Etiquette



DP Etiquette

First rule: Don't be a jackass. Most people are good.

Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.

Wednesday, February 11, 2026

AI WARNING.....

 


Glorified Ad or Grave Warning? The Internet Debates Mega-Viral Economic Doomsday Article About AI Revolution

An article warning humans that artificial intelligence (AI) would soon replace just about everyone went viral on social media on Tuesday, sparking a debate over whether the text was a legitimate warning or an “AI-generated word salad” intended as a glorified advertisement.

In the article posted by AI company CEO Matt Shumer, social media users were warned that the AI revolution could come far sooner than most expected.

Shumer warned that lawyers, finance experts, journalists, marketing copywriters, programmers, workers in the health industry, and customer service agents would all soon be on the chopping block to be replaced by AI, with AI systems on track to “replace human judgment, creativity, strategic thinking,” and even “empathy.”

While the article went hugely viral on social media, amassing 33 million views and 53,000 likes on Elon Musk’s X, Shumer’s claims were shot down by many skeptics.

“It’s depressing how widely shared and read this is. It’s AI-generated word salad posted by someone with a vested interest in spreading AI hype,” weighed in Front Porch Republic editor Jeffrey Bilbro. “AI is ‘big,’ I guess, but its effects will be much more complicated and variegated than this ‘essay’ implies.”

Others, including The Washington Post’s Megan McArdle, argued that the fact that an AI-written article could ignite such a firestorm was evidence in favor of Shumer’s thesis.

“If ‘AI-generated word salad’ can convince a bunch of folks that AI will be the biggest disruption since man tamed fire … well, you should update your priors in favor of AI being incredibly disruptive,” argued McArdle.

Critics described the article as “delusional,” “bullsh*t,” and a barely disguised ad.

https://www.mediaite.com/media/tech/glorified-ad-or-grave-warning-the-internet-debates-mega-viral-economic-doomsday-article-about-ai-revolution/ 

Only question I have is how soon will AI replace Germaine or myself?? 😕

 


The Machinery Is Being Built: What Eight Days in February Revealed About November 2026


 

[This essay condenses findings from a 37-page report documenting Trump administration activity February 2-10, 2026, with comprehensive sourcing.  Full report available here]

On February 2, President Trump said Republicans should "nationalize" elections and "take over" voting in "15 different places." Six days later, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries responded: "What Donald Trump wants to do is try to nationalize the election. Translation: steal it."

Elite consensus now openly acknowledges the stakes. If you've been trying to follow the news and feeling like the pieces don't quite add up to adequate response—this is why. The question is whether we can see the whole picture clearly enough, quickly enough, to respond before the window closes.

The Problem We Face

Here's what makes this moment different from the daily chaos of Trump 1.0: mainstream media covers the pieces  with varying degrees of (in)accuracy, but more importantly they are covered and interpreted separately. Immigration reporters cover ICE expansion. Election reporters cover voter roll litigation. Investigative teams document detention facility construction. Each story appears in its own section, its own day, its own frame.

This fragmentation isn't accidental—it's structural. And it may serve consolidation of authoritarian power by preventing us from seeing what's actually being built: integrated infrastructure across three domains, all converging on a single November Elections 2026 deadline.

I wrote this to explain why the daily news feels increasingly fragmented, as if incapable of or unwilling to report what many of us can see happening in real time; and why institutions seem unable to respond to it adequately. I integrated just eight days of coverage across different beats in a report this week, and a systematic picture emerged that no single outlet I'm aware of has presented to the public.

Though I've written about this problem before here, the stakes are now much higher. The integrated operations of the Trump administration are outpacing institutional capacity to respond in the decisive months between now and the election. What follows is documentation of what eight days in early Feb. revealed.

 

What Eight Days Revealed

Between February 2 and 10, three systems advanced simultaneously:

Operational Capacity: WIRED published leaked documents showing ICE and Border Patrol securing 150+ new field office locations across nearly every state. Not temporary surge capacity—multi-year leases establishing permanent presence near schools, medical facilities, places of worship. Detention capacity expanding to 150,000 beds (five times current levels), with warehouse-scale facilities under construction. Personnel doubled from 11,000 to 22,000+ agents. All funded through $75-80 billion in multi-year appropriations independent of annual budgets—meaning shutdown threats are theater that affects TSA and FEMA but leaves enforcement fully operational.

Voter Suppression Systems: DOJ demanding complete voter rolls from all 50 states, including Social Security numbers, driver's licenses, email addresses, phone numbers, party registration, and voting history. Three federal judges ruled against DOJ in four days (Oregon, California, Michigan), with judges explicitly questioning DOJ's trustworthiness. Meanwhile, Palantir's $60+ million system integrates voter data with Medicaid/SNAP databases, DMV records, and facial recognition into "confidence scores" for bulk deportation processing. And Reuters reported ICE maintains a surveillance database tracking 655+ individuals prosecuted for observing immigration operations—a pre-election target list of civically engaged activists.

Institutional Constraint Neutralization: Fifth Circuit eliminated bond hearings for broad categories of detainees (mandatory indefinite detention). A Biden-appointed judge struck down California's ban on masked immigration enforcement. Congress questioned agency heads while Tom Homan—the actual operational commander—was absent, running enforcement from the White House as unconfirmed advisor bypassing normal oversight.

The Rosetta Stone

How do we know these aren't separate controversies occurring simultaneously? Because Attorney General Pam Bondi told us.

Her January 24 letter to Minnesota Governor Walz explicitly demanded three things as conditions for considering operational changes in Minneapolis: complete voter registration rolls, all Medicaid and SNAP recipient data, and state law enforcement cooperation with ICE.

This is documentary proof. Not interpretation—proof cited by federal judges as evidence DOJ "could [no longer] be taken at its word" and seeks to "abridge the right of many Americans to cast their ballots."

Immigration enforcement creates leverage for data extraction. Data extraction enables voter identification and intimidation. Operational capacity enables removal. All converging on November.

The Timeline Is Arithmetic, Not Rhetoric

All systems operational by November 2026. That's not hyperbole—it's construction timelines:

  • ICE office leases being signed now on multi-year terms

  • Detention warehouses have summer completion targets

  • Hiring surges ongoing

  • Voter roll litigation will extend months past deadline regardless of outcome

The infrastructure will be operational for the midterm election whether or not courts rule favorably or Congress passes restrictions. This isn't about legal permission—it's about physical capacity becoming reality while opposition negotiates over guardrails.

Why Institutions Seem Unable to Respond

Acting ICE Director Todd Lyons, asked about threats against officers: "Let me send a message to anyone who thinks they can intimidate us: You will fail. We are only getting started."

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, same day: "The clock is ticking for Republicans to negotiate seriously with Democrats to rein in ICE."

Two parallel realities. Schumer negotiates over masks, warrants, body cameras. Lyons announces operations are escalating. Democrats propose legislation requiring Trump's signature. Republicans fund enforcement independently for multiple years. Democratic timelines unfold over months. Enforcement operates daily.

The tempo mismatch appears decisive. And it's not just tempo—it's fragmentation. Only three states (New York, Massachusetts, Maine) have enacted coordinated restrictions on ICE cooperation. If that expanded to 10-15 states acting simultaneously, the operational friction would multiply significantly. But sequential resistance allows operations to shift to less-resistant jurisdictions. Coordinated multi-state action could -- potentially-- overwhelm federal administrative capacity to adjust.

That's not happening.

What Scholars Are Saying

In December 2025, Steven Levitsky, Lucan Way, and Daniel Ziblatt—authors of How Democracies Die—published "The Price of American Authoritarianism" in Foreign Affairs. Their assessment: the United States has crossed the threshold from democracy to competitive authoritarianism—a system where elections are held and opposition operates, but the playing field is systematically tilted through state institutions.

What we may be witnessing now is the consolidation phase: infrastructure build-out that makes the regime type change irreversible. Whether consolidation locks in, they wrote, depends on "how citizens and institutions respond in coming months."

Nine months remain. The machinery is being built. The question is whether we can integrate understanding and coordinate operationally fast enough to disrupt construction before the system becomes operational.

Why This Matters

If the news seems to fragment into disconnected outrages that somehow don't add up to adequate response, that fragmentation is real and structural. Seeing it clearly, together, refusing to accept the fragmentation even when our institutions can't—that matters. Not because it guarantees we can stop what's being built, but because witnessing together while there's still time is what we owe each other and the future.

This is for the record. For future understanding of how consolidation succeeded or failed despite being visible to anyone willing to integrate the evidence. And for the possibility, however small, that someone positioned to disrupt construction gains the clarity needed to act.

Nine months remain. The machinery is being built. What emerges will be determined not by what public negotiations promise, but by what operational infrastructure accomplishes—and whether enough of us see clearly enough, quickly enough, to disrupt construction before it's complete. We can't know if that's possible. But we can refuse to look away. That's what we owe each other, and everyone who comes after.


Key Sources:

Tuesday, February 10, 2026

A MAGA politician has a mini-epiphany - "wow"

Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyo.) said Monday she now understands “what the big deal is” after reviewing unredacted files tied to convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

“I’ve not been one of the members who has glommed on to this as an issue,” Lummis said in an interview with journalist Pablo Manríquez. “I’ve sort of intentionally deferred to others to find out about it. But 9-year-old victims … wow.”

“I’ve sort of intentionally deferred to others to find out about it. But 9-year-old victims … wow. Well, initially, my reaction to all this was, ‘I don’t care. I don’t know what the big deal is.’ But now I see what the big deal is, and it was worth investigating,” she added. “And the members of Congress that have been pushing this were not wrong. So that’s really my only reaction.”
Her initial reaction was ‘I don’t care’. Her only reactions are “wow” and that people in congress wanting to investigate weren’t wrong. Wonderful. That's blistering, over the horizon insight and analysis. /s 

This is a candid glimpse into the mind of the standard-issue congressional MAGA Republican. Lummis represents classic MAGA incompetence coupled plus classic callousness, apathy, stupidity, and Dog only knows what other moral horrors lurk in her black MAGA character.


Q: Is it over the top or simply wrong to harshly criticize Lummis and all other congressional MAGA Republicans like this? If there are exceptions, who are they? 

Saturday, February 7, 2026

Analysis of political polarization in the US


A recent research paper, A new measure of issue polarization using k-means clustering: US trends 1988–2024 and predictors of polarization across the world, describes results researchers got from trying to measure political polarization over time and across countries. Trying to assess political polarization has been messy and error-prone. This paper describes the use of a data collection and analysis method they call k-means clustering (KMC). KMC appears to afford a better way to assess what issues are dividing Americans so bitterly and thus threatening our democracy, rule of law and civil liberties.

In this paper, scientists tracked polarization over time and compared it across countries. Instead of relying on whether people call themselves "liberal" or "conservative," or "Democrat" or "Republican," the researchers used KMC, a computer algorithm. The algorithm looks at how people actually answer a wide range of policy questions, then sorts them into groups of like-minded people from the ground up, without any named political labels. Polarization was measured by separation (how far apart groups are in their views), cohesion (how much people within each group agree with one another), and size (groups sizes compared). That is new in analysis of political polarization. Clusters of issues were assessed in the groups, e.g., abortion, gun control, immigration, gender roles, social values, etc.

The results are interesting. First, KMC analysis found polarization increased in the USA from 1988 to 2024, driven almost completely by a period of rising separation between clusters of beliefs from 2008 to 2020. Data from across the world indicated that mass issue polarization is driven primarily by disagreement over cultural issues, but that varied according to each nation's Human Development Index (HDI), a measure of health (life expectancy at birth), education level (years of schooling) and standard of living (income). Since 1988, the US has been more highly polarized compared to high HDI countries.

Most of the increasing polarization came from the groups moving farther apart from each other on issues. not from people in each group becoming more uniform, or from one side growing much larger than the other.

Data analysis indicated that people's opinions become more "packaged" or clustered. In 1988, someone with right-leaning views on the economy didn't necessarily oppose abortion. Today, positions on different issues increasingly go together in a bundle. If you know someone's view on one topic, you can more reliably guess their views on many others. Interestingly, data analysis also indicated that some of American society was liberalizing, with the left-leaning cluster being significantly more socially liberal in 2024 than in 1988, while the right-leaning cluster was rather stable becoming only slightly more conservative.

What that data and analysis does not capture is radicalization of the right-leaning cluster. It is only slightly more conservative on the issues analyzed, immigration, taxes, gun regulations, social spending, etc. But support for radical right authoritarianism, e.g., supporting strong leaders breaking laws to set things right, or loss of respect for democratic norms and institutions, is a different political dimension than what this research paper analyzed. 

In other words, many or most conservatives (about half the country) generally hold about the same policy views they held in 2008 (abortion probably being an exception), but became more authoritarian in how they believe those policies should be implemented (another link). Meanwhile, about half of the US, more or less liberalized and retained their support for democracy and the rule of law.