Another urgent climate change warning: It's time again to place blame where it is due -- The Republican Party

The New York Times writes:

Failure to Slow Warming Will Set Off Climate ‘Tipping Points,’ Scientists Say

As global warming passes certain limits, dire changes will probably become irreversible, the researchers said, including the loss of polar ice sheets and the death of coral reefs.

Failure to limit global warming to the targets set by international accords will most likely set off several climate “tipping points,” a team of scientists said on Thursday, with irreversible effects including the collapse of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets, abrupt thawing of Arctic permafrost and the death of coral reefs.

The researchers said that even at the current level of warming, about 1.1 degrees Celsius (2 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels, some of these self-sustaining changes might have already begun. But if warming reached above 1.5 degrees Celsius, the more ambitious of two targets set by the 2015 Paris Agreement, the changes would become much more certain.

And at the higher Paris target, 2 degrees Celsius, even more tipping points would likely be set off, including the loss of mountain glaciers and the collapse of a system of deep mixing of water in the North Atlantic.

The changes would have significant, long-term effects on life on Earth. The collapse of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets, for example, would lead to unrelenting sea level rise, measured in feet, not inches, over centuries. The thawing of permafrost would release more heat-trapping gases into the atmosphere, hindering efforts to limit warming. A shutdown of ocean mixing in the North Atlantic could affect global temperatures and bring more extreme weather to Europe.

Johan Rockström, the director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and one of the researchers, said the team had “come to the very dire conclusion that 1.5 degrees Celsius is a threshold” beyond which some of these effects would start. That makes it all the more imperative, he and others said, for nations to quickly and drastically cut emissions of carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases to curb global warming.

The research is in line with recent assessments by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a group of experts convened by the United Nations, that beyond 1.5 degrees of warming, the threats of climate change grow considerably.

Let the blame game commence

Who or what deserves the most blame? The human species is part of it, for sure. That is fact, despite cynical, lying Republican politicians who to this day still claim to be unsure that humans have much or anything to do with it. Beginning in the 1980s (maybe earlier), the Republican Party decided that it would use its power to protect polluters. It has been successful. Polluters and their profits have been protected. 

Of course, there are the major pro-pollution sectors of the economy, oil, coal, gas, chemicals, etc. At least since the 1970s, Exxon-Mobile and its ilk have successfully used a sophisticated, well-funded three-pronged propaganda program, deny, distort, delay, to successfully block nearly all serious efforts to deal with climate change. The pro-pollution propaganda program imitated the successful pro-lung cancer sector's deny, distort, delay propaganda program. That effort protected cigarette sales and profits for decades. It still does today to some extent.  

The pro-pollution sector funds politicians, including corrupt ones like Joe Manchin. Those bought politicians protect the polluters from regulation or taxes, allowing maximum profit from polluting to trickle up to the top.

So, how to apportion blame, or credit if you like what is happening with the climate?

Candidates for blame or credit:

Republican Party 

The pro-pollution sector 

Democratic Party 

The radical right crackpot and lies media, e.g., Faux News 

The mainstream media 

Voters and non-voters  

The rest of the business community

Public relations (professional propaganda) firms

Christian churches

Everything and everyone else

As I sit here writing this in San Diego, the city is in grip of the longest heat wave since I moved here about 25 years ago. Not only is it hot and quite humid, the city is waiting for the arrival of a troipcal storm (Hurricane Kay?) that is slowly moving up the Baja coast. It is anticipated to dump a lot of rain somewhere here in the Southwest. Waiting for a hurricane in San Diego is a first for me, if that is what the storm turns out to be. But I do look forward to whatever it turns out to be if it dumps a lot of rain on the city and county, but without tearing the solar panels off the roof of our house. 

Now, with that screed out of the way, and it felt good, I feel like this for an assessment of blame, not credit:

Republican Party ~30%

The pro-pollution sector ~20%

Democratic Party ~10%

The radical right crackpot and lies media, e.g., Faux News ~10%

The mainstream media ~5%

Voters and non-voters ~5%

The rest of the business community ~5%

Public relations (professional propaganda) firms 5%

Christian churches ~5%

Everything and everyone else ~5%

That feels about right. I hope the storm or hurricane or whatever just gently dumps water on us.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?cpac 

Iraq is falling apart

Iraq is becoming, or has become, a failed state. Some warned before the 2nd Iraq war that if the US overthrew Saddam Hussein, it would unleash forces and violence that the state could not contain. Those warnings have come to pass. The New York Times writes:

Politicians have failed to form a new government nearly a year after the last elections. Baghdad just saw its worst militia clashes in years. And despite vast oil wealth, the state can’t provide basic services.

.... apparent prosperity in parts of Baghdad belies what many Iraqi officials and citizens see as the crumbling foundation of the state — an oil-rich Middle Eastern country that the United States had intended to be free and democratic when it led an invasion 19 years ago to topple the dictator Saddam Hussein.

After the invasion, Iraq’s long-sidelined Shiite Muslim majority came to dominate government, and the power struggle between Shiite and Sunni political groups fueled a sectarian war. Now, in a dangerous threat to the country’s already tenuous stability, rival Shiite armed groups, the most powerful among them tied to neighboring Iran, are fighting each other, and are beyond the control of the central government.

“Internally, externally, at the political level and at the security level, Iraq is now a failed state,” said Saad Eskander, an Iraqi historian. “The Iraqi state cannot project its authority over its territory or its people.”

Iraq’s weaknesses once again came into sharp relief last week when a stalemate over forming a new government — almost a year after the last elections — exploded into violence in the heart of the capital.

Followers of the influential Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr stormed the heavily guarded Green Zone in an antigovernment protest after Mr. Sadr announced he was withdrawing from politics. Then rival pro-Iranian Shiite paramilitary fighters on the public payroll began shooting at the protesters, and armed members of a Sadr militia emerged to fight them.

Ordered by the prime minister not to shoot at the demonstrators, government security forces were largely sidelined while the rival militias fought it out. After two days of fighting killed 34 people, Mr. Sadr ordered his followers to withdraw from the Green Zone, restoring an uneasy calm.  

Last month, the country’s respected finance minister, Ali Allawi, resigned with a stark warning that staggering levels of corruption were draining Iraqi resources and posed an existential threat.

“Vast underground networks of senior officials, corrupt businessmen and politicians operate in the shadows to dominate entire sectors of the economy and siphon off literally billions of dollars from the public purse,” Mr. Allawi wrote in his resignation letter to the prime minister. “This vast octopus of corruption and deceit has reached into every sector of the country’s economy and institutions: It must be dismantled at all costs if this country is to survive.”

As usual for that part of the world, corruption is rampant and endemic. Corruption is a nation killer, and arguably a potential civilization killer. What can save Iraq? Maybe the rise of a new dictator, just as brutal as Hussein, might do the trick. Democracy sure doesn't seem to be up to the task.

 

How the poor folks live

(no air conditioning)

Raw sewage flows down the street

The Queen died

I'm no big fan of the British monarchy. But by God, from what I could tell the Queen was dignified, civilized, decent and reasonably coherent. These days, that's freaking rare among elected politicians. It's non-existent among dictators and authoritarians like T****, his good friend Putin, China's Xi Syria's Bashir Assad and other odious, murdering toads and corrupt, lying crackpots in power today. 

Is that sentiment uninformed, wrong and/or misplaced?

American authoritarianism in historical perspective: Hail, Caesar! MAGA!!

A Washington Post opinion comments:

MAGA Republican leaders take umbrage at being accused of “semi-fascism,” which is understandable: Twentieth-century dictators such as Mussolini and the German guy with the mustache gave fascism a bad name. But the MAGA crowd isn’t disavowing totalitarianism, per se. It’s just their taste in authoritarian figures skews toward the classics. They’re old-school — 1st century B.C. old. “Hail, Caesar” goes down so much easier than “Heil Hitler.”

J.D. Vance, the Republican Senate nominee in Ohio, is one resident of this newly platted Caesarian section, as a recent profile in the Cleveland Plain Dealer showed. It referred to a year-old interview Vance gave on a far-right podcast in which he spoke approvingly of Curtis Yarvin, a self-proclaimed monarchist who argues for an American Julius Caesar to take power.

“We are in a late republican period,” Vance said, referencing the era preceding Caesar’s dictatorship. “If we’re going to push back against it, we’re going to have to get pretty wild, and pretty far out there, and go in directions that a lot of conservatives right now are uncomfortable with.”

The podcast’s host, Jack Murphy, endorsed this sentiment, discussing possible “extra-constitutional” remedies to be taken “if we want to re-found the country.” (He told Vance he thought voting an “ineffectual” way to “rip out this leadership class.”)

Vance, who said he had been “radicalized” by the actions of “malevolent and evil” political opponents, described what “wild” actions he had in mind at another point in the podcast. He wants to “seize the institutions of the left” and purge political opponents with “de-Nazification, de-Ba’athification.”

Vance is far from the only emperor-curious MAGA leader. Former Trump White House adviser Peter Navarro called Mike Pence a “traitor to the American Caesar of Trump” because the former vice president refused to help overturn the 2020 election. Another former Trump adviser, Michael Anton, hosted a Claremont Institute podcast with Yarvin about the desirability of an “American Caesar.”

Some MAGA Republicans have a novel solution to resolve pesky constitutional restraints: Rewrite the Constitution. As Carl Hulse reports in the New York Times, Rep. Jodey Arrington (R-Tex.) introduced legislation seeking to compel Congress to call a constitutional convention — the first since the framers wrote it — to overhaul the United States’ founding document. The effort likely isn’t going anywhere, but it shows the contempt MAGA Republicans have for the constitutional order. Hail, Caesar!  

Others in the MAGA movement simply reinterpret the Constitution to their own liking. County law-enforcement officials self-styling as “constitutional sheriffs” have assigned themselves power to decide what the law is, according to their own politics. One such sheriff in Michigan sought warrants in July to seize vote-counting machines to try to validate Trump’s false claims of voter fraud, Reuters reported last week. Armed lawmen going rogue to undermine elections? Hail, Caesar![1]

I thought fascism was the right label for Republican Party politics, being so modern and whatnot. Is Imperial Rome a better model? That thought never crossed my mind, until now. Were the Roman Emperors racists? They were definitely authoritarian and patriarchal.

Republicans in Ohio voted for Vance for US Senate. Vance wants an American Julius Caesar to take power. 

Qs: Since inquiring minds want to know, what is the best label for the modern Republican Party as a whole, including its rank and file, and with the kind, gentle understanding that in their hearts, not necessarily in their votes, some Republicans at least partly oppose at least some of its current agenda, lunacy &/or whatever beast it is the GOP has degenerated into: 

authoritarian, arrogant, aggressive, autocratic, autocratic-Christian theocratic, Christian Shariaistic, Christian fundamentalist, cowardly, gullible, grumpy, bossy, belligerent, hostile, slanderous, self-centered, faux victimized, cult, faux victimized cult, Faux News, dangerous, deadly, delusional, hallucinating, pompous, hypocritical, double hypocritical, triple hypocritical, rampaging, stampeding, unregulated capitalist, pro-pollution & climate change, rigidly ideological, irresponsible, imperialistic, ancient Rome imperialistic, fascist-lite, semi-fascist, fascist, Nazi (All Rise . . . . Be Seated), nasty, mendacious, double mendacious, immoral, evil, semi-evil, rotten, rancid, racist, bigoted, tactless, jealous, insulting, impolite, rude, vulgar, thin-skinned, callous, corrupt, cruel, confrontational, baseless, outlandish, crackpot, double crackpot, QAnon-level crackpot, QAnon, treasonous, cynical, idiotic, free-range idiotic, unvaccinated idiotic, playfully rambunctious, sneaky, Machiavellian, inflexible, non-compromising, contemptuous, arrogantly contemptuous, distrustful, irrationally distrustful, inflexible, intolerant, pig-headed, naughty, closed minded, wrapped too tight, or some combination thereof? 

Or, (i) did I leave out a correct label(s), e.g., robustly pro-democracy, or (ii) is this business with labels getting out of hand at Dissident Politics?

Footnote:

1. To emphasize the the kind of amazing new, foaming-at-the-mouth Crackpotlandia-Dementia that the Great State of Michigan's Republican Party has degenerated into, consider the newest lawsuit filed there to overturn the 2020 election. Democracy Docket reported:

On Friday, Sept. 2, the Macomb County Republican Party, a candidate for Michigan governor, a non-profit organization, voters and a county clerk — who allegedly turned over a vote tabulator to a group espousing unfounded claims of fraud in Michigan’s 2020 election — filed a federal lawsuit challenging the results of the 2020 presidential election in Michigan. In their complaint, the plaintiffs claim that the electronic voting machines and tabulators used during the 2020 presidential election “were not certified or accredited in accordance with” Michigan election law nor were they “certified by the US Election Assistance Commission.” Accordingly, the plaintiffs request that the state “rerun the Michigan 2020 presidential election as soon as possible, by way of a special election, with paper ballots only, on a single election day, with the votes being counted by hand, with members of all political parties present to observe, with a public livestream of all vote counting.”

Among other baseless and outlandish claims, the plaintiffs allege that the 2020 election was conducted in an “unlawful and illegal” manner and should not have been certified because Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson (D) and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) lacked the authority to hold elections under “uncertified” electronic voting machines.

Hail, Caesar!

Frontline: Lies, Politics and Democracy

The PBS investigative journalism program Frontline aired a two hour review of the events leading up to the 1/6 coup attempt and what happened in the weeks thereafter. Most of this is not new, but it is a very nice summary of what happened in reality, not in the minds of delusional people. 

This program is another blunt warning about the danger this country faces from America's radical right. It argues that (i) democracy is fragile, (ii) democracy requires good will to operate normally, and (iii) American democracy is under a severe, direct attack by the ex-president and his authoritarian  supporters, especially including the Republican Party and America's radical right propaganda Leviathan (Faux News, etc.).

Obviously, most T**** supporters and Republicans will instantly reject this narrative. They will vehemently argue that the Democrats, socialism and liberalism are the real threats to democracy, truth and civil liberties. 

Q: Is it possible to bridge the reality and reasoning gap that separates the side that sees severe threat in the Republican Party and its theocratic authoritarianism from the side that sees severe threat in the Democratic Party and its Godless socialist tyranny? (I don't think so, but that's just my opinion)

Acknowledgement: Thanks to Birdman for bringing this broadcast to my attention.

Florida's GOP finds culprits in its war for election integrity

By now, all reality-attached sane people know that American elections up to and including 2020 have been mostly free and fair. The absence of evidence of widespread voter or vote fraud is overwhelming. Republicans looked long and hard for it, but they could not find it because it does not exist. The main exceptions come from reality-detached authoritarian Republicans and the insane ex-president himself. They tried to rig elections to get thousands of fraudulent votes. 

Election integrity is under attack by Republicans, not Democrats or independents. That is fact, not opinion.

Newly obtained surveillance video shows fake Trump elector 

escorted operatives into Georgia county's elections office 

before voting machine breach

The Republican Party, the real threat to election integrity, 

and proud of it! ©

Despite the evidence, Florida's Ron DeSantis, a prominent Republican dictator wannabe, formed a police task force to find, prosecute and punish voters who voted illegally. The effort has led to the arrest and prosecution of 20 people out of 11 million votes cast in 2020. The Washington Post Editorial Board writes:

As Republican activists waved signs saying “My Vote Counts,” Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) stood in a Broward County courtroom last month to tout the first deliverables from the state’s controversial election police squad. “They did not go through any process. They did not get their rights restored, and yet they went ahead and voted anyways. ... And now they’re going to pay the price,” he said of the 20 people arrested and charged with voting illegally in the 2020 elections. Mr. DeSantis revealed little about the individual cases — and no wonder. Many of those charged had no idea they were unable to vote; some had even received official government notifications that they were eligible. None of that seemed to matter to Mr. DeSantis, whose crackdown on voter fraud isn’t about a real threat to election integrity but rather his desire to score political points as he runs for reelection and considers a possible 2024 presidential bid.

Since Mr. DeSantis’s stage-managed news conference on Aug. 18, details about the people caught up in his cynical campaign have emerged. Many, as Politico reported, have little education and few financial resources and believed, based on interactions with election or other officials, that they were allowed to vote. Romona Oliver, newly released from prison after serving a 20-year murder sentence, went to the Hillsborough tax collector’s office to register to vote. She admitted to having a felony conviction when asked, but the official helping her submitted an application, and she soon received a voter card in the mail. Peter Washington, nearing the end of his 10-year sentence in 2006 for attempted sexual battery, was enrolled in a class to ease his reentry into society when he said a probation officer told him his civil rights would be automatically restored upon his release from prison. Once home years later, he received a voter registration form in the mail in 2019, filled it out and received a voter card from the Orange County supervisor of elections.

Florida voters passed a state constitutional amendment permitting felons to regain their voting rights, but it doesn’t apply to those convicted of murder or sex crimes. Ignorance or confusion about the law doesn’t mean it was permissible for these people to vote. But it is a gross overreaction for them to be dragged from their homes in handcuffs at the crack of dawn, thrown into jail and publicly vilified. They face up to $5,000 in fines and up to five years in prison.

Instead of spending $1.1 million on a special police unit to root out a problem that doesn’t exist — the 20 votes of those arrested last month — most of whom are Black — account for 0.00018 percent of the 11 million ballots cast in Florida in 2020 — the state would be better off using its money to create a system that can easily verify whether someone has the right to vote after serving time for a felony conviction. Yet Mr. DeSantis, who tried to thwart passage of the Florida constitutional amendment restoring many felons’ voting rights, clearly is not interested in making it easier for these people to vote. He would rather scare them away.

Even if the DeSantis vote fraud squad finds another 100 illegal votes, which is highly unlikely after all this time, it would still not amount to anything close to widespread voter fraud in 2020. Most of those illegal votes were honest mistakes, not a massive conspiracy to throw Florida elections to democrats. The Editorial Board sees gross overreaction in dragging these people from their homes in handcuffs, throwing them in jail and publicly vilifying them. Maybe if rich and/or powerful White collar criminals were treated the same way in Florida, it might not be as much an overreaction. 

The important point here is crystal clear. The Republican Party is authoritarian. The GOP is desperate to subvert free and fair elections. Ugly authoritarians like DeSantis are shocking and shameless in their blatant cynicism toward democracy and elections. DeSantis very much wants to be elected president. If he is, he will make damn sure that elections will have Republican Party style integrity. Elections will be rigged and Republicans will win, at least in red states where the GOP can properly rig elections.  

The open question is whether Republicans have properly rigged red state elections. We are probably going to find out in November.

Look, all I want to do is this. 

I just want to find, ahh, 11,780 . . votes, . . . .

VOTE FRAUD ALERT!!!

LOCK HIM UP!! LOCK HIM UP!! LOCK HIM UP!!