Etiquette



DP Etiquette

First rule: Don't be a jackass. Most people are good.

Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.

Sunday, August 2, 2026

Fighting with Pxy: Within the scope of MAGA's poison politics or not?



Pxy abandoned me
Yesterday my prepaid AI Pro account with Pxy (Perplexity) stopped responding to my search and analysis queries unless I paid for more "credits", whatever those are. The same happened this morning. The new paywall seems to be real and not going away. My fully paid up account was supposed to last until Dec. Apparently too many users are costing too much for the old pricing to be honored any more. So now Pxy corp. is imposing a paywall to get more money, even if account holders do not consent to paying more. 

☹️ 
grumpy Pxy camper face

Some non-Pxy searching led to r/perplexity_ai. Lots of folks there are unhappy with what they are getting. This is one of a slew of grumpy Pxy camper posts, Bye bye perplexity.

I emailed Pxy support to ask for a refund of what is left of my account time. Their "customer service" AI called Sam said I could not get a prorated refund because I am outside the "standard refund eligibility window". Sam told me it could understand my frustration. I told non-sentient Sam to fuck off and put me in touch with a human being. We'll see how that goes in the coming days.

The current American AI business model faces a severe profitability barrier. The massive infrastructure and compute costs to run large language models are greater than the revenue generated from standard consumer subscriptions. Prices are going to have to go up a heck of a lot for profitability to be more than just a blowhard marketing mirage.


Are Trump and MAGA politics mostly to blame for this?   
Here we have a company stopping providing a service that was fully paid for, and demanding more money to continue providing what was already paid for. That seems to be awfully cheeky. It is an outright breach of contract, unless something buried on page 527 of the applicable terms of service contract says the company can unilaterally demand more money without the customer's prior knowledge or consent.

But given how much American businesses have morally and legally degraded, can one rationally attribute this kind to customer treatment as mostly to Trump and his MAGA politics and policy? After all, Trump has (1) deregulated businesses, (2) blocked most (nearly all?) ongoing and new federal law enforcement against businesses, and (3) takes bribes from businesses to give them want they want to buy from him. Who or what is going to hold Pxy corp., or whatever the company's name is, accountable? Certainly not the FBI, DOJ or FTC. They work for the criminal organization Trump Inc.  


Q1: Is this more evidence that the American AI business model is crap because American style AI costs far more to provide than can be significantly made up for by consumer subscriptions? 

Q2: Is connecting what Pxy did with Trump politics an example of TDS-2, unreasonably over the top, or otherwise just too irrational to take seriously?


Clinical terminology 🤪:
TDS-1 = Trump derangement syndrome in Trump's deranged mind and the minds of his supporters
TDS-2 = Trump derangement syndrome in the minds of his critics

Info sources:
AI revenues are growing fast, but not fast enoughThe returns on trillions of dollars of spending are deeply uncertain 
Artificial Intelligence (AI) Business Model: How AI-Native Companies Make MoneyAI-native companies pay real money to serve every query. Traditional software as a service (SaaS) products incur minimal cost to serve one additional customer after the software ships. AI products pay to compute on every interaction, and that cost varies by customer, query complexity and the model that handles the request.



Saturday, August 1, 2026

MAGA politics & policy update: Lying, corruption, incompetence, wrecking relationships

Lying, corruption & incompetence
Trump and MAGA elites aren't hiding their true intentions, corruption and incompetence any more. Sometimes, their screw-ups just can't be hidden.  

An article about Trump's failed attempt to fix the reflecting poolCharges Dropped in Reflecting Pool Case as Prosecutors Say Work Was ‘Botched’, showcases blatant lying to the public and courts, and ghastly incompetence and corruption. Things are going just as expected. Trump's corrupted DOJ falsely accused an innocent person of vandalizing the reflecting pool. However, court proceedings required the DOJ to disclose evidence of vandalism. It turns out there was no vandalism. The repair job was completely botched. Charges dropped and MAGA prosecutors could not figure any way to keep persecuting the victimized defendant. Trump has called the repair job an astounding success.

The repair job on the water purification system failed leading to an algae bloom because Trump gave out a no-bid, non-competitive contract to a major Trump donor who had little relevant experience. That's blatant corruption. The repair job on the coatings that Trump falsely said were vandalized was also a no-bid, non-competitive contract to a different but also inexperienced contractor. There were two Trump repair jobs, the pool coating, and the water purification system. Both failed. That is pure incompetence. Link, link, link


Wrecking families and relationships
One of the cruelest and saddest aspects of Trump and MAGA demagoguery is the intense weaponization, polarization and divisiveness of politics. That was intentional. In addition to mass deceit of a significant portion of the public, a predictable result has been serious damage to millions of American families and to friendships. Damage from polarizing MAGA demagoguery is seen in both American families that are not recent immigrants families, and to immigrant families. 

One paper, Political breakups: Interpersonal consequences of polarization, described “political breakups” as losing relationships with friends, family members, romantic partners, or coworkers due to political differences. It's a real thing. data from 2025 indicated that ~37% of Americans reported having had a political breakup, mostly with friends. The researchers simply say that political polarization is driving many Americans apart. 

As expected for immigrant families, Trump family separation policy rips families apart. The 2024 paper, Mental Health Implications of Family Separation Associated with Migration Policies in the United States: A Systematic Review, makes clear that damage to many affected families is often quite serious. The data indicate that family separation or fear of it may result in depression, anxiety, behavioral and emotional issues, sleep disturbances, and stress or distress in both affected children and parents. 

A 2024 article Time published, How Estrangement Has Become an Epidemic in America, stated that ~10% of American families are estranged from a close relative(s) due to political differences. About one-third of American adults reported feeling uncomfortable at a family gathering in the past year because of a relative's political views. Link, link

Trump's divisiveness is intentional. He is not just divisive but anti-democratic. He normalizes personal authoritarian rule, attacks institutional constraints. He and uses his public office and public trust as resources to exploit for private gain. 

Although Obama was divisive, that was unintended. That was largely due to the fact that he was a Black man. Racists and bigots were enraged at his election and re-election. He was thus a polarizing president but nonetheless still accepted democracy, the rule of law and civilized politics. That is unlike Trump who relies heavily on dehumanization and demagoguery against immigrants, political opposition and democracy itself. Link

Friday, July 31, 2026

A poll that might be meaningful


Context

Polls are sometime misleading. The farther away the election, the less predictive the poll. Polls can miss because of sampling error, nonresponses, weighting choices, or wording effects. It’s usually best to treat a single poll as a snapshot, not rock solid truth. Despite weaknesses, polls are usually only practical way to for the public get a feel for public sentiment. Poll data is sometimes reasonably accurate. Some people believe that their personal experiences and knowledge accurately reflect majority public sentiment. Nearly all of those people are wrong too often to be taken seriously because personal opinions are not reliable substitutes for systematic polling.

The CNN poll

A recent CNN poll, Americans doubt Trump is paying enough attention to the country’s most pressing issues, released data that feels reasonably accurate and unusually important. Several data points seem to reflect a new, growing understanding of Trump. They are (1) Trump’s public approval is 34%, (2) 73% say he is out of touch with ordinary Americans, (3) 66% say he he does not put the country’s good above personal gain, and (4) 57% say he lacks the stamina and sharpness to serve effectively. Collectively, those data points suggest that a significant portion of the American people have MAGA policy fatigue coupled with an apparently major public rejection of his character, self-dealing (corruption), and fitness to govern. Apparently, Trump’s incompetence and corruption are finally sinking in with a lot of people.

Source

For people who have been arguing Trump’s extraordinary self-centered corruption and incompetence for years, this looks like a little bit of long-overdue vindication. But is it also frustrating that it has taken so damned long for this partial public awareness of what has been and should have been obvious at least since 2017. Will this public understanding make any difference in terms of defense of democracy, the rule of law and civil liberties against Trump and his corrupt authoritarian MAGA onslaught? There is no way to know. This may already be too little, and too late.

Q: Is it reasonable to assert that (1) even with this poll’s mild wording, most Americans now see Trump as venal, self-interested, and unfit, and (2) CNN’s data analysis treats this as evidence that “late-stage Trumpism” is losing its grip because public skepticism is no longer limited to one scandal or one issue, but instead it extends to Trump’s core persona and abuse of power?

Info sources:

Key Points to Remember About Polling in the Run-up to Election DayPre-election polls can be helpful in thinking about what to expect on Election Day, but they are not predictions of the election outcomes.

Election polls are 95% confident but only 60% accuratewe have found that the actual vote total for a given candidate fell within the 95% confidence interval for just 60% of the polls. This degree of accuracy was reached only when the polls were conducted in the week before an election; accuracy was worse for polls conducted earlier. ….. when laypeople read about poll results, they tend to overestimate the poll’s accuracy

We’ve Officially Entered the Twilight of Late-Stage TrumpismIt’s all there in a new CNN poll, and it’s heartening to see: Large majorities are sick of Donald Trump’s vanity, venality, and megalomania.

Trump Holds the American People in Total ContemptTo say that President Trump is corrupt is to somehow understate the size, scope and magnitude of his corruption. ….. Trump’s corruption, which is so vast as to be a new phenomenon in American politics. The president and his family have leveraged his office to the tune of nearly $4 billion.

Source: Data as of Jan. 20, 2026

Wednesday, July 29, 2026

The Frustration Files: Trying to explain the authoritarian threat to people who see threat

Poll data indicates that most Americans believe there is serious threat to American democracy. Despite that understanding, most still really do not get it. Most still believe that their positions and protections are safe. They cannot see the major losses to their own wealth, power and protections that Trump, MAGA elites and allied demagogues are quietly, constantly inflicting on Americans and the public interest.

Simply put, MAGA politics and policy doesn’t just steal money. It takes money and power by deceit, coercion and whatever other means will work. It uses stolen money to stay in power, and it uses that added power to steal more. MAGA is engaged in a vicious cycle of corruption and tyranny.

On the propaganda front, MAGA politic and policy is all about pretending to be for the average person, while being for the elites at the expense of average people. Nearly all those Trump and GOP voters really, sincerely believed they were voting for their own interests and defense of democracy and the rule of law. By now it is clear they were horribly wrong because they were badly deceived.

The hard thing to explain here is that MAGA's authoritarian kleptocracy is usually incremental and bureaucratic. It is usually not flashy and cinematic. It usually works by exploiting existing institutions such as courts, banks, tax agencies, the media, finance, and election rules. Average people experience fragments of the damage spread out over time. There is no single obvious catastrophic takeover in a few days. That slow burn through the core of democracy and rule of law makes it easy for morally rotted, corrupted politicians or media figures to say “nothing major has happened”. They say that while knowing full well that democracy and the rule of law is being gutted, causing wealth and power to flow from us and the public interest to them and allied special interests.

Q1: Is it plausible to believe that many or most rank and file Trump and MAGA voters were and still are deceived and betrayed by MAGA demagoguery, lies, slanders, crackpottery and irrational emotional manipulation?  

Q2: Is it plausible that many Americans recognize corruption, inequality, and democratic fragility in the abstract while still underestimating how directly MAGA forces are eroding everyday rights, bargaining power, civil liberties, public wealth, and economic security?


Info sources: 
Can Educating Citizens about Democratic Backsliding Increase Engagement with Democracy? -- “Research shows that citizens in democracies often struggle to recognize when their own democracy is under threat, as leaders will try to justify undemocratic actions as necessary to protect democracy or reduce corruption ..... Our research offers a  first step in demonstrating that informing people about how democratic backsliding unfolds increases awareness of threats to democracy, but much more research is needed to understand how to translate that awareness into real-world action.” 


Why a growing number of Trump supporters are experiencing voter’s remorse -- Twenty percent of Trump supporters with postgraduate degrees expressed a reluctance to vote for Trump if given a second opportunity. ..... 31% of independents who voted for Trump in 2024 would not vote for him again in an election do-over

Threats to American Democracy Ahead of an Unprecedented Presidential Election -- More than three-fourths of Americans (77%) believe that the country is going in the wrong direction, compared with only 22% who believe the country is going in the right direction. ..... Majorities of white Christians — including white evangelical Protestants (77%), white mainline/non-evangelical Protestants (60%), and white Catholics (57%) — believe American culture and way of life has mostly changed for the worse.

The Effect of Increasing Wealth Inequality on U.S. Democracy at the State Level -- Wealth has become so unequally distributed at this point, and has increased so wildly throughout the last 25 years, that we are living in a totally different reality than even in the 1990s. I don’t think we realize that enough. At the very top, some people are simply above any consequences for their actions.

Americans Sound the Alarm over Corruption and Democratic Erosion -- Of all the possible threats to the United States, Americans rank government corruption and weakening democracy as the top two most critical threats to American interests, signaling anxieties over the health of the political system itself.