An alliance of autocracies is deepening.One city plays a central role.
It is making a mockery of Western sanctions against Russia, Iran and North KoreaIn recent years, dictators in China, Iran, Russia and North Korea have strengthened trade and security ties, formalized cooperation and alliances, and worked together to expand their power from Ukraine to Taiwan.One city plays a central role in this deepening alliance of autocracies: Hong Kong.
Once a trusted global financial center aligned with Western democracies and governed by the rule of law, our new report with the Committee for Freedom in Hong Kong Foundation details how Hong Kong has become the world’s leader in such practices as importing and re-exporting banned Western technology to Russia, forming untraceable front companies for the purchase and sale of barred Iranian oil, and managing “ghost ships” that illegally trade natural resources with North Korea.
Hong Kong’s business-friendly policies, which make it easy to conceal corporate ownership and quickly create and dissolve companies, allow illicit actors to make a mockery of U.S. and Western sanctions. At the same time, slow and inconsistent enforcement by Western governments has allowed those actors to continue their operations with relative impunity. The United States can and should address this situation without delay.Customs data collected by the global security nonprofit C4ADS shows that eight months after Russia invaded Ukraine, shipments of technology categorized by the United States and European Union as the highest priority to Russia for its war effort, such as advanced semiconductors and communications equipment, had nearly doubled from prewar levels. They included products from U.S. companies such as Intel, Analog Devices, Apple and Texas Instruments — despite efforts by the U.S. government to stop sales of sensitive goods by U.S. companies to Russia. By the end of 2023, nearly 40 percent of the cargo shipped from Hong Kong to Russia was made up of these “Common High Priority Items.”Hong Kong’s destabilizing behavior is not limited to Russia. Leaked emails we analyzed from the Iranian petrochemical company Sahara Thunder revealed relationships with Hong Kong companies that sought to facilitate ship-to-ship transfers of Iranian oil, which would then be taken to foreign ports where its Iranian origin could be masked. Other Hong Kong companies have supplied the Western parts that Iran needs to produce drones — which have increasingly appeared on battlegrounds in Ukraine, Yemen and elsewhere.
The United States should also designate Hong Kong a “primary money laundering concern,” a tool that would, for example, permit the Treasury Department to require U.S. financial institutions to disclose the beneficiaries of accounts opened by Hong Kong individuals. Finally, the process of investigating and sanctioning evaders must be completed much faster; the Treasury, Commerce, and State departments must receive all the resources they need to do the job.
Hong Kong is undermining the world’s security, stability and liberty. The United States and its allies need to curb the city’s behavior before sanctions become ingrained as little more than symbolic gestures.
Pragmatic politics focused on the public interest for those uncomfortable with America's two-party system and its way of doing politics. Considering the interface of politics with psychology, cognitive biology, social behavior, morality and history.
Etiquette
Wednesday, August 7, 2024
About the growing alliance of autocracies
Tuesday, August 6, 2024
Updates on Iran's planned attack against Israel
This is a follow-up to yesterday's post, "Russia reportedly supplying Iran with weapons to retaliate against Israel." The situation is extremely volatile, and could hardly be one with greater potential consequences for the world. Nevertheless, it is pretty much absent from the front pages of US media outlets. Here are some of the more concerning developments, with links to more detailed news sources for those who are interested in following this. The following was originally posted as a comment under the related OP yesterday. But it is easy to miss there, and these are truly important developments.
UPDATES:
>>PAKISTAN (A NUCLEAR STATE) ANNOUNCED PLANS TO SUPPORT IRAN WITH SHAHEEN 3 BALLISTIC MISSILES IF THE CONFLICT BETWEEN IRAN AND ISRAEL ESCALATES (see: https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-813485 and on missile capacities: https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile/shaheen-3/ )
Biden wrote Pakistan to affirm Washington's "enduring partnership" with the country in March of this year, after decades of up and down relations with the state. https://pk.usembassy.gov/letter-from-president-joseph-r-biden-to-prime-minister-shehbaz-sharif/
Pakistan's announcement of military support for Iran followed an emergency OIC (Organization of Islamic Cooperation) meeting in Jedah, Saudi Arabia. The OIC is an intergovernmental organization of 57 mostly Muslim majority states. The emergency meeting held discussions on "the crimes of the Israeli occupation" and "the assassination of Haniyeh," said the Saudi OIC representative, according to the Jerusalem Post .
>>EGYPT (which helped Israel and the US to take out Iranian missiles in April) told Israel and the US it will not help them repel missiles from Iran or projectiles from Yemen this time round. https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/egypt-says-it-will-not-assist-israel-in-repelling-iranian-attack-report/
>>JORDAN (a close US ally that helped Israel/US in April) sent it's top diplomat, Ayman Safadi, to Iran, the first such visit in decades. He condemned Israel's killing of Haniyeh in Tehran as "an escalatory step" and "violation of international law and Iranian sovereignty."This is the first diplomatic visit from Jordan to Iran in over 2 decades, according to the Washington Post.
>>Jordan subsequently announced that unlike April, IT WILL NOT HELP ISRAEL BY INTERCEPTING MISSILES, NOR WILL IT ALLOW ANY OF THE PARTIES (ISRAEL, US OR IRAN) TO USE ITS AIRSPACE FOR STRIKES. It is effectively neutral, and wants no part of the conflict, though it has condemned Israel's assassination in Tehran in an unprecedented way diplomatically. http://www.uniindia.com/news/world/security-jordan-airspace/3256384.html#google_vignette and on diplomatic trip to Iran: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/08/04/iran-jordan-israel-hezbollah-hamas-us-tensions/7a15fe58-5249-11ef-9a60-5b6e8b4da7c0_story.htm
Christians who resist Christian nationalism; About those nasty Unhumans
A new movement aims to remakeevangelicals’ relationship to politics
Fifty years after the rise of the religious right, some evangelicals want to rebrand and create a public presence that adheres to faith, not a party or personOver the past decade, Clint Leavitt saw different models of how to mix his evangelical faith and politics, none of them — to his mind — good. His family’s dinner table was consumed with debate over whether Barack Obama was the Antichrist. [Seriously??] Even as his Phoenix church avoided political issues, he saw Christians around the country turn Donald Trump into a religious idol.
A drive to create a Christian political presence he calls “shaped by Jesus, not a partisan political ideology” led Leavitt, now 29, to seminary and then to pastoring a church filled with congregants who vote differently from one another but all share his goal. The people at Midtown Presbyterian Church in Phoenix say their political existence has been reduced to which party or candidate Christians must choose. They are “exhausted,” they tell him. Or “tired.”So Leavitt, preparing for a bruising 2024 election season, joined a new national group of theologically conservative pastors who talk weekly about how to reject polarization and religious nationalism and to defend democracy. .... Called “The After Party,” the curriculum, which has been used by some 75,000 people since it was released in April, says Christians should focus less on partisanship and more on how to relate to others so that they “better reflect Jesus … in 2024 and beyond.”
The Midtown church’s “After Party” sessions have been made more intense recently by the attempted assassination of Trump and the response to it by many of his Christian supporters: that God intervened to protect the former president. But the politically diverse group was able to agree that, in their view, the God of the Bible doesn’t work that way — and to keep their focus.
“We can say current events will not stir disunity in our circles and we are going to focus on all the things Jesus talks about — the poor, marginalized, caring for people who have been hurt. How do we care for everyone, even in this [assassination attempt] scenario? That has been the rallying cry of our time together,” said Daniel Barth, a pastoral resident at Midtown.
Is Christian nationalism Christian?
No, Christian nationalism is a political ideology and a form of nationalism, not a religion or a form of Christianity. It directly contradicts the Gospel in multiple ways, and is therefore considered by many Christian leaders to be a heresy. While Jesus taught love, peace, and truth, Christian nationalism leads to hatred, political violence, and QAnon misinformation. While Jesus resisted the devil's temptations of authority in the wilderness, Christian nationalism seeks to seize power for its followers at all costs. And while Christianity is a 2,000-year-old global tradition that transcends all borders, Christian nationalism seeks to merge faith with a single, 247-year-old, pluralistic nation. .... However, as a political ideology, Christian nationalism is a spectrum of beliefs. Some individuals hold more of these beliefs -- or feel them more intensely -- than others.
JD Vance Just Blurbed a Book ArguingThat Progressives Are SubhumanIn a normal political environment, there would be little need to pay attention to a new book by the far-right provocateur Jack Posobiec, who is probably best known for promoting the conspiracy theory that Democrats ran a satanic child abuse ring beneath a popular Washington pizzeria. But “Unhumans,” an anti-democratic screed that Posobiec co-wrote with the professional ghostwriter Joshua Lisec, comes with endorsements from some of the most influential people in Republican politics, including, most significantly, vice-presidential candidate JD Vance.
The word “fascist” gets thrown around a lot in politics, but it’s hard to find a more apt one for “Unhumans,” which came out last month. The book argues that leftists don’t deserve the status of human beings — that they are, as the title says, unhumans — and that they are waging a shadow war against all that is good and decent, which will end in apocalyptic slaughter if they are not stopped. “As they are opposed to humanity itself, they place themselves outside of the category completely, in an entirely new misery-driven subdivision, the unhuman,” write Posobiec and Lisec.As they tell it, modern progressivism is just the latest incarnation of an ancient evil dating back to the late Roman Republic and continuing through the French Revolution and Communism to today. Often, they write, “great men of means” are required to crush this scourge. The contempt for democracy in “Unhumans” is not subtle. “Our study of history has brought us to this conclusion: Democracy has never worked to protect innocents from the unhumans,” write Posobiec and Lisec.
One of their book’s heroes is the Spanish dictator Francisco Franco, who overthrew the democratic Second Spanish Republic in the country’s 1930s civil war. The authors call him a “great man of history” and compare him to George Washington. They quote him on what doesn’t work against the unhuman threat: “We do not believe in government through the voting booth. The Spanish national will was never freely expressed through the ballot box.”
Nakedly authoritarian ideas like this one are not uncommon in the dank corners of the reactionary internet, or among the sort of groups that led the Jan. 6 insurrection. “Unhumans” lauds Augusto Pinochet, leader of the Chilean military junta who led a coup against Salvador Allende’s elected government in 1973, ushering in a reign of torture and repression that involved tossing political enemies from helicopters.
Fascist leaders made no secret of having no program. Mussolini exulted in that absence. “The Fasci di Combattimento,” Mussolini wrote in the “Postulates of the Fascist Program” of May 1920, “. . . do not feel tied to any particular doctrinal form.” A few months before he became prime minister of Italy, he replied truculently to a critic who demanded to know what his program was: “The democrats of Il Mondo want to know our program? It is to break the bones of the democrats of Il Mondo. And the sooner the better.” “The fist,” asserted a Fascist militant in 1920, “is the synthesis of our theory.” Mussolini liked to declare that he himself was the definition of Fascism. The will and leadership of a Duce was what a modern people needed, not a doctrine. Only in 1932, after he had been in power for ten years, and when he wanted to “normalize” his regime, did Mussolini expound Fascist doctrine, in an article (partly ghostwritten by the philosopher Giovanni Gentile) for the new Enciclopedia Italiana. Power came first, then doctrine. Hannah Arendt observed that Mussolini “was probably the first party leader who consciously rejected a formal program and replaced it with inspired leadership and action alone.
A further problem with conventional images of fascism is that they focus on moments of high drama in the fascist itinerary—the March on Rome, the Reichstag fire, Kristallnacht—and omit the solid texture of everyday experience and the complicity of ordinary people in the establishment and functioning of fascist regimes. Fascist movements could never grow without the help of ordinary people, even conventionally good people. Fascists could never attain power without the acquiescence or even active assent of the traditional elites—heads of state, party leaders, high government officials—many of whom felt a fastidious distaste for the crudities of fascist militants. The excesses of fascism in power also required wide complicity among members of the establishment: magistrates, police officials, army officers, businessmen. To understand fully how fascist regimes worked, we must dig down to the level of ordinary people and examine the banal choices they made in their daily routines. Making such choices meant accepting an apparent lesser evil or averting the eyes from some excesses that seemed not too damaging in the short term, even acceptable piecemeal, but which cumulatively added up to monstrous end results. -- Robert O. Paxton, The Anatomy of Fascism, 2004