Etiquette



DP Etiquette

First rule: Don't be a jackass. Most people are good.

Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.

Thursday, November 2, 2023

News Bits: Evidence of Theia-Earth collision; Increasing radicalization of the radicals



Strange blobs in Earth’s mantle are relics of a massive collision

Impact with a body called Theia 4.5 billion years ago left remnants deep inside Earth — and also created the Moon

The protoplanet Theia, which was roughly the size of Mars, slammed into 
proto-Earth 4.5 billion years ago (artist’s impression)
For decades, scientists have been baffled by two large, mysterious blobs in Earth’s mantle. These rock formations are thousands of kilometers long and slightly denser than their surroundings, hinting that they are made of different material than the rest of the mantle.

New computer modelling supports a dramatic origin story for these strange blobs: they are artefacts of a gargantuan collision 4.5 billion years ago between early Earth and another young planet — the same collision thought to have formed the Moon. The modelling suggests that this violent encounter caused material from the impacting world, called Theia, to embed itself in the lower half of Earth’s mantle. The collision also caused some of Theia’s remnants to be flung into orbit; these eventually coalesced into the Moon.

The idea that the mantle anomalies are remnants of Theia is not new, says Robin Canup, a planetary scientist at the Southwest Research Institute in Boulder, Colorado. “But this paper is the first in my mind to really take that notion seriously,” she says.  
A giant collision between the young Earth and a smaller protoplanet has long been the prevailing theory for the Moon’s formation. Such an origin would explain features such as the Moon’s lack of many volatile compounds, which would have been vaporized during the collision with Earth.
Computer simulation of the impact
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This is a very important bit to be acutely aware of. A NYT analysis (full article not paywalled) of what the ARR (authoritarian radical right) DJT is planning to do if he gets re-elected in 2024:
Close allies of Donald J. Trump are preparing to populate a new administration with a more aggressive breed of right-wing lawyer, dispensing with traditional conservatives who they believe stymied his agenda in his first term.

The allies have been drawing up lists of lawyers they view as ideologically and temperamentally suited to serve in a second Trump administration. Their aim is to reduce the chances that politically appointed lawyers would frustrate a more radical White House agenda — as they sometimes did when Mr. Trump was in office, by raising objections to his desires for certain harsher immigration policies or for greater personal control over the Justice Department, among others.

Now, as Trump allies grow more confident in an election victory next fall, several outside groups, staffed by former Trump officials who are expected to serve in senior roles if he wins, have begun parallel personnel efforts. At the start of Mr. Trump’s term, his administration relied on the influential Federalist Society, the conservative legal network whose members filled key executive branch legal roles and whose leader helped select his judicial nominations. But in a striking shift, Trump allies are building new recruiting pipelines separate from the Federalist Society.  
These back-room discussions were described by seven people with knowledge of the planning, most of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe private conversations. In addition, The New York Times interviewed former senior lawyers in the Trump administration and other allies who have remained close to the former president and are likely to serve in a second term.  
The interviews reveal a significant break within the conservative movement. Top Trump allies have come to view their party’s legal elites — even leaders with seemingly impeccable conservative credentials — as out of step with their movement.

“The Federalist Society doesn’t know what time it is,” said Russell T. Vought, a former senior Trump administration official who runs a think tank with close ties to the former president. He argued that many elite conservative lawyers had proved to be too timid when, in his view, the survival of the nation is at stake.
In the past, DJT choose federal judge nominees from the ARR Federalist Society. The FS gave us all six of the ARR Republican politicians who now dominate the USSC. For the new and improved (more radical, enraged and virulent) DJT, those 6 FS guys are too wimpy. They don't even know what time it is. 

This another warning about the incredibly high the stakes in the 2024 and elections thereafter. A ferocious kleptocratic dictatorship is brewing among ARR elites if they ever get the chance to impose it on all of us. We have been warned.
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In a rare moment of bipartisanship, the House has proudly lowered the bar for what it takes to stay in congress. It’s called the foggy mirror test. If you put a mirror under the congressperson’s nose and it fogs from breathing, then they are qualified to stay in power. The Hill writes:
A total of 31 Democrats joined 182 Republicans in voting to keep Rep. George Santos (R-N.Y.) in Congress on Wednesday, killing a Republican-led effort to oust the embattled lawmaker.

The lower chamber voted 213-179-19 against a resolution to expel Santos, marking the second unsuccessful attempt this year to eject the first-term lawmaker from the House. A two-thirds threshold is needed to expel a member of Congress.

A total of 31 Democrats and 182 Republicans voted against the resolution, while 24 Republicans and 155 Democrats voted to expel Santos.
Hm, maybe the House didn’t lower the bar, but instead dropped in on the ground. Or, maybe they just tossed the bar in the trash can. At the least, we can know that if a person in congress fails the foggy mirror test, they will be out of power. Probably.

Test passed or failed?

Well, lookie here...

I was just taking a gander at our sample ballots for next Tuesday, and lo and behold, Ohio’s finally getting with the program that 23 other states have already adopted.

Link here.

Yes, we are voting on legalizing marijuana. 

Do you think it will pass?

“If passed, the new law would take effect a month after the election.”

Merry Christmas?

Wednesday, November 1, 2023

News bits: Israel bombs refugees; CN note; The one-way ratchet to kleptocratic tyranny


That speaks for itself. Source.
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A NYT opinion comments about Mike Johnson and the radicalized GOP:
Mike Johnson is the first person to become speaker of the House who can be fairly described as a Christian nationalist, a major development in American history in and of itself. Equally important, however, his ascension reflects the strength of white evangelical voters’ influence on the House Republican caucus, voters who are determined to use the power of government to roll back the civil rights, women’s rights and sexual revolutions.

“Johnson is a clear rebuttal to the overall liberal societal drift that’s happening in the United States,” Ryan Burge, a political scientist at Eastern Illinois University, wrote by email in response to my query. “His views are far out of step with the average American and even with a significant number of Republicans.”

Robert Jones, president and founder of the Public Religion Research Institute, described Johnson in an email as “the embodiment of white Christian nationalism in a tailored suit.”

What is Christian nationalism? Christianity Today describes it as the “belief that the American nation is defined by Christianity, and that the government should take active steps to keep it that way. Popularly, Christian nationalists assert that America is and must remain a ‘Christian nation’ — not merely as an observation about American history, but as a prescriptive program for what America must continue to be in the future.”

Johnson’s election as speaker, Jones went on to say, “is one more confirmation that the Republican Party — a party that is 68 percent white and Christian in a country that is 42 percent white and Christian — has embraced its role as the party of white Christian nationalism.”  
The MAGA movement, in Podhorzer’s view, was unleashed with the Tea Party movement in 2010, well before Donald Trump emerged as a dominant political figure, and the elevation of Johnson marks the most recent high point in the movement’s acquisition of power: “Mike Johnson becoming speaker is better understood in terms of the ongoing white Christian nationalist takeover of the American government through MAGA,” he writes.
White Christian nationalists, Podhorzer contends, “were once reliable votes and loyal foot soldiers for almost any Republican candidate since the 1970s,” but they “rebelled when John McCain and other establishment Republicans treated Obama’s win as legitimate.”
Notice what radicalized the right into an authoritarian monster, i.e., the legitimate election of a black president. Consider the implications of that.
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From my cognitive biology and social behavior-colored view of politics, it has seemed to me that for years, the ARR (authoritarian radical right) has figured ways to slowly force the two dominant authoritarian ideologies into power (aggressive Christian nationalist theocracy and brass knuckles (unregulated) capitalism). The workings of this kind of authoritarian politics strike me as sometimes akin to a one-way ratchet that inches closer and closer to the goals of killing democracy and establishing some form of kleptocratic authoritarianism.

The Hill published an article that exemplifies the one-way nature of anti-democracy politics designed to force pro-democracy forces into losing situations: 
GOP sets political trap for Democrats with Israel bill

House Democrats will face a tough vote this week when Republicans, led by newly minted Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.), consider a $14.3 billion Israel aid bill that includes cuts to IRS funding to pay for the package but no assistance to Ukraine.

The vote is sure to highlight the long-standing chasm between Israel’s staunchest Democratic allies, including President Biden, and pro-Palestinian liberals who have accused Israeli leaders of human rights abuses and war crimes in Gaza. Illustrating that divide, 15 Democrats last week declined to endorse a nonbinding resolution proclaiming U.S. support for Tel Aviv following Hamas’s deadly attacks last month.

But Republicans’ inclusion of the IRS cuts adds an additional complication, forcing the bulk of Democrats into the no-win scenario of sacrificing one priority in defense of another.  
If one looks at the tactic here, it is clear that the ARR can keep setting up loser scenarios for Dems on many occasions, maybe most of the time. All the ARR forces need to do is package something they like or are neutral to with something they dislike. By forcing Dems to save one thing they want by being forced to sacrifice another, the ARR ratchet takes another step toward its ultimate goals.
 
Sure, one can argue that the Dems would then need to restore what was lost to reverse the original sacrifice. But as we know, the American federal government was set up for it to be hard to do much of anything. The ARR has the powerful advantage of it being far easier to block or kill something than it is to build and then maintain it. When one want to get rid of a democratic government and regulations, the defenders are in a much weaker position and in the long run, they are likely to lose.

Q: Is the one-way American ratchet to kleptocratic tyranny (theocracy, autocracy, plutocracy) something mostly real, or is it mostly a mirage in Germaine's mind?

Tuesday, October 31, 2023

News bits: The pro-corruption radical right; The Christian war on truth; The Christian war on unapproved sex

The WaPo writes about how the corrupt radical authoritarian Republicans that control the House are going to gut law enforcement against corruption. This should come as no surprise. Radical right billionaires (brass knuckles capitalists) hate paying any taxes, which they consider to be theft:
House Republicans on Monday unveiled a proposal to pay for emergency aid for Israel’s war against Hamas by cutting IRS funds aimed at cracking down on rich tax cheats and improving taxpayer service.

The legislation, released by the House Rules Committee, calls for approving roughly $14 billion primarily in military aid to Israel and cutting about the same amount from the IRS budget. President Biden has proposed giving Israel roughly the same amount in aid but did not call for offsetting cuts to other parts of the budget.  
The legislation reflects the GOP’s ongoing determination to undo the IRS expansion that Biden secured in 2022 in the Inflation Reduction Act, which boosted the agency’s funding by $80 billion to improve taxpayer services and pay for more enforcement actions against wealthy tax cheats. Biden and House Republicans agreed to repeal roughly $20 billion of that $80 billion as part of a deal in May to suspend the U.S. debt ceiling. Now, Republicans are pushing for more reductions.  
The GOP bill would pare back funds for most parts of the IRS expansion, including increased enforcement and a new online portal to allow taxpayers to file their taxes for free directly with the government.
The radical right GOP is not on the side of taxpayers. Period.

As far as corruption goes, it helps to recall that the tax gap, the amount of taxes that are owed but not paid is running at about $700/billion year according to a recent IRS estimate. A 2021 IRS estimate put the tax gap at about $1 trillion/year. My current estimate based on historical analyses is that it's running at about $1.2 trillion/year. In response to that massive annual festival of tax cheating, the authoritarian radical right Republican Party wants to cut funding for tax law enforcement. Apparently, corrupt Republicans want to make the annual tax cheat festival even bigger.

America is in a lose-lose situation as long as the authoritarian radical right Republican Party has power. 
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The Hill reports an example of a family that has been torn apart by the authoritarian radical right's successful war on inconvenient fact, truth and sound reasoning:
Former Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-Ill.) said he was disowned by his family after he left Congress and “lost the trust” of Fox News host Sean Hannity.

“So, I had family that sent a certified letter disowning me,” Kinzinger said in a CNN interview Monday. “They said I’ve lost the trust of great men like Sean Hannity, which is funny, but they believe that. They said I was a member of the devil’s army.”
Those disowning family members sincerely believe that a radical right chronic liar like Hannity is a great man. There are millions more like them in America. PolitiFact comments


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The HuffPo writes about that website that Mike Johnson's Christian wife took down to try to hide after the Christian Mike got to be House speaker:
Mike Johnson’s Wife Takes Down Website That 
Compared Being Gay To Bestiality, Incest

HuffPost first reported on Kelly Johnson's counseling service that likens LGBTQ+ people to people who have sex with animals and family members

House Speaker Mike Johnson’s wife took down the website for her company, Onward Christian Counseling Services, a day after HuffPost pointed to documents on the site that compared homosexuality to bestiality and incest.

HuffPost reported Friday that Kelly Johnson, the wife of the Louisiana Republican and newly elected speaker, is owner and CEO of Onward Christian Counseling Services, which promotes Bible-based pastoral counseling. Her website featured a link to its 2017 operating agreement, which lays out the company’s corporate bylaws ― and states that the business is grounded in the belief that sex is offensive to God if it is not between a man and a woman married to each other.
Those Christians are mighty feisty about how other people engage in improper sex. And they are cowards about their real beliefs and intentions. If God says that that sex is offensive to God if it is not between a man and a woman married to each other, then why not proclaim it, instead of trying to hide it and lying about it by not being honest? Christian nationalism, morally rotted, morally coward, corrupt, anti-democracy, pro-Christian Sharia and pro-Christian, wealthy, White bigoted male Taliban. 

Johnson is a Trump-loving, election-denying, abortion ban-supporting, gay rights-opposing, climate change-rejecting, and conspiracy-believing conservative. If House Democrats are smart, they will turn Mike Johnson into a household name — though not in a good way.  
But in selecting Johnson, Republicans made one small error — they failed to vet him.

If they had, they’d have discovered that he was Democrats’ dream speaker candidate. On practically every issue on which House Republicans will be vulnerable in 2024, Johnson takes an extreme, maximalist position. For any GOP candidates in a close race, and especially the 18 House Republicans running in congressional districts President Biden won in 2020, he will be a political albatross.
We'll see about how Christian Mike plays out. Maybe he will hurt radical authoritarian Republicans in the 2024 elections. Maybe he won't. Maybe Democrats’ dream speaker will turn out to be their horror speaker.
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The New Republic writes about moral coward MAGA Mike's view of democracy:
MAGA Mike Johnson Once Warned About Dangers 
of Living Under Democracy

Republicans’ new House speaker tried to warn people about why democracy isn’t actually good

House Speaker Mike Johnson turned heads on Monday when a website hosting his podcast and church sermons suddenly vanished. Still, Johnson hasn’t been able to completely scrub his prior social media presence, with some evidence of his lectures still floating around online, including a three-hour sermon organized by his wife’s ministry that blasts the newly elected’s Christian fundamentalism.

The contents of his evangelical musings—which he apparently wants to hide—offer revealing details about the little-known congressman, including that he doesn’t really believe in democracy.

“By the way, the United States is not a democracy. Do you know what a democracy is? Two wolves and a sheep deciding what’s for dinner. You don’t want to be in a democracy. Majority rule: not always a good thing,” Johnson said at the First Baptist Church of Haughton, Louisiana, in 2019.

Johnson has also attacked the idea of social services, claiming that the only entity entitled to provide care is the church, not the government.
Johnson is right to say that majority rule is not always a good thing. By keeping silent about it, he lies about the facts that (i) minority rule also is not always a good thing, and (ii) his vision of minority rule is cruel, bigoted, corrupt, authoritarian and radical Christian theocratic-plutocratic.