Etiquette



DP Etiquette

First rule: Don't be a jackass. Most people are good.

Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.

Sunday, February 9, 2020

The Placebo Effect

One of the main reasons for failure of new drugs in clinical trials is the placebo effect. Placebos given to patients in controlled clinical trials elicit measurably beneficial effects that are good enough to make the drug look statistically no better than the placebo. The drug then fails and tens or hundreds of millions of dollars in investment returns nothing but the valuable information associated with the failure, which isn’t a marketable product. Strong placebo effects even pop up in diseases like Parkinson’s Disease where normal disease progression would be expected without some form of therapeutic drug.



Placebo effects are biological, not magical
The study of placebo effects are still early, but progress is being made. In Parkinson’s, placebo effects are believed to arise partly from release of dopamine in the brain: “We show here that the placebo effect in Parkinson’s disease is due, at least in part, to the release of dopamine in the striatum. We propose that the placebo effect might be related to reward mechanisms. The expectation of reward (i.e. clinical benefit) seems to be particularly relevant. According to this theory, brain dopamine release could be a common biochemical substrate for the placebo effect encountered in other medical conditions, such as pain and depression. Other neurotransmitters or neuropeptides, however, are also likely to be involved in mediating the placebo effect (e.g. opioids in pain disorders, serotonin in depression).”

Placebo effects are being correlated with genetic traits. For example, in irritable bowel disease, a small gene variant in the catechol-O-methyltransferase gene (val158met) is correlated with an increased placebo response. That gene is relevant to metabolism of the neurotransmitter dopamine. Research on placebo effects also includes health care provider social behavior (bedside manner). Placebo effects can be powerful in mental disease treatments: “The placebo effect—the ability of expectations about a treatment to lead to clinical improvement—is well established as a powerful force in mental health interventions. The placebo effect is responsible for a substantial portion of the efficacy of antidepressant medications and other important elements of psychiatric care.”

Placebo effects are also prominent in pain therapies: “The placebo effect is a powerful mechanism for modulating clinical outcomes. Linked to psychoneurobiological changes, placebo effects result from the expectancies of the patient, proxy, and provider (1, 2) and are distinct from regression to the mean, spontaneous remission, and fluctuations in symptoms. In randomized clinical trials, the inclusion of a no-intervention arm (3) and possibly a measurement of expectations (4) are critical design elements that can help separate placebo effects from these potential confounds (5). This phenomenon has been particularly well investigated in the areas of experimental and clinical pain, but placebo effects can influence any treatment and any condition (6).” (emphasis added)



Chi, acupuncture, nutritional supplements & Goop
People report feeling better from a vast number of ailments and diseases. Products are sold that infer or outright claim to be good to treat all sorts of diseases and symptoms. Most of it is based on pseudoscience and/or outright fraud. For example, acupuncture claims to be based on inserting thin needles in precise locations on the body to affect the flow of Chi or life force in clinically beneficial ways. Despite the claim, (1) there are no precise locations that experts use to affect the flow of Chi, and (2) Chi doesn't exist. Efforts to proves it exists have failed. Paltrow’s products marketed under the Goop brand name may elicit placebo effects in at least some people based on pseudoscience at best.[1] Nutritional or dietary supplements usually have no useful ingredients other than minerals and vitamins that are considered to be actual necessary nutrients.



I don’t care about science, I want to buy it anyway
Some people don’t care that the product they buy doesn't work beyond being a placebo. Others reject science arguments because they believe their product really “works.” Often they just want to be left alone about it and free to buy whatever they want.

There’s a lot to buy.[2] The global market for dietary supplements alone is projected by one study to be about $350 billion by 2026. Paltrow’s Goop products can be expensive. A 2002 study estimated that US consumers paid about $34 billion for complementary and alternative medicine (CAM) therapies, acupuncture, reflexology, aromatherapy, herbal therapy, etc., but the clinical benefits were not quantified due to a lack of good data for analysis: “Nevertheless, there are still too few good quality evaluations to draw many conclusions about the cost-effectiveness of specific CAM therapies for particular conditions.”

In view of existing evidence, it is reasonable to believe that essentially all benefit that people report for products and therapies that are not FDA approved come from the placebo effect. It is also reasonable to believe that people will continue buying various non-FDA approved products in the belief of benefits that arise from something other than the placebo effect.


Footnotes:
1. Scientific belief that benefits from Chi, acupuncture, nutritional supplements and Goop are based on placebo effects have been rejected by some people. That belief is criticized as closed-minded worship of a fallible and flawed Western science that does not fully understand all of the things it pretends to know. Some of that criticism is true because Western medical science doesn't understand everything, but at least it doesn’t claim to. However, that limitation does not negate the placebo effect or show evidence that convincingly demonstrates effectiveness of alternative treatments beyond placebo effects.

The ‘not enough evidence’ criticism has been rejected as raising the bar higher for alternative approaches compared to FDA approved drugs. The rebuttal to that is that higher levels of evidence can be reasonably asked for inherently inexplicable theories, such as Chi, and treatments or products that operate without any basis in science other than placebo effects. After all, no one has measured Chi, despite years of trying. Such a finding would be a major new scientific finding that would ripple through biomedical research if not most all other sciences as well. So far, no such finding has been published. Almost all placebo controlled clinical trials with nutritional supplements have failed, which is why none are FDA-approved.

2. All non-FDA approved nutritional or dietary supplements and homeopathy products are required to include this disclaimer related to any medical or clinical benefits the product is claimed to have:

This statement has not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration. This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease.

In other words, such products do not have to do anything medically useful and they cannot make any such claim. They may elicit a placebo response in some consumers.

US election 2020: The race to take on Trump enters crucial phase



Election season is getting under way and the race to become the Democratic challenger to Donald Trump is hotting up.
Last summer, there were nearly 30 serious candidates vying for the attention of the party's supporters, but fewer than a dozen are still standing.
Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders are the relatively well-known frontrunners, but some of the chasing pack were mostly unknown outside the Washington DC bubble before running.
The group features the usual mix of seasoned politicians, but it also includes a couple of billionaires, two military veterans and a tech entrepreneur.
Here's our rundown of the candidates left in the race, with a take from the BBC's Anthony Zurcher on each.
Who are they? What are their key issues? What's their secret weapon against President Trump? We've got it all covered.

Who will take on Trump in 2020?


For further analysis and a breakdown of the candidates:

Saturday, February 8, 2020

Capitalism Gone Awry??



My short, albeit “biased” question:

What kind of greedy bastard (or bitch… I’m an Equal Opportunity Employer ;) has a problem with Elizabeth Warren’s “wealth tax” of 2-cents on the dollar for earnings starting over the $50,000,000 mark, per year? (That’s millions, in case you got lost in the zeros.)




Seriously, explain that kind of greed to my curious mind. Thank you.


Trump's Revenge

As noted here a couple of days ago, now that the impeachment is over, the president can turn to important matters such as extracting revenge against people who testified in the House impeachment proceedings and slandering and attacking political opposition and the press. The tyrant kleptocrat wannabe, corrupt-liar Trump, is now free to flex his muscle and wreak his vengeance. In this, he will be aided and abetted by the silence and complicity of the corrupt, spineless GOP in congress.

Major reliable news outlets are reporting that the president has removed two people in revenge for their testimony in the House. An AP article, Payback: Trump ousts officials who testified on impeachment, reports:

“WASHINGTON (AP) — Exacting swift punishment against those who crossed him, an emboldened President Donald Trump ousted two government officials who had delivered damaging testimony against him during his impeachment hearings. The president took retribution just two days after his acquittal by the Senate.

First came news Friday that Trump had ousted Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman, the decorated soldier and national security aide who played a central role in the Democrats’ impeachment case. Vindman’s lawyer said his client was escorted out of the White House complex Friday, told to leave in retaliation for ‘telling the truth.’ ‘The truth has cost Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman his job, his career, and his privacy,’ attorney David Pressman said in a statement. Vindman’s twin brother, Lt. Col. Yevgeny Vindman, also was asked to leave his job as a White House lawyer on Friday, the Army said in a statement. Both men were reassigned to the Army.

Next came word that Gordon Sondland, Trump’s ambassador to the European Union, also was out. ‘I was advised today that the President intends to recall me effective immediately as United States Ambassador to the European Union,’ Sondland said in a statement. The White House had not been coy about whether Trump would retaliate against those he viewed as foes in the impeachment drama. White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham said Thursday that Trump was glad it was over and ‘maybe people should pay for that.’

Alexander Vindman’s lawyer issued a one-page statement that accused Trump of taking revenge on his client. ‘He did what any member of our military is charged with doing every day: he followed orders, he obeyed his oath, and he served his country, even when doing so was fraught with danger and personal peril,’ Pressman said. ‘And for that, the most powerful man in the world — buoyed by the silent, the pliable, and the complicit — has decided to exact revenge.’

News that both Vindman twins had been ousted led Rep. Paul Gosar, R-Ariz., to tweet, ‘The White House is running a two for one special today on deep state leakers.’”


Honesty and truth are under open, direct attack 
The obvious here bears saying it clearly: The president will fire or get rid of you if you work for him but are honest and tell truths he does not want told. That means that the president wants his people to lie for him when he sees it in his personal interest. This is more evidence of the president’s hostility toward inconvenient or embarrassing facts, truths and logic. This deeply immoral aspect of our president cannot be much clearer.

And it is true that he and his hate and rage filled mind has been buoyed by the silent, the pliable, and the complicit, including immoral people like Paul Gosar.