Etiquette



DP Etiquette

First rule: Don't be a jackass. Most people are good.

Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.

Sunday, March 8, 2020

Conservative Attacks on Inconvenient Science Continue

The president's minions are inserting lies about climate science into various official documents. The New York Times reports:
“An official at the Interior Department embarked on a campaign that has inserted misleading language about climate change — including debunked claims that increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is beneficial — into the agency’s scientific reports, according to documents reviewed by The New York Times. 
The misleading language appears in at least nine reports, including environmental studies and impact statements on major watersheds in the American West that could be used to justify allocating increasingly scarce water to farmers at the expense of wildlife conservation and fisheries. 
The effort was led by Indur M. Goklany, a longtime Interior Department employee who, in 2017 near the start of the Trump administration, was promoted to the office of the deputy secretary with responsibility for reviewing the agency’s climate policies. The Interior Department’s scientific work is the basis for critical decisions about water and mineral rights affecting millions of Americans and hundreds of millions of acres of land. 
The wording, known internally as the “Goks uncertainty language” based on Mr. Goklany’s nickname, inaccurately claims that there is a lack of consensus among scientists that the earth is warming. In Interior Department emails to scientists, Mr. Goklany pushed misleading interpretations of climate science, saying it “may be overestimating the rate of global warming, for whatever reason;” climate modeling has largely predicted global warming accurately. The final language states inaccurately that some studies have found the earth to be warming, while others have not. 
He also instructed department scientists to add that rising carbon dioxide — the main force driving global warming — is beneficial because it “may increase plant water use efficiency” and “lengthen the agricultural growing season.” Both assertions misrepresent the scientific consensus that, overall, climate change will result in severe disruptions to global agriculture and significant reductions in crop yields.”

These lies and the intended deceit is part the president’s administration. They are aligned with his belief that climate change is a hoax. It is therefore fair and reasonable to add these lies to his total under the ‘buck stops at the top’ theory of government accountability. For the record, the president’s total of false and misleading statements was 16,241 at the end of year three.

Conservative and populist hostility to both inconvenient science and inconvenient truth and their tolerance of the blatant debasement of both are anti-democratic, authoritarian, corrupt and deeply immoral. Trump and Trump Party conservatism-populism seem to thrive in this anti-truth and anti-science political milieu.

Saturday, March 7, 2020

Chapter Review: An Evolutionarily Informed Study of Moral Psychology

Philosophers, research scientists, and scholars across the academy have been wrestling with how to define, measure and think about morality for thousands of years. .... Why is it that the study of morality such a difficult task? .... While the human mind is not usually considered an impediment to scientific progress, it may present particular barriers to accurate models of the nature of morality and moral psychology. This is not the first research question that has been hampered by the fact that science is done by humans. Often, the problem is that we have a powerful intuition or perception of how the world seems or ought to be that gets in the way of scientifically understanding how the world really is. .... Here and elsewhere, the fact that human intuition or perception does not well map the real world has made humans worse at real science. .... Whatever the specific design of our psychology turns out to be, results have been collected that make it very hard to believe that this design is simply a machine for uncovering the objective truth of the world.”--Max Krasnow, Moral Psychology: A Multidisciplinary Guide, 2017, page 29


The 2017 book Moral Psychology: A Multidisciplinary Guide, edited by Benjamin Voyer and Tor Tarantola, is an academic publication intended to begin a process of unifying research on the extremely and subtle difficult topic of morality. Chapter 2, An Evolutionarily Informed Study of Moral Psychology, was written by Max Krasnow, an evolutionary psychologist at Harvard.

This book is written for an academic audience of researchers and scholars who pursue the study of morality-related topics such as what morals are, where they come from and why, and what they do. To advance knowledge to a higher level, researchers in a range of disciplines including psychology, philosophy, anthropology, sociology, evolutionary biology, cognitive biology, neuroscience and computer science need to become more aware of what other disciplines are doing and have discovered. This book will generally be quite difficult for a lay audience to understand. Given the complexity of morality, convergence and merging of knowledge from all disciplines will be necessary to move knowledge from its current level of infancy to a basis that can accelerate progress. Right now, progress is painfully slow.


Why morals are not intended or needed to reflect objective truth
Assuming that evolutionary forces shaped morals and moral behavior, Krasnow argues there are three closely related reasons that morality does not need to reflect objective truth. That does not mean that morals and behaviors that morals motivate are nonsense or useless. Disconnect from objective truth reflects the severely limited data processing bandwidth of the human brain in the face of an essentially infinitely complex world. That world includes humans, human societies, and technology and environments that change over time.

Krasnow’s first reason for the reality disconnect is that it is often the case that knowing objective truth is completely irrelevant to survival. A human who understands that gravity is a distortion of space-time has no survival advantage over another who knows enough to not to walk over the edge of a cliff or fall out of a tree because things that are not supported by the ground or a tree will fall to ground, which that can hurt a lot. In such situations, random mutations will lead to increasing survival fitness, but not necessarily increasing objective knowledge. This evolutionary pressure applied to morals and moral behavior.

Krasnow’s second, related reason is that there is an evolutionary pressure asymmetry in penalties for some mistakes in perceptions of reality. A well-known example is the fear and automatic defense response. A person mistaking some ground-level movement caused by a breeze for a snake and jumping away, suffers only a minimal loss of effort to avoid a non-existent threat. Here the goal isn't objective accuracy. The goal is not getting bitten by a snake. By contrast, the penalty for ignoring a movement that turns out to be a snake can inflict a very high penalty for being wrong if the person gets bitten.

In terms of cooperative behavior with strangers, usually considered to be a moral thing to do, tentative, limited cooperation can lead to more cooperation. That can lead to a higher payoff if the stranger turns out to be trustworthy. If the stranger is untrustworthy from the outset, the penalty for misplaced trust is low. In Pleistocene times (about 2.6 million years ago until about 11,700 years ago) when morals are believed to be shaped most prominently, people lived in small groups and everyone knew everyone else. Under those social conditions, cheaters were spotted pretty fast. A significant level of cheating was not possible for long. By contrast, in modern times a Ponzi scheme that runs for years is possible because people don't know each other. Ponzi schemers play on the normal human default tendency to trust. Presumably, most people would consider a Ponzi scheme to be immoral to at least some extent.

Krasnow’s third reason focuses on the fact that humans are inherently social creatures. We cooperated in groups to survive and that meant engaging social behaviors that helped the group to survive. Thus appearances to others that a person in the group is cooperative and does good deeds, even if no payoff is obvious, typically leads to social acceptance in the group. That social acceptance enhances the good person’s survival fitness. Thus, beliefs, behaviors and opinions that signal pro-social cooperativity can conflict with the objective world but nonetheless still be selected for. Krasnow points out that this is tricky. If a pro-social acting person is seen to be insincere, it tends to dampen social acceptance. People tend to distrust phonies. Krasnow comments: “In the moral domain, the selection pressures responsible for our moral sentiments -- our concern for the sick, our outrage at the oppressor, etc. -- may be more about what these sentiments signal to others than anything to do with objective truth seeking.”

Krasnow argues that those three reasons are why we often disconnect morals and moral beliefs and behaviors from objective reality: “Taking these points together -- that the objective truth is often fitness irrelevant, that the right kind of error is often ecologically rational, and that the adaptive problem is at least sometimes about changing someone else’s behavior -- helps suggest a program for an evolutionarily informed study of human moral psychology. The first task is to identify the major filters -- that is, the adaptive problems -- that components of moral psychology have been designed to solve.”

Book Review: Breaking the Two-Party Doom Loop

Hi Germaine, I've not been around for awhile, but I stumbled on a book review, and interview with the author, which the regulars on this site might find of interest.  I've put it up on another discussion thread as well, that being the News View group, and you may just want to, if you choose to put this up, refer them to that link (https://newsviews.online/2020/03/07/book-review-breaking-the-two-party-doom-loop/), or publish on this blog the following submission:

Can America Break Free from the Two-Party Doom Loop?

There is a growing consensus that the American political system is no longer the gold standard it once was. The United States ranks outside the top 20 countries in the Corruption Perception Index. U.S. voter turnout trails most other developed countries. Congressional approval ratings hover around 20 percent, and polling shows that partisan animosity is at an all-time high. It doesn’t take a social scientist to see that our legislatures are increasingly defined by gridlock and gamesmanship.


It’s always tempting to think that the next election will turn things around, and for both Republicans and Democrats to believe that our country would course-correct if only they could elect more of their own. But what if the problem isn’t the people on the other side of the aisle? What if the two-party system itself is creating a vicious cycle, making government less effective and driving us apart?
That’s what Lee Drutman argues in Breaking the Two-Party Doom Loop. Drutman, a political scientist and senior fellow at New America, writes that moving to a multiparty democracy can create fair representation, reduce partisan gridlock, lead to more positive incremental change, and increase both voter turnout and voter satisfaction. And through concrete reforms, like implementing ranked-choice voting and expanding the size of the House of Representatives, Drutman lays out the path forward. 
Go to link for the full review:
If you're intrigued by the review, here's an interview with the author:

https://www.salon.com/2020/03/07/can-multi-party-democracy-break-us-out-of-the-doom-loop-of-american-politics/

Finally, here's a recent Youtube video of a Drutman giving a talk on the book's argument:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2xVSnScjBCU





Trump's Re-election Strategy: Investigate and Smear Joe Biden

Part of the president's re-election strategy has become clear. The Washington Post writes: “A day after threatening to withhold his vote, Sen. Mitt Romney signaled Friday that he will support a Republican effort to obtain documents and testimony relating to work done in Ukraine by the son of former vice president Joe Biden.

Romney (R-Utah) will vote for issuing a subpoena in the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee next week after receiving assurances from the panel’s chairman, Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.), ‘that any interview of the witness would occur in a closed setting without a hearing or public spectacle,’ Romney spokeswoman Liz Johnson said in a statement.

Romney joined Democrats last month in voting to convict President Trump of abuse of power based on his dealings with Ukraine; the president was acquitted on the impeachment counts. On Thursday, Romney said Sen. Johnson’s probe had the appearance of being politically motivated to target Trump’s potential general-election rival. ‘I would prefer that investigations are done by an independent, nonpolitical body,’ he said.

The subpoena vote, set for Wednesday, comes as Trump and his Republican allies refocus their attention[1] on Biden’s connections to Ukraine after his sudden surge in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. Trump said in a Fox News Channel interview Wednesday that he planned to make those connections a “major issue” in the presidential race should Biden win the nomination. ‘I will bring that up all the time,” he told host Sean Hannity.’”

So, the key points here are, (1) the president is going to make this into a major campaign issue, and (2) this effort is politically motivated by the rise of Biden’s wins in democratic primaries. Romney was right to say that the Trump Party had the appearance of being politically motivated. It definitely is politically motivated. Corruption isn’t the Trump Party’s concern. Winning the 2020 election is.

If Biden fumbles this issue, and he very well might, it will be all his fault. He has been fully warned well in advance. Since he chose to run for office, he is deeply morally obligated to not screw this up.

Fabricated evidence
In view of the obvious partisan basis for the investigation, the biggest concern is that the Trump Party or the Department of Justice will fabricate evidence to smear Biden with and take whatever political fallout that illegality might engender. One thing that is clear, as long as William Barr is Attorney General, any illegalities by the Trump Party in connection with supporting the president will not be investigated. There is no chance whatever of that happening. In that regard, the president will protect whatever sleaze Trump Party senators choose to engage in.


Footnote:
1. In another recent WaPo article, the president's intent to attack Biden as a corrupt politician was made clear: “President Trump and his Republican allies are rapidly shifting their focus to former vice president Joe Biden’s son Hunter, reviving attacks that led to Trump’s impeachment, in an effort to broadly define as corrupt the potential Democratic presidential nominee.

As Biden surged this week in the Democratic nominating contest — and with exit polls from Super Tuesday’s primaries showing he has captured at least some of the white working-class voters that propelled Trump’s 2016 victory — the president vowed to make Hunter Biden’s work in Ukraine a “major issue” in the general election, should Joe Biden win the nomination.”