigating the semantic landscape of a historical counterfactual or the physical constraints of structural biology, the underlying engine remains identical: the machine maps a mathematical trajectory through the vast variables of latent space. AlphaFold's protein structure predictions weren't retrievals of known folds; they were novel combinatorial outputs, later confirmed empirically and taken up by biochemists as genuinely new, usable knowledge. Scientists now hope for something similar in tracing the causes of diseases. In each case, the novelty only becomes an idea, a fact, a usable proposition in the world once a competent interpreter—a chemist, a researcher, a reader—takes it up and makes something of it. Novelty here is always relational: novel relative to a competent interpretive community, not novelty in some free-standing sense the machine achieves on its own.
Distributive Agency
This is what makes the whole picture ecological, and also what makes it a complex adaptive system rather than a simple tool-and-user relationship. Following John Dewey's account of organism-environment transactions, the human-AI exchange is the relevant unit within which new meaning is achieved. Neither end alone—not the machine, not the human—suffices to produce it. The human must interpret; that's one half of the interdependence.
But there's a second half, easy to miss. Even an AI system considered "in isolation," with no live user at all, is already in an interdependent relation with the human archive: the vast set of traces of past purposive human agency—the Reddit posts, novels, arguments, corrections—that make up its training data. So there's no such thing as an AI system that becomes autonomous simply because no live human is watching. When agentic systems run unsupervised, sending emails or triggering workflows with minimal oversight, they aren't escaping interdependence; they're relying on a thinner version of the same interdependence, with the live interpretive partner swapped out for a fossilized, archival one and no fresh correction happening in real time. What looks like machine autonomy is actually agency distributed across algorithm and archive, just with the feedback loop degraded.
Call this a model of distributive agency: agency located in the relation between human and machine, not in either pole alone. This borrows structure from actor-network theory's (ANT) insight that agency can be distributed across a network, but it departs from ANT in an important way. Only humans, given the technology we currently have, contribute the purposive and interpretive moments; the AI contributes combinatorial and generative capacity, not purposiveness or interpretation of its own.
The Commons Under Pressure
That human archive functions as a genuinely scarce resource, not unlike oil: valuable because it can't be manufactured after the fact, and because it's the byproduct of purposive human agency, which nothing else currently produces. This isn't just a metaphor anymore. Reddit's unpolished, argumentative, idiosyncratic posts have become valuable enough that Google and OpenAI have each paid tens of millions of dollars a year to license them, with Reddit disclosing over $200 million in data-licensing revenue. Companies are buying up Reddit's archives the way developers buy up scarce coastal real estate—because supply is fixed and everyone can see where it's headed. Indeed, the Stanford 2026 AI Index Report explicitly notes that leading AI researchers have raised structural alarms that the available pool of high-quality human text and web data for training models has been largely exhausted, entering a state often referred to as "peak data". High-quality human text is increasingly diluted by AI-generated "slop." Whether or not that's precisely true, it names something real: pre-2022 human data is a finite resource that current systems depend on and cannot regenerate on their own.
We now have an empirical name for what happens when that resource stops being replenished: model collapse. Research by Ilia Shumailov et al., published in Nature (2024), demonstrated that when successive generations of models are trained recursively on AI-generated rather than human-generated text, the systems experience a degenerative process. They lose the rare, nuanced, "long-tail" information that made the original human data valuable, rapidly converging instead toward a narrower, blander, and low-variance approximation of reality. While subsequent computer science research shows this isn't an iron law—mixing in enough real data can buffer the erosion—the underlying mechanism holds true: synthetic regeneration degrades exactly the features hardest to produce and most distinctive of purposive thought. Model collapse, in plainer terms, is what happens when a system stops replenishing its archive with traces of purposive human agency and instead recycles its own output.
A related pattern shows up at the level of platforms rather than data: "enshittification," Cory Doctorow's term for how online platforms decay once they shift from serving users, to serving business customers, to serving only themselves. Doctorow doesn't frame it this way, but it's a corollary of the same underlying dynamic, visible at a different scale—both describe systems once sustained by something freely given (user goodwill in one case, purposive human text in the other) being drawn down for short-term extraction until the whole environment degrades from within.
Where Purposive Agency Comes From
This raises a deeper question: how did rich, purposive human text get into the archive to begin with? Here John Dewey and Michael Tomasello, both deeply ecological thinkers, do essential work. Dewey treated inquiry as active and iterative, not a fixed possession—exercised, tested against consequences, strengthened or weakened by practice, much like a virtue. Tomasello's empirical work on shared attention, cooperation, and joint intentionality traces how humans become capable of meaningful communication at all: not through raw computation, but through social participation and correction. Crucially, Tomasello's comparative work also shows that even intelligent great apes don't engage in the kind of non-instrumental, cooperative play human toddlers do—kicking a ball for hours with no extrinsic purpose. That capacity for shared, purposeless cooperation appears to be a precondition for the normative, belief- and desire-laden minds that eventually produce purposive language.
Read together, Dewey and Tomasello explain why the archive was valuable material in the first place: it's the residue of embodied, socially formed, purposive agency—people genuinely working something out, disagreeing, revising. That's exactly what degrades first under model collapse, and exactly what "atrophies" when human users lean on labor-saving shortcuts instead of doing the interpretive work themselves.
Two Kinds of Use
Some uses of AI save labor; others intensify it. Labor-saving use reduces human effort and promises convenience. Labor-intensive use makes the user think, check, revise, and interpret more. Given the distributive-agency picture above, this distinction carries real weight: labor-intensive use is the human half of the transaction that turns combinatorial novelty into a genuine idea, and it's also what keeps replenishing the archive with fresh purposive material. Labor-saving use, especially when it slides into rubber-stamping, thins both sides of the interdependence at once.
None of this means human agency is being obliterated by machines—that claim is too strong. Agency is weakened and narrowed, not erased, when the practices sustaining it are allowed to wither: atrophy, not obliteration. Ordinary LLM chat systems function mostly as indirect agents, generating combinatorial output whose significance depends on human interpretation. Newer agentic systems that send emails, make purchases, or run workflows with minimal oversight are hybrid agents, combining the direct consequences of older automation with the interpretive flexibility of language models—and, as noted, even these aren't escaping interdependence, only relying on its thinner, archival half.
A Note on the AGI Question
None of this amounts to a claim that AI can never think, know, or feel in some future form. The claim is narrower and more disciplined: given what current systems actually do—calculate, optimize, pattern-match—and given what we know empirically about how belief, intention, and normativity actually arise in the only case we have real evidence about, there is currently no warranted assertion that today's systems know, believe, or intend anything. Milk in a blender does not miraculously become cream cheese if the blender spins faster and faster; a system does not miraculously become conscious simply by handling more data faster and with more complexity. Yet this is what many who promise AGI ("real AI intelligence like humans")  predicate their predictions on: "scaling laws" or great increase in the rate and complexity of computation. This has no empirical evidence to support it, but the  door is open, in principle, to some future architecture built differently enough to warrant revisiting the question. It closes the door on the confident hype that treats Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) as imminent simply because systems are getting faster and more capable.
A Sustainable Ecosystem, Not Two Separate Things
The strongest way to think about AI, then, is not as a tool sitting apart from human life, but as one distributive system: human inquiry and machine output locked in a feedback loop, where the quality of what humans contribute today determines what the system can offer tomorrow. Reddit licensing, model collapse, and enshittification are three faces of one dynamic, visible at three scales—platform, training pipeline, institution.
The right response is neither nostalgia for a pre-AI past nor panic about an AI-dominated future. It's to ask, at every point of use, whether the human-AI system is being cultivated or mined. In practice that might mean favoring platforms and norms that reward genuine human contribution over recycled output, and treating AI less as a source of answers and more as a source of material to think with. If we want this distributive system to remain sustainable, we need more human writing, more human curation, more human judgment—not less. The archive depends on us continuing to do the purposive, interpretive work that made it valuable in the first place.

References and Selected Bibliography
Dewey, John. Logic: The Theory of Inquiry. New York: Henry Holt and Company, 1938. (Framing the transaction of inquiry as active, iterative, and structurally codependent with its environment).
Dick, Philip K. The Man in the High Castle. New York: Putnam, 1962. (The classic counterfactual text used to illustrate narrative synthesis and human alternative speculation).
Doctorow, Cory. "The ‘Enshittification’ of TikTok." Pluralistic, January 21, 2023. (The institutional baseline defining platform decay from user service to structural self-consumption).
Jumper, John, Richard Evans, Alexander Pritzel, Tim Green, Michael Figurnov, Olaf Ronneberger, Katherine Steinmann, et al. "Highly Accurate Protein Structure Prediction with AlphaFold." Nature 596, no. 7873 (2021): 583–589. (The landmark study illustrating non-retrieval based, validated empirical combinatorial novelty).
Latour, Bruno. Reassembling the Social: An Introduction to Actor-Network-Theory. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005. (The conceptual anchor for distributed network agency, departed from to protect human-exclusive intentionality).
Shumailov, Ilia, Zakhar Shumaylov, Yiren Zhao, Yarin Gal, Nicolas Papernot, and Ross Anderson. "AI Models Collapse When Trained on Recursively Generated Data." Nature 631, no. 8022 (2024): 755–759. (The foundational computer science proof detailing recursive data degradation and tail-distribution loss).
Stanford Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI). The 2026 Artificial Intelligence Index Report. Stanford, CA: Stanford University, 2026. (Documenting industry consensus on hitting "peak data" and web infrastructure saturation).
Tomasello, Michael. Why We Cooperate. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2009. (The comparative psychological studies on joint intentionality and the intrinsic non-instrumental play of human toddlers).
Tomasello, Michael. A Natural History of Human Thinking. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2014. (Tracing the social and evolutionary origins of belief- and desire-laden minds).
Tomasello, Michael. Becoming Human , A Theory of Ontogeny: MA: Harvard Unitversity Press, 2019. (Assembling three decades of empirical work comparing Chimpanzees, Bonobos and human children at the Max Planck Institute, Tomasello here provides a systematic developmental psychology that covers the period between birth and seven years of age).