Kamala Harris and the Israel-Palestine Question

 One of my key concerns with Biden (other than his cognitive status) has been his unconditional support for Israel. I've written several OPs here on the topic, so I will only add here that the situation has only gotten worse in the last month while the focus here shifted (understandably) to this critical election. 

While there may be softer rhetoric, and more "empathetic" remarks about the rights and needs of Palestinians from Harris, there is no good reason to assume a major shift in policy. The fact is, though, that Trump will go even further than Biden ever did, very likely recognizing the annexation of the West Bank as some of his donors (including the far-Right Zionist, Miriam Adelson) want him to do. So there's just no candidate C with a chance of winning who can bring US policies within the purview of international law as decreed by both the ICJ and ICC as well as multiple UN Security Resolutions. With Gaza in ruins, a multi-front war creeping ever-more steadily into high-gear, the situation is bleak. Trump will surely be the more aggressive leader of the two. 

My own position is that Harris has expressed concern (more than Biden to be sure) for Palestinians rhetorically, and she is not responsible for his decisions. Therefore, when protests and pressure resume, which I hope they do soon, I believe we will not see the same vitriol and villification that we did of Genocide Joe. Remember that the premise of this election is largely a commitment to democracy, human rights, and moral integrity vs. authoritarian impulses, repression of those who are "not like us" and the lionization of raw power over humane and just principles. 

In that context, a (small "d") democratic leader, even in a quasi-oligarchical polity, should be expected to hear and respond to the pressure of masses of voters (and voters in this case very valuable in such a close election) as the young, progressive, pro-Palestinian protestors who would very much like to prevent Trump from taking office, but who were simply incapable of voting for Biden. I hope, for Harris' sake and that of the country, that she proves to be much more responsive not only in style, but in substance, to the protestors who have not faded away just because the media took them off the front pages. As universities begin to open in only weeks, we will see a battle between MAGA Republicans who proudly condemn the protestors, the professors that teach them, the administrative faculty of liberal arts colleges, and Harris. What will her response be? I hope she gives us something to contrast with the bigoted, militaristic, McCarthyite rhetoric of Trump-- who called Biden a "Palestinian...A bad Palestinian" as a slur on national TV in the famous June 27 debate. I hope she will oppose purges of liberal arts faculty and students, admit that global opinion from the UN, to the highest international courts, to most countries in the world, cannot be dismissed, as Biden glibly did as "meritless and without any factual basis." Unfortunately that is simply not   true. 

I don't expect a total reversal, but hope at the very least for a return to pluralism and democracy in the simple sense of not penalizing those who oppose this ongoing massacre, but instead recognizing the importance of having serious dialogue about where to go from here. This is not the time or place to discuss possible policy options. I only mean to say that it will be important to me, and many other voters who have been shocked and alienated by Biden's policies regarding Israel, to see an open mind and earnest dialogue. In that context, here is Mehdi Hassan discussing Kamala Harris (whom he supported as an alternative to Biden right after the notorious Biden debate of 6/27).  The clip is from Democracy Now!

What Dems are thinking; What Repubs are saying

The WaPo published some recent data on Dem sentiment:

At this point, it is probably too early to give much weight to polls. Some time is needed for the change to sink in. And, polls from the swing states (PA, MI, WI, GA, NC, NV, AZ) are probably the only ones that count, unless a major shift in sentiment from DJT to the nominated Dem candidate occurs.

Reuters reports that all state Democratic party chairs have endorsed Harris. The momentum seems to be in her favor.

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As expected, the Repubs have started their brutal dark free speech attacks on Kamala. The degree of lying, slandering and crackpottery is as high and intense as a reasonable pro-democracy person might expect. Given how disgusting the morally rotted attacks are in my opinion, it seems counterproductive to repeat much or any of Repub filth here. I am inclined to mostly or completely ignore it. If there is useful negative information about Harris to be had, it can come from sources other than hyper-biased Repub liars. 

Q: Is it better to know at least something about the Repub attacks and hypocritical sleaze, or to ignore it? 

Biden drops out of the race; Now what?

Joe drops out of the race and endorses Kamala. Things just keep getting weirder. 

1. This is mostly bad for DJT, mostly good for democracy

2. This is mostly good for DJT, mostly bad for democracy

3. I don't know what this is 

4. Other

Book comments: Autocracy Inc.

One thing that seemed to be real and serious was a personal perception that the world’s authoritarians are banding together to mount a global war against democracy, the rule of law, civil liberties and transparency in government. Apparently, at least a few others see basically the same thing. 

The Hill published commentary on a new book by historian Anne Applebaum (staff writer at The Atlantic), Autocracy, Inc.: The Dictators Who Want To Run The World: 

Last month, North Korea and Russia signed a pact covering trade, investment and cultural ties, and pledging aid if either nation faces “aggression.” In exchange for economic assistance and technology transfers that bolster its nuclear weapons program, North Korea is continuing to provide Russia with ammunition for its war against Ukraine. President Vladimir Putin praised Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un for supporting “the fight against the imperialistic policies of the United States and its allies.”

This month, soon after he assumed the rotating presidency of the European Union, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán — a self-proclaimed champion of “illiberal democracy” who has cracked down on freedom of the press and an independent judiciary — left EU leaders fuming by urging President Volodymyr Zelensky to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine, and then lavishing praise on Putin and Xi Jinping in Moscow and Beijing. A few days later, Orbán met with Donald Trump, whose reelection he has endorsed. “We discussed ways to make peace,” Orbán said. “The good news of the day: he’s going to solve it.”

These incidents indicate that aspiring autocrats and dictators share the same goals: enrich themselves, remain in power, deprive their own citizens of influence, discredit and destroy democracy and create a new world order. And that they are collaborating to achieve these goals.

Shared grievances and anti-democratic goals motivate autocrats to help one another. Iran traded food and gasoline for Venezuelan gold and sent equipment and personnel to repair oil refineries. In 2016, Xi Jinping endorsed Iran’s role in helping Syria’s Bashar al-Assad, who authorized chemical weapons attacks on his own people, retain power. Iran increased China’s access to its oil, infrastructure, telecommunications and banking markets.

Enemies of democracy have vastly improved their capacity to censor online content. China outlaws posts that “endanger national security, subvert the government, or undermine national unification.” Afraid of losing business in the world’s second most populous nation, American tech companies altered software to protect the “Great Firewall’s protocols.” Pakistan, Brazil, Mexico, Serbia, South Africa, Turkey, Singapore and Zimbabwe have acquired China’s “safe city technology.”

Autocrats have also ramped up the internal and external dissemination of fake news about democracies.

Along with increasing military and financial assistance to Ukraine, Applebaum believes that to regain the initiative a multinational movement must make money laundering and real estate transactions transparent; require internet posts to be more evidence-based and less anonymous, while holding social media companies more accountable for content; and reduce democratic countries’ reliance on minerals, semiconductors and energy supplies sold by Russia, China and other autocracies.

These reforms won’t occur, Applebaum emphasizes, until citizens of democracies “think of themselves as linked to one another and to the people who share their values inside autocracies, too. They need one another, now more than ever, because their democracies are not safe. Nobody’s democracy is safe.”

At a time of increasing isolationist and nationalist sentiments in Western democracies, implementing this agenda won’t be easy.

The NYT comments on Applebaum’s book (not paywalled):

Something new is happening in the world of oppression. Or so says the historian Anne Applebaum.

Whereas the twilight struggle of the 20th century was waged between formal “blocs” of ideologically aligned allies, today’s autocrats are more diverse — a mix of self-described Marxists, illiberal demagogues, kleptocratic mafiosi, old-school tyrants and new-school theocrats.

Of course, they do share ideas if not ideologies, among them that liberal internationalism is an alibi for imperialism, the means by which Washington and Brussels impose their interests and decadent cultural mores (especially L.G.B.T.Q. tolerance) on the rest of the world. But today’s autocrats principally cement their bonds, Applebaum argues, “not through ideals but through deals.” Thanks in large part to the opacity of global finance, they enjoy a vibrant trade in surveillance technologies, weapons and precious minerals, laundering one another’s dirty money and colluding to evade American sanctions. This venal compact of convenience she calls “Autocracy, Inc.” 

To her credit, Applebaum’s new book risks a more sophisticated, and less flattering, answer: Globalization did work, only not how she and her friends assumed it would. Autocracies became more integrated with one another, while American and European trade dependence on the autocratic world — on Chinese manufacturing and Russian oil, for instance — became a weapon to be used against the West. “Everyone assumed that in a more open, interconnected world, democracy and liberal ideas would spread to the autocratic states,” Applebaum writes. Nobody imagined that autocratic and illiberal ideas “would spread to the democratic world instead.”

And not only ideas. Before and after the fall of the Soviet Union, cash robbed from the coffers of the Communist East flowed into bank accounts in London and the Caribbean. More recently, shell companies in Delaware have purchased apartments in New York on behalf of oligarchs in Russia and China, while European and American accountants, real estate agents and lawyers have enjoyed hefty fees for secreting the ill-gotten wealth of the world’s kleptocrats. In short, the world system accommodated the needs of autocracy; the autocrats were not required to change. 

Applebaum is cleareyed about the difficulties of rectifying this situation: “Powerful people benefit from the existing system, want to keep it in place and have deep connections across the political spectrum.” She’s no anticapitalist, but her recommendations for reforms to the financial system — requiring companies to be registered in the name of their actual owners, for example — are concrete and admirable. (emphasis added)

The NYT article goes on to criticize some of Applebaum’s reasoning and conclusions, but I found her reasoning more persuasive and evidence-based than the NYT critic’s subjective evaluations. In essence, she sees even more than what I could see.