Dissident Politics
Pragmatic politics focused on the public interest for those uncomfortable with America's two-party system and its way of doing politics. Considering the interface of politics with psychology, cognitive biology, social behavior, morality and history.
Etiquette
Wednesday, July 15, 2026
AI & The Human Commons
Why fact checks in American politics fail so often

Source: Politifact
Contrary to popular belief, nearly all humans doing politics are mostly irrational, biased, and emotional. Many are uncomfortably gullible when faced with talented demagogues and their powerful emotion and reality manipulation tactics. That’s just the human condition. Social science research has pretty well identified the major human traits that underpin many people rejecting facts, robust truths and good faith, sound reasoning when they are too inconvenient.
It’s unconscious human response to perceived attack or threat
Long story short, fact checks often fail when people see and feel partisan threat in inconvenient information. Humans tend to experience correction of strongly help false beliefs as an attack on their own or their group identity. That feeling, an automatic unconscious response to threat, triggers motivated reasoning and defensive mental reasoning instead of belief reassessment and revision. In bitterly polarized societies like the US today, partisan virtue signals and demagogic messaging simply overpower the evidentiary weight of fact checking.
Fact checks usually include explicit reference to political actors or issues. That instantly cues partisan lenses and trigger defensive processing when the information is inconvenient. Party identification strongly affects trust in fact-checkers. Many or most partisans see fact checkers as aligned with the opposing camp. That alone is sufficient to neutralize any corrective effects of truth even when the evidence is clear and solid. In America’s poisoned political environment, fact checks are perceived and felt as just bad faith lies in bitter partisan disagreements.
The left vs the right
And, believe it or not, there probably some degree of asymmetry in attitudes towards fact checking and fact checkers between America’s political left and right. Not surprisingly, some of the political right seems to be more resistant to fact checkers and fact checking. One can rationally argue in good faith that this asymmetry, assuming it is real, is solid evidence of serious immorality in political rhetoric significantly grounded in falsehoods or crackpot reasoning. Dishonest speech is arguably evil when people are deceived by false information and that causes serious harm or even death to the deceived people or others they affect.
Q1: Is it true that America’s political right tends to be more resistant to fact checkers and fact checking than the left?
Q2: Is it a rational moral argument to say that dishonest speech that deceives people and those false beliefs cause some people harm or even death, e.g., anti-vaccines lies that cause some to refuse to get vaccinated, and then they get infected and die, or they infect someone else who gets infected and dies?
Info sources:
When it comes to misinformation, partisanship overpowers fact-checking, over and over again — Why do people fail to update their beliefs in light of clear evidence to the contrary? Our research provides an answer: partisanship is a powerful factor that can lead people away from accuracy.
Heroes or hacks: The partisan divide over fact-checking — Liberal websites were far more likely to cite fact-checks to make their points than conservative sites were. Conservative sites were much more likely to criticize fact-checks and to allege partisan bias.
Blinded by Partisanship? The Limitations of Fact-Checkers in Correcting Misinformation During the 2021 Georgia Senate Runoff Elections — In recent years, partisan polarization has intensified, and social media has amplified the spread of inaccurate information. ….. Our findings show that partisan biases prevented fact-checking efforts from changing perceptions of misinformation. Party identification also influenced participants’ trust in fact-checkers.
Why the backfire effect does not explain the durability of political misperceptions — ….. the accuracy-increasing effects of corrective information like fact checks often do not last or accumulate; instead, they frequently seem to decay or be overwhelmed by cues from elites and the media promoting more congenial but less accurate claims. As a result, misperceptions typically persist in public opinion for years after they have been debunked.
Warning labels from fact checkers work — even if you don’t trust them — In line with previous studies, the researchers found that Republican-leaning survey participants were less likely to trust fact-checkers — regardless of whether the fact-checking organizations skewed right or left. ….. Republican respondents who knew more about news production, who scored more highly on a cognitive reasoning test, and who had higher web use skills were even less trusting of fact-checkers.
Monday, July 13, 2026
MAGA approves night sky destruction; public interest is ignored
In another indication of MAGA’s contempt for the public interest and service to special interests and their profits, which includes a livable environment, Trump’s FCC (Federal Communications Commission) has given approval for a company to start wreaking havoc on the night sky. This is another example of Trump and MAGA elites doing whatever they or Trump want to do, no matter how toxic or even lethal it might be to the public interest.
Just the facts, not the context
The FCC: As usual, the MSM’s reporting rigidly sticks to the facts, which are alone are quite ugly. That allows reporting to completely ignore the far more important uglier context in which the US government has green-lighted development of night sky destruction over the entire planet. Before Trump and MAGA elites converted it to a service operation for for-profit special interests, the FCC was an agency that served the public interest. Those days are over. The FCC will stay corrupted as long as Trump and MAGA elites control government, and maybe a lot longer than that.
Much of the MSM does not connect environmental risks to the FCC’s use of categorical exclusions under the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) or to the broader pattern of environmental review being bypassed for orbital systems. NEPA requires federal agencies to assess the environmental effects of actions they carry out, fund, or license, and to consider alternatives and public input — that was ignored. The FCC classified the system as communications infrastructure and thereby avoided any environmental impact assessment. MSM reporting is mostly a balanced “critics fear X, agency says Y” narrative. That ignores the fact that environmental concerns and public input were excluded from MAGA’s decision‑making.
Polluting the night sky with sunlight: The company is called Reflect Orbital. Its for-profit plan is to put at least 50,000 fridge-sized satellites in orbit. Mirrors about 60×60 ft will unfold and where light is reflected down to will be controlled by light buyers. The plan is to make money by reflecting sunlight light for solar farms, big rescue operations, city street lighting, crop growth, big festivals, annoying the neighbors**, and Dog only knows what defense uses the military can dream up. Reflect Orbital will sell to any crackpot, group, company or government that can afford to pay. One gets sunlight by logging into a website, paying $5,000/mirror/hour (~3‑mile‑wide patch of light from 1 mirror), inputting the GPS coordinates, and then waiting for sunlight after dark. No one knows how big the market will be for sure, but there is marketing hype. Link, link, link, link, link
** OK, that one was just made up, but it is possible
Shafting the public interest – the MSM squeaks defense: In addition to confusing plants and animals about what time of year it is, the reflected light will scatter and generally make the night sky even brighter than it is now. The MSM reports squeaks of objection like (1) an expert claiming that this “cannot be considered to serve the public interest”, (2) this wastes tax dollars by wrecking federally funded astronomical facilities, (3) doing Dog only knows what to people, plants and wildlife.
The business & political reality – this is isn’t what it seems: Two different very things are going on here, both of which stink. One is Reflect Orbital running a Ponzi scheme or something akin to that to scam investors. Buying 1 mirror for $5,000 for 1 hour gets you a spot of light ~3 miles in diameter. The light intensity in that spot is low, about equal to 4 full moons on a clear night. That is light intensity is ~10-fold lower than typical city street lighting. That is not enough to do much of anything other than (1) confuse plans and animals, (2) screw up the night sky for serious astronomy work, and (3) maybe annoy annoying neighbors if that’s the goal. Ripping off investors in a pump and dump operation makes sense. Selling weak sunlight for serious uses makes no sense.
The marketing propaganda on this is what you would expect. People and institutions trying to cash in on this lunacy say things like, “we’re experimenting with a potentially groundbreaking clean‑energy technology”. Whew, that sounds respectable. Investors can tell themselves they are visionaries in “space climate tech”, even if Reflect Orbital goes bankrupt. By contrast, saying “this is a ridiculous, harmful nutjob project enabled by captured regulation” (in this case, our corrupted, anti-public interest FCC) sounds activist or woke. That’s bad, really bad.
So that stinks. Investor damage will be mostly limited to people who get ripped off. Whatever environmental damage there would be cannot be predicted. The company will probably fizzle out long before 50,000 mirrors are put in orbit, which would limit collateral damage to the environment. At least one can hope that’s the outcome.
The very big stink
The far bigger, much worse stink that’s going on is directly related to Trump and his MAGA authoritarianism and kleptocracy. That’s where the real rubber hits the road. The FCC greenlighting this operation has massive implications that facilitate future extremely bad things happening. This is a tragedy of the commons story. This FCC approval established a US agency signing off on space‑based lighting as “communications infrastructure” with no environmental review and no public comment. That approval moved the Overton window for any future scheme that relies on screwing up the night sky for profit or authoritarian purposes. From this, special interests and authoritarian MAGA government can pivot from “solar at night” to advertising, defense purposes, or data‑linked services (1) without asking for authority over the commons (the night sky), or (2) any environmental or public interest impact assessment whatsoever. This FCC approval was made in secret. Future approvals will be the same.
The real “product” is arguably not light, but orbital rights. This is precedent that private interests can take and use low Earth orbit to alter planetary lighting for paying customers. That is an asset that can be traded, repurposed, or taken over by other actors if Reflect Orbital flops. The public has nothing to say about it.
Q1: Can one reasonably argue that this scheme isn’t crackpot from the standpoint of people trying to financialize and profit from the sky, i.e., is it a rational extraction scheme from a system that pays for investor upside and treats planetary damages and the damaged public interest as society’s problem?
Q2: If this space mirrors scheme is treated as “smoke and mirrors” because the physics and economics of the advertised use case are crap, is that crappy reality sufficient to con regulators, journalists, and investors while corporate interests get solid claims on a planetary commons at our expense?
Info links:
A Sun that Never Sets – Reflect Orbital’s Big Plans for Upending Solar Energy
California startup’s plan to sell sunlight at night sparks controversy
FCC Authorization — Permission given as in the public interest in emergent innovative “communications” technology that promotes new services and economic growth (that is misleading and bad‑faith, arguably a lie); The FCC says that light, astronomy, health, and environmental harms fall outside the Commission’s remit over radio spectrum and thus are not valid bases for denial (the same)
FCC approves space mirror satellite — and bypassed environmental review to do it
California startup pitches 50,000 space reflectors to extend daylight
Sunday, July 12, 2026
Trump’s joke-to-policy tactic isn’t a joke
Over at Rick Wilson’s Against All Enemies anti-autocracy substack, Wilson nicely articulates how Trump and the MAGA demagoguery machine con people into accepting tyranny and corruption. His essay, The Coming Election Takeover, is another warning about what Trump and MAGA elites want to do to the 2026 midterm and later elections if they can pull it off. The joke-to-policy tactic has been seen multiple times. The tactic plays out generally like this:
- In his public rants or social media posts, Trump floats an extreme, anti-democratic, anti-rule of law idea or anti-civil liberties idea. This signals his intent and the goal of the threat.
- Authoritarian MAGA media characterizes his extremism and pro-tyranny intentions as just innocent jokes that are misunderstood or taken out of context. People who can’t see the threat as a joke are dismissed as humorless, irrational, mentally defective, or “snowflakes” who can’t take a joke. MAGA rejects criticisms out of hand as nonsense or bad faith smears. That allows MAGA to avoid dealing with legitimate criticisms of real anti-democracy threats.
- MAGA propaganda then spins the threat as Trump having made a good, legitimate point.
- Then there is an Executive Order or bill in congress.
- Then Trump’s anti-democracy/anti-rule of law/anti-civil liberties threat becomes policy or law and the new norm from with to launch further MAGA tyranny attacks.
Wilson describes the process like this: “The MAGA media apparatus of Fox, Newsmax, CBS, the Twitter-poisoned podcast bros, and the MAGA Influencer-Industrial Complex fan out to tut-tut the horrified for being humorless scolds. He was kidding. You people are unhinged. Touch grass. Then, a beat later: well, he was kidding, but you have to admit he has a point. Then, a draft executive order leaks. Then it’s policy. Then it’s the law. Then it’s the new floor, and the next joke starts the cycle again, one rung lower”.
Regarding elections
Wilson points out that Trump has used joke-to-policy to attack the 2026 mid-term elections. First Trump says something outrageous like “maybe we shouldn’t have an election”. MAGA media propaganda frames it as either an unserious joke or raising a good point. Clearly, that was no joke. Then lawyers and politicians start drafting ways to translate the autocratic attack into practice. Ways to do that include Trump (1) issuing Executive Orders, (2) claiming and emergency and emergency powers, and (3) deploying his federal enforcers (ICE, FBI, etc.) or investigators (DOJ, etc.). For 2026, the joke-to-policy cycle is aimed at creating a legal and administrative framework to allow Trump’s team to disregard or override state-run election outcomes. The point of that kind of attack is to allow anti-election policy implementation with few or no lawsuits or court interventions.
Q1: Is the joke-to-policy argument mostly or completely false, or is it reasonably accurate in view of the evidence in the public record?
Q2: By treating serious objections to Trump’s tyrannical or corrupt threats as a failure to appreciate humor, (1) does MAGA rhetoric deflect from answering substantive criticism, (2) which turns politics into a culture war over who is “in on the joke” versus who is an unreasonable uptight enemy, or a humorless snowflake or crackpot?
Info sources:
“MAGA ‘secret’ exposed by ex-GOP operative as Republicans watch their ‘numbers go south’.”
‘Packaging evil into something funny’: is making fun of Trump now just ‘clownwashing’?
Jacob Neiheisel on How Trump Uses Humor and Labels to Divide