Etiquette



DP Etiquette

First rule: Don't be a jackass. Most people are good.

Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.

Thursday, November 23, 2023

News bits: The AI war -- capitalism vs public interest; Topics for thxgvg dinner arguments; WTF!!??

What the AI fight is really about: By now it's clear that a lot of the news about AI commerce boils down to mostly or completely a single point of view: war, brass knuckles capitalism vs. the public interest. The brass knuckles capitalism vs. the public interest. The 👊 crowd condescendingly and mendaciously tell us that what's good for them is good for us. Maybe so, but from what I can tell if what's good for those elites gives them X, what most of us peons get get is ~0.01X to 0.0001X - literally zero depending who we are, wherein we means honest people who try to play the game by the rules. 

From the wealthy elite point of view, why would me or anyone else say such a horrible, terrible awful thing? Because it's true, that's why: 



2013 data

The lesson is obvious: what's good for the wealthy elites and those who claw their way into the wealthy class usually isn't very good for us because (i) power comes with wealth, (ii) low power comes with anything less than wealth, and (iii) power and wealth work in their own interests which is mostly getting more power and wealth. In my opinion, more power and wealth usually (~98% of the time) comes at the expense of the rest of us.

I posted about this a couple of days ago in a bit called The war of mindsets that control AI. I raise the same issue again. The WaPo reports about who and what Sam Altman was and still is:
Altman’s polarizing past hints at OpenAI board’s reason for firing him

Before OpenAI, Altman was asked to leave by his mentor at the prominent start-up incubator Y Combinator, part of a pattern of clashes that some attribute to his self-serving approach

Friday’s shocking ouster of Sam Altman, who negotiated his return as CEO of OpenAI late Tuesday night, was not the first time the shrewd Silicon Valley operator has found himself on the outs
Four years ago, Altman’s mentor, Y Combinator founder Paul Graham, flew from the United Kingdom to San Francisco to give his protégé the boot, according to three people familiar with the incident, which has not been previously reported.

Graham had surprised the tech world in 2014 by tapping Altman, then in his 20s, to lead the vaunted Silicon Valley incubator. Five years later, he flew across the Atlantic with concerns that the company’s president put his own interests ahead of the organization — worries that would be echoed by OpenAI’s board.

Though a revered tactician and chooser of promising start-ups, Altman had developed a reputation for favoring personal priorities over official duties and for an absenteeism that rankled his peers and some of the start-ups he was supposed to nurture, said two of the people, as well as an additional person, all of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity to candidly describe private deliberations. The largest of those priorities was his intense focus on growing OpenAI, which he saw as his life’s mission, one person said.  
A separate concern, unrelated to his initial firing, was that Altman personally invested in start-ups he discovered through the incubator using a fund he created with his brother Jack — a kind of double-dipping for personal enrichment that was practiced by other founders and later limited by the organization.

“It was the school of loose management that is all about prioritizing what’s in it for me,” said one of the people.
IMFO, Altman’s polarizing past means his ruthless, brass knuckles way of doing business, even when it comes at the expense of the public interest.

In 2023 it’s clear that the plutocrat's poison daggers are fully out and looking for spines to sever in the dead of night (without much or any public knowledge). This war isn't just about foaming at the mouth Christian nationalist kleptocrat freaks trying to enslave and rape us. The other enslaving, raping monsters are dictator-loving, radical right Republican kleptocrat elites and freaks. 

Both authoritarian armies fight against democracy and inconvenient facts and truths via wars of deceit, lies, slanders and etc. They fight on two major fronts, religion and commerce. Us fragmented, disunited pro-democracy, pro-truth forces are under vicious, slanderous attack. Who is our pro-democracy General? I don’t know. It sure ain't Biden. Guess it’s mostly just us regular E-1 privates or grunts. Any Captains or Majors in the crowd? We’re in a full-blown war.
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The WaPo put together a nice list of things to fight and bicker over at thxgvg dinner:

Here are the facts to prepare you for your 
Thanksgiving arguments


Abortion

Since Roe v. Wade was overturned in June 2022, voters have supported abortion rights in six states — including red Kansas, Kentucky and Ohio. A federal appeals court ruled in August that it would restrict access to mifepristone, a widely used abortion pill, because the Food and Drug Administration did not follow the proper process in 2016 when loosening regulations to make the pill more easily available.

Presidential age

President Biden would be 82 at his second inauguration in 2025, and former president Donald Trump would be 78. Biden is the oldest president in U.S. history, and if he served a full second term from 2025 to 2029 he would be 86 when he left office; Trump would be 82.


Trump’s legal cases

Trump is the first former U.S. president to face criminal charges. He has been indicted in four criminal cases and has denied wrongdoing in each. Trump and 18 others face racketeering charges in Georgia after a leaked recording allegedly showed Trump trying to pressure Georgia’s Republican secretary of state to “find” enough votes to reverse his 2020 electoral loss. Last week, The Washington Post obtained a recording of four defendants offering previously undisclosed details about the alleged effort. Those defendants have accepted plea deals.

Border

Biden promised while campaigning not to build “another foot” of the U.S.-Mexico border wall. But in October, the administration fast-tracked the construction of roughly a dozen segments of barriers spanning 17 miles in South Texas. The Post reported that families crossing illegally hit an all-time high over the summer.

50 years of hip-hop

This year marked a half-century of hip-hop. The occasion was celebrated with jam-packed tours, parties and remembrances. Those who lived through the past 50 years have viewed its meteoric rise — from suburbanite-loathed underground music created by Black artists to the sonic backbone of current popular music. Historians argue, but the general belief is that the genre was born in 1973 at a back-to-school party that DJ Kool Herc for his sister Cindy in the Bronx. And now hip-hop plays in stores while people do their own back-to-school shopping.

Artificial intelligence

This was the year AI, or artificial intelligence, went mainstream. AI, an umbrella term for any form of technology that can perform “intelligent” tasks, has mostly been used to find patterns in huge data sets. But a boom in generative AI — which uses this pattern-matching to create words, images and sounds — has opened up new possibilities and scams. Economists took note. Companies have always turned to robots to reduce wages, reportedly even the animatronic band at Chuck E. Cheese. AI is used in many forms, including OpenAI’s ChatGPT, which has already cost some humans their jobs, and Dall-E, which has made images on the internet even less trustworthy. Speaking of jobs, Sam Altman’s dramatic dismissal as OpenAI CEO last week underscored the deep philosophical divisions in the AI world. Microsoft immediately hired him.

Inflation 



Russia-Ukraine

Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, kicking off the biggest ground war in Europe since World War II. Tens of thousands have been killed in the war. Russian President Vladimir Putin has maintained that Ukraine belongs to Moscow. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Kyiv have surprised many by holding on this long. There are concerns that Ukraine could get left behind as the United States deals with other security issues. Congress has appropriated about $113 billion to help Ukraine since Russia invaded, The Post has reported. The United States has sent armored vehicles, air defense systems, artillery, drones and more. Biden requested $106 billion in emergency foreign aid to help Ukraine hold back Russia, to support Israel’s fight against Hamas and to ward off Chinese influence.


Israel-Hamas

There’s war going on. ðŸ¤¯(A 4 day ceasefire and hostage for prisoner swap starts on Friday. War resumes the following Tuesday. Let the bickering commence!)

Climate

A changing climate is making it harder to live on Earth. Hurricanes are getting stronger faster, seas are rising and wildfires are getting worse. People are doing what it takes to survive, even if that means eating dangerous water lilies in flooded parts of South Sudan. On Friday, preliminary data show, the planet creeped into a feared average temperature of more than 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above a historic norm.

Etc. 

A separate WaPo article, 5 things not to talk about at the Thanksgiving table, comments: 5. Skip the politics
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Here’s a news bit that really scares the bejezus out of me even more than it already had been scared out by Trump, MAGA and the kleptocratic, authoritarian GOP. For me, this one is a totally unexpected WTF!! moment. The Daily Beast writes:
A conservative nonprofit tied to a controversial “White House-in-waiting” for a second Donald Trump presidency [Project 2025-related] has apparently unintentionally revealed its top donors—and two of them are foundations famously associated with liberal causes.

The nonprofit, called American Compass, included the names of five donor organizations on a schedule in its 2022 tax statement, a copy of which was obtained by The Daily Beast. The page header says, “Do Not File” and “Not Open to Public Inspection,” indicating the donors may have been accidentally disclosed.

Of the five groups, two stand out for their prominent histories of supporting liberal causes—the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation and the Omidyar Network Foundation.

According to the tax statement, the Omidyar Network has contributed a total of $400,000 to American Compass since 2020. (In reality, Omidyar has donated $500,000, including forthcoming installments.) The Hewlett Foundation—a longtime supporter of National Public Radio—has accounted for more than one-third of American Compass’ total public support, giving a combined $1,486,000 over the same period, with an extra $475,000 dose this January.

That’s more than Hewlett gave to NPR or the Planned Parenthood Federation of America in the same timeframe.  
The donations are striking because American Compass is a partner organization in Project 2025, a controversial right-wing think tank that has been building the policy and personnel firmament for a second Trump administration.

Project 2025 is an arm of the Heritage Foundation and it has been criticized for its hard-right, authoritarian agenda—including “dehumanizing” rhetoric towards the LGBTQ community, re-upping Trump’s attempt to include citizenship on the census, leveraging the power of the Justice Department to crack down on critics, and a potentially unconstitutional plan to sic U.S. troops on domestic protesters.
Maybe I’m over-reacting here, but this indicates to me that what I thought was mostly a pro-democracy vs pro-dictatorship war probably significantly missed the mark. Instead, this evidence looks to me like we’re in what is mostly a class war of stunningly rich and powerful plutocrats and theocrats against democracy, the rule of law, civil liberties and transparency. That casts the situation differently. How many other supposed “liberal foundations” are secretly supporting the forces that are on the verge of imposing some form of kleptocratic dictatorship on American government and society?

Qs: Have I seriously misunderstood the nature of the civil war that now rages in American government and society? Or, is there really not much difference between seeing our mess as mostly America's authoritarian radical right against democracy, the rule of law, civil liberties and transparency? Does money coming from the political left to support a powerful, kleptocratic dictatorship extreme right movement make any difference? 

"Happy Thanksgiving" from a Psycho!

 


Double MAGA MAGA!! 😵
Yes, let's keep "plastering."

Wednesday, November 22, 2023

List of cognitive biases - 2022

This is for a reference at another site I am engaged with. 




News bits: Fascism?; Mandatory defense against the dark arts education!; DJT's open attack on justice

From Morning Joe: 

It's time fascism is called fascism and Americans 
know exactly what they're voting for




One commentator commentated: State and Federal judges must begin treating Trump like common Americans or start treating common Americans like Trump

The NYT article not paywalled off -- discussed in the video:
Trump’s Dire Words Raise New Fears About His Authoritarian Bent

The former president is focusing his most vicious attacks on domestic political opponents, setting off fresh worries among autocracy experts

Donald J. Trump rose to power with political campaigns that largely attacked external targets, including immigration from predominantly Muslim countries and from south of the United States-Mexico border.

But now, in his third presidential bid, some of his most vicious and debasing attacks have been leveled at domestic opponents.

During a Veterans Day speech, Mr. Trump used language that echoed authoritarian leaders who rose to power in Germany and Italy in the 1930s, degrading his political adversaries as “vermin” who needed to be “rooted out.”

“The threat from outside forces,” Mr. Trump said, “is far less sinister, dangerous and grave than the threat from within.”
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California law now requires K-12 teaching of defense against the dark arts in public schools: 
Pushing back against the surge of misinformation online, California will now require all K-12 students to learn media literacy skills — such as recognizing fake news and thinking critically about what they encounter on the internet.

Gov. Gavin Newsom last month signed Assembly Bill 873, which requires the state to add media literacy to curriculum frameworks for English language arts, science, math and history-social studies, rolling out gradually beginning next year. Instead of a stand-alone class, the topic will be woven into existing classes and lessons throughout the school year.

“I’ve seen the impact that misinformation has had in the real world — how it affects the way people vote, whether they accept the outcomes of elections, try to overthrow our democracy,” said the bill’s sponsor, Assemblymember Marc Berman, a Democrat from Menlo Park. “This is about making sure our young people have the skills they need to navigate this landscape.”

The new law comes amid rising public distrust in the media, especially among young people. A 2022 Pew Research Center survey found that adults under age 30 are nearly as likely to believe information on social media as they are from national news outlets. Overall, only 7% of adults have “a great deal” of trust in the media, according to a Gallup poll conducted last year.  
“The increase in Holocaust denial, climate change denial, conspiracy theories getting a foothold, and now AI … all this shows how important media literacy is for our democracy right now,” said Jennifer Ormsby, library services manager for the Los Angeles County Office of Education. “The 2016 election was a real eye-opener for everyone on the potential harms and dangers of fake news.”

“Media literacy is a basic part of being literate. If we’re just teaching kids how to read, and not think critically about what they’re reading, we’re doing them a disservice.” 
AB 873 passed nearly unanimously in the Legislature, underscoring the nonpartisan nature of the topic. 
Nationwide, Texas, New Jersey and Delaware have also passed strong media literacy laws, and more than a dozen other states are moving in that direction, according to Media Literacy Now, a nonprofit research organization that advocates for media literacy in K-12 schools.

Still, California’s law falls short of Media Literacy Now’s recommendations. California’s approach doesn’t include funding to train teachers, an advisory committee, input from librarians, surveys or a way to monitor the law’s effectiveness.
This is long overdue and minimal, but better than nothing. As I posted about in 2019, Finland has been subject to decades of relentless, severe Russian dark free speech attacks. Russian governments have been intent on poisoning and pacifying Finland's society to make it compliant with Russian demands. In response, Finland adopted a nationwide education program for all people, children and adults, to defend themselves against the dark free speech arts. That program has been significantly effective. The US now desperately needs the same kind of program.
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Business Insider reports about an effort by DJT to openly and directly attack witnesses against him in the federal insurrection lawsuit against him for his 1/6 coup attempt:
A panel of three judges on Monday appeared highly skeptical of arguments from Donald Trump's legal team seeking to revoke a gag order that bars him from attacking potential witnesses in his election interference criminal case.

D. John Sauer, Trump's attorney in the hearing before the United States Court of Appeals for the DC Circuit, took a highly expansive view of the former president's First Amendment rights.

Depending on "the context," Sauer argued, Trump would be permitted to pressure possible witnesses not to cooperate with prosecutors.

Judge Patricia Millet, an Obama appointee on the panel, repeatedly pressed Sauer to explain if Trump could ever be restricted from saying anything. She appeared annoyed when he avoided articulating any such standard.

"So is it your position that if he communicates through a social media post: 'Hey, Witness X, I know the prosecutor is bothering you, trying to get you to say bad things about me — be a patriot, don't act treasonously, don't cooperate'—" she began to ask Sauer.

Sauer interrupted the judge, saying it would "depend on the context" if it would be OK for Trump to pressure a witness in a public setting, and declined to answer the question directly.

After several minutes of back-and-forth with the judge — What if it was a "fair response" to something Witness X said? What if it was in the "political arena"? What if it was about former Vice President Mike Pence, who until recently challenged Trump for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? — Sauer finally conceded that there were possible circumstances where Trump would be violating the order.  
Trump's attorneys have sought to get rid of the gag order entirely, arguing that it infringes on his First Amendment rights, which they say is particularly heightened since he is the frontrunner for the Republican nomination in the 2024 presidential election. Chutkan scheduled a trial for March.

"What they've described as 'threats' is actually, under the Supreme Court's jurisprudence, pure political speech," Sauer said. "It is rough and tumble, it is hard-hitting in many situations, but it absolutely is core political speech."
DJT is clear that he has abandoned all respect for our law enforcement and legal systems if they are applied against him. It is also clear that he will use those systems to attack and persecute his enemies and annoyances, real or perceived. DJT wants to publicly attack and intimidate witnesses into silence or perjury to subvert justice for himself. 

DJT is a vicious dictator, pure and simple. If people cannot see the gravity and urgency of the threat by now, it's unclear what could wake them up.