Friday, July 15, 2022

An additional important point regard the pending Moore v. Harper Supreme Court case

Moore v. Harper could go a long way to killing the role of voters in deciding elections. It is a long-standing dream of fascist Republicans to diminish the power of both elections and voters. They want to shift power to themselves and other chosen radical right elites in American society. A decision will most likely be made public in June of 2023.

The Week published an article on the Moore case that brought up a couple of fascinating and terrifying facts in this case that I was unaware of. The Week wrote:
Could this SCOTUS case push America toward one-party rule?

North Carolina House Speaker Timothy Moore (R) is suing a voter named Rebecca Harper as part of a dispute over a federal electoral map drawn by the state's Republican-controlled legislature. According to The Carolina Journal, the case will test a legal theory known as the "independent state legislature doctrine," which asserts that "only the state legislature has the power to regulate federal elections, without interference from state courts."

Proponents of the "independent state legislature doctrine" argue that this clause gives state legislatures the power to draw congressional districts, set rules for federal elections, and appoint presidential electors, and that state courts have no power to interfere — even if the legislature blatantly violates the state constitution.

Which, in this case, it totally did. The North Carolina Supreme Court ruled in February that the proposed map, which would have guaranteed Republicans easy wins in 10 of the state's 14 districts, was "unconstitutional beyond a reasonable doubt under the ... North Carolina Constitution."

The situation in North Carolina is not so clear-cut, however. Robert Barnes noted in The Washington Post that the state's General Assembly passed a law two decades ago empowering state courts to review electoral maps and even create their own "interim districting plan[s]." Moore's lawyers must therefore prove that the legislature violated the U.S. Constitution by abdicating its own authority over redistricting.

The U.S. Supreme Court rejected the case in March but agreed on June 30 to hear it. Justices Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, and Brett Kavanaugh have all signaled their openness to Moore's argument. The Washington Post's editorial board suggests that Chief Justice John Roberts — who three years ago left open the possibility that state courts could override partisan gerrymanders — is now "poised" to side with Moore as well. The board considers Justice Amy Coney Barrett "a possible swing vote." All three of the court's liberals are expected to reject the independent state legislature doctrine.

The case will be heard during the term beginning in October 2022, with a decision expected in the summer of 2023 — just in time to upend the 2024 elections.  
In January, Ryan Cooper wrote for The Week that the state of Wisconsin "effectively exists under one-party rule." Democrats can still win statewide elections — say, for governor or U.S. Senate — but state legislative districts are hopelessly gerrymandered in favor of Republicans. If the Supreme Court sides with Moore, GOP-controlled legislatures in states like Wisconsin would have full authority to rig not only their own states' legislative elections, but elections to the U.S. House of Representatives as well.  
And it might not stop there. Article II, Section 1 of the U.S. Constitution empowers each state to "appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors" equal to that state's number of senators and representatives. The clause doesn't say anything about the popular vote. This means, in theory, that state legislators can appoint whoever they want to the Electoral College. If SCOTUS side with Moore next summer on the question of federal redistricting, they're likely to apply the same reasoning to presidential elections. This interpretation was floated by conservative justices — including Thomas — during the Bush v. Gore (2000) case that handed George W. Bush the presidency.  
The Electoral Count Act of 1887 stipulates that each state's slate of electors must be certified by the governor of that state. In states like Wisconsin— which has a Democratic governor — this law could prevent the Republican-led legislature from handing the state's electoral votes to a losing Republican candidate.

But wait — if the independent state legislature doctrine is correct, then the governor has no right to usurp the legislature's constitutionally granted powers. That provision of the Electoral Count Act (ECA) would be struck down.

This idea "is quickly becoming dogma among Republican legal apparatchiks," Cooper wrote. Convincing Republican-controlled states won by President Biden to submit alternate slates of Republican electors was a key part of Trump lawyer John Eastman's strategy to overturn the 2020 presidential election. His plan also rested on the assumption that the ECA is "likely unconstitutional."  
"It is difficult … to see the desire to put sole control of election rules in the hands of a partisan legislative body as anything more than a power grab," argued Christine Adams in The Washington Post. Laurence H. Tribe and Dennis Aftergut were even blunter in the Los Angeles Times: "Adopting the independent state legislature theory would amount to right-wing justices making up law to create an outcome of one-party rule."
I was unaware of information in the parts of the article I highlighted. Republican fascists are going after the entire Electoral Count Act (ECA). 

Think about that. The fascist Republican Party is now arguing in the Supreme Court that a state legislature cannot delegate any of its allegedly exclusive authority over redistricting. That is the narrow point. The broader, catastrophic point is obvious if the fascists win this case. As I see it:
If a state legislature cannot abdicate any of its asserted essentially sole authority over elections and the ECA itself is unconstitutional, state legislatures can simply override the results of any state legislature, House or White House election result the legislature does not like. Contrary majority votes will be subordinated to the will of the gerrymandered legislature. The radical right's argument is that the independent state legislature doctrine cannot be infringed by any state law.
This is hard core radicalism and authoritarianism coming from the Republican Party. Based on the article, it looks like there are probably enough Republican votes for this new, authoritarian electoral landscape. That is enough to usurp democracy as we know it. It would allow Republicans to install fascism in the federal government and red states. Over time, blue state resistance will be worn down by adverse federal court decisions and every other kind of assault that radical right fascists can bring to bear on them. 

Blue states are in a troubling, apparently weak defensive posture. They cannot break out and go on a pro-democracy offensive unless voters vote Republicans out of office in 2022 and 2024. If 2022 leaves Republicans in power, even if it's just enough power to filibuster bills to death in the Senate, what the fascists want to do to this country and democracy may be unstoppable. Both of those elections must be significant losses for Republican candidates. If that doesn't happen, we and democracy are in deadly serious trouble

The fascist threat here is significantly more deadly and urgent than I believed.


Besieged American democracy
The more I understand it, 
the more terrifying it looks


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