The impeachment howitzer: The new normal

Lindsey Graham: Impeach Joe Biden

Salon writes on potential upcoming festivities in Washington in an article entitled, Joe Biden will be impeached — because Democrats have forgotten how to fight:

In 2015, I publicly warned that Donald Trump would win the 2016 presidential election. My prediction was dismissed as "crazy" and "hysterical."

We were again slurred as suffering from "Trump derangement syndrome" and exaggerating the dangers that Trump and his regime represented to American democracy and society, somehow for our own personal gain. The political class and the hope-peddlers kept on insisting that the "institutions" were "strong" and that the "rule of law" would shut down Trump and his fascist movement if they went too far.

Once again, our warnings were proven correct. If anything, those who repeatedly sounded the alarm about the existential danger that Donald Trump and his movement represent were too careful and restrained.

Pro-democracy voices and other patriots repeatedly warned that Trump would attempt a coup in order to remain in power. Again, the professional smart people and others invested in "normalcy" dismissed such warnings. In their collective mind, because America was a "democracy" that had always seen an orderly transfer of power between administrations, it would always remain so. On Jan. 6 of this year, they and the world learned that fictions and fables of American exceptionalism offer no real protection against the rising tide of neofascism. Some eight months later, the Trump movement's coup against democracy continues.

Democrats have been unable to marshal an adequate defense, and are at dire risk of being routed without even putting up a fight. Which leads to one more warning and prediction. The Trump-controlled Republican Party will in all likelihood impeach President Joe Biden if they win control of the House of Representatives in the 2022 midterm elections. They will not be able to convict Biden in the Senate and remove him from office — just as Democrats were unable to convict Trump — but that's largely beside the point. 

There are many conditional qualifiers to that prediction, but given the Republican Party's escalating embrace of fascism, Biden's impeachment is more likely than not.

What I possess, however, is a willingness to accept the evidence and what it reveals about the health of American democracy. I am also not hobbled by a faith in American exceptionalism or a belief that democracy is inherent to this country and will endure forever. I am also not so naïve as to believe that America's democratic experiment is destined to end positively — in reality, America's multiracial democracy is very much a work in progress.[1]

As evidence of the possibility of an impeachment, the author cites the fact that in the closed epistemology of far right internet blither and lies, it is already taken for granted that Biden will be impeached. Also cited is the argument that there won't be significant consequences if the fascist Republican Party (FRP) does take the House in the upcoming, likely rigged and fraudulent election of 2022 and then impeaches Biden. The FRP base will roar in approval! 

The author also points out that decades of FRP propaganda and disinformation have convinced most rank and file Republicans and other conservatives that the Democratic Party is illegitimate and does not reflect real American values. That rings true. The rhetoric from the right for at least the last 20 years has been mostly (~95% ?) rage and hate tinged with a lot of fear, horror and smug, self-righteous fundamentalist Christian moral judgment. Elitist radical right Christian nationalist moral judgments against Democrats comes across loud, clear and undeniable. It is driven by raw lust for revenge for imagined horrors such as the terrible, terrible persecution of Christians at the hands of evil, socialist, cannibal pedophile Democrats. 

According to current Christian nationalist mythology, humble, innocent Christians in America are now severely persecuted for merely wanting to worship their God as they are commanded by their morally righteous elites. That God demands revenge good and hard. Impeaching Biden would be a nice gesture on the long road to Christianizing America by imposing Christian Sharia and resetting the governmental, social and economic clock to ~1850 or thereabouts.

There probably will be an impeachment of Biden (~75% chance?) if the House flips back to FRP control after the rigged elections. Impeached for what? That doesn't matter. Just impeach him. Use the final withdrawal from Afghanistan as the excuse. Impeach him for criticizing the use of horse medicine to treat COVID. Just use whatever excuse that looks at least remotely plausible to the rabid FRP base.

Questions: Is it more likely than not that if the FRP gains control of the House, they will impeach Biden? Is Lyin' Donnie (the ex-president) really the leader of an American fascist movement as the author shockingly claims?

Footnote: 

1. The Salon article also includes these light-hearted thoughts for consideration:

Gregory Wallance writes at The Hill that "a remarkably broad range of Republicans," from Marjorie Taylor Greene to Lindsey Graham, "are turning the Constitution's impeachment clause into a negative branding howitzer aimed at the White House":

Under total war rules, it's irrelevant that Biden did not commit an impeachable offense, unlike Trump, who committed two, ....

Yes, under total war rules, neither truth nor democracy matters. Winning matters.

Political party affiliation based on educational differences

In a puzzling article, How Educational Differences Are Widening America’s Political Rift, the New York Times reports that people with a four year college degree have moved into the Democratic Party in large numbers, while a roughly equal number of people without college degrees have moved to the Republican Party. Several assertions in the article do not seem to make much sense, maybe unless one believes that there is a massive disconnect in perceptions of reality and self-interest between the two groups.

The article asserts that it is not universities and colleges that have converted students to be liberal. Instead, they come to post high school education already liberal. The article also asserts that the liberal values of this group has pushed the Democratic Party (DP) to the left, which inherently alienates some people. That tends to move them into the Republican Party (RP). The strange thing is that some of the alienating liberal values benefit all people, including Republicans. The NYT writes:

College graduates attribute racial inequality, crime and poverty to complex structural and systemic problems, while voters without a degree tend to focus on individualist and parochial explanations. It is easier for college graduates, with their higher levels of affluence, to vote on their values, not simply on economic self-interest. They are likelier to have high levels of social trust and to be open to new experiences. They are less likely to believe in God.

As college graduates increased their share of the electorate, they gradually began to force the Democrats to accommodate their interests and values. They punched above their electoral weight, since they make up a disproportionate number of the journalists, politicians, activists and poll respondents who most directly influence the political process.

At the same time, the party’s old industrial working-class base was in decline, as were the unions and machine bosses who once had the power to connect the party’s politicians to its rank and file. The party had little choice but to broaden its appeal, and it adopted the views of college-educated voters on nearly every issue, slowly if fitfully alienating its old working-class base.

The reasons for white working-class alienation with the Democrats have shifted from decade to decade. At times, nearly every major issue area — race, religion, war, environmentalism, guns, trade, immigration, sexuality, crime, social welfare programs — has been a source of Democratic woes.

What the Democratic Party’s positions on these very different issues have had in common is that they reflected the views of college-educated liberals, even when in conflict with the apparent interests of working-class voters — and that they alienated some number of white voters without a degree. Environmentalists demanded regulations on the coal industry; coal miners bolted from the Democrats. Suburban voters supported an assault gun ban; gun owners shifted to the Republicans. Business interests supported free trade agreements; old manufacturing towns broke for Mr. Trump.

Either I misunderstand it, or there are some significant contradictions and/or incomplete analysis and context. Other than possibly liberal policy on the environment, trade and immigration, of the 10 major issues listed, it isn't clear that any of them are significantly damaging to the interests of most average people. For example, some data indicates that illegal immigration can hold local wages down, so that is a real but limited effect. Some other data indicates that major trade deals tend to lead to mixed results with some job losses in one area and some gains in others. But one can argue that (i) regarding these issues, government has failed to protect adversely affected people, while at the same time, (ii) the RP is the main obstacle to protecting them. Thus, by moving to the RP, some people damage their own interests. 

Regarding old manufacturing towns and jobs, the RP has not been able to significantly change the economic forces that cause economic distress in areas in economic decline. RP opposition to domestic spending for social welfare programs is also arguably damaging to the interests of adversely affected people. On every major issue, the RP has built a false reality over the decades that leads a lot of people to support them, while they have not delivered much of serious substance on issues like jobs and wages.

The article refers to some liberal policy preferences as in apparent conflict with working class voter interests. That is baffling. What seriously meaningful interests would be burdened if the liberal policies went into effect? In the case of an assault gun ban, those guns would be banned. Although that is a tangible impact, what effect on an affected person’s life would that amount to? As far as I know, there has never been many or any situations where someone needed an assault rifle for self-defense. Hand guns work just fine and so do regular hunting rifles.

Similarly, in the case of a right to same-sex marriage, religious people screamed that they would be persecuted, silenced and forced to perform same-sex marriages. That is standard RP propaganda built on lies. In commerce, how much of a burden on a person’s religious freedom is it to bake a cake  and decorate it for a same-sex couple? Just about none. Nonetheless, the RP propaganda is that it is a horrible religious freedom burden, socialist tyranny and other hyperbolic nonsense. 

All in all, the disconnect between reality and people fleeing the bad DP and flocking to the good RP looks to be built mostly on vaporware, or dark free speech, maybe about 80% illusion and ~20% reality. 

The DP is not perfect here. It is the case that the DP has walked away from many average people in some plausible ways. But one has to look at what the alternative RP has to offer. What does the RP offer that is different and better? A lot of promises, but whatever they do does not trickle down much. They are laser focused on establishing a Christian theocratic world view for government, society and commerce. The RP wants everyone to carry concealed weapons. The RP wants to deregulate businesses, deny climate change, and get rid of abortions, secular public schools and elections. How the hell is any of that that going to solve the real world problems of average people in distress? It might be good for gun companies, church operations and the rise of fascism, but that does not help distressed people or the climate.

Questions: It is reasonable to level any criticism at all on people who flee from the DP based on RP propaganda and lies, or are the two parties too much alike for such criticism to hold much water? Is there a lot of false reality and propaganda in the reasons people move from the DP to the RP, or vice versa? How alienating are proposed DP policies and rhetoric compared to proposed RP policies and rhetoric? If the RP is the party of big capitalists and the DP the party of little capitalists, does America need a socialist or some other kind of party to be the party of the workers and/or the middle and lower classes?

Republican efforts to take control of elections are nationwide

Steve Bannon’s poisoned water well

Dispensing poisoned water to the thirsty internet every day

A ProPublica article, Heeding Steve Bannon’s Call, Election Deniers Organize to Seize Control of the GOP — and Reshape America’s Elections, reports on how deep the sentiment in the fascist Republican Party (FRP) is about not allowing an election to ever be stolen again. Once again, the power of dark free speech to con people into blatantly false beliefs and behaviors that flow from them is clear and undeniable. The FRP action is aimed squarely at undermining election integrity and especially not allowing democrats to win elections. ProPublica writes: 

When the insurrection failed, Bannon continued his campaign for his former boss by other means. On his “War Room” podcast, which has tens of millions of downloads, Bannon said President Trump lost because the Republican Party sold him out. “This is your call to action,” Bannon said in February, a few weeks after Trump had pardoned him of federal fraud charges.

The solution, Bannon announced, was to seize control of the GOP from the bottom up. Listeners should flood into the lowest rung of the party structure: the precincts. “It’s going to be a fight, but this is a fight that must be won, we don’t have an option,” Bannon said on his show in May. “We’re going to take this back village by village … precinct by precinct.”  

After Bannon’s endorsement, the “precinct strategy” rocketed across far-right media. Viral posts promoting the plan racked up millions of views on pro-Trump websites, talk radio, fringe social networks and message boards, and programs aligned with the QAnon conspiracy theory.  

The new movement is built entirely around Trump’s insistence that the electoral system failed in 2020 and that Republicans can’t let it happen again. The result is a nationwide groundswell of party activists whose central goal is not merely to win elections but to reshape their machinery.

It is too early to know how important or effective this movement will be. The laws that FRP state legislatures have already passed to both suppress votes and to rig elections in the FRP’s favor will be relevant. ProPublica also looked onto whether there was a similar democratic surge at the precinct level, but found no significant surge. Some or most rank and file Republicans believe the Big Lie about the 2020 election being stolen, which would explain why they are increasing their local level presence in elections in some areas.

At present, it is reasonable to draw some conclusions. First, the infrastructure needed to subvert elections and democracy is now being put in place, at least in some states and key areas of the country. Second, the belief among many of the FRP’s rank and file that the 2020 election was stolen is intractable and that false belief will probably not change any time soon, if ever. Third, because of that it is significantly possible, maybe likely, that the 2022 and 2024 elections will be adversely affected, maybe literally flipped for some races, by the FRP for the benefit of the FRP and its elite supporters and to the detriment to democracy and the rule of law.

Steve Bannon is probably right to try to move the deceived and angry rank and file at an increased presence in local elections. The FRP cannot win free and fair elections honestly, so they have to suppress votes and rig elections to win dishonestly. By now, it is clear that the FRP leadership and elites have to keep harping on the lie that the 2020 election was stolen. If they did not, there would be no effective way to move the rank and file who have lost faith in election integrity to act to “protect” elections as they are now. 

Questions: Is this more evidence of a malicious FRP attack on democracy and elections, or is it just democratic politics with little or no anti-democratic intent? If there is no anti-democratic intent in Bannon’s precinct strategy, then (i) exactly what is the point of it, and (ii) exactly what pro-democracy actions are all those deceived and pissed off Republicans planning to take in the next election that were not already taken in the last free and fair election? 

Cause of Death…

 

I’m so glad that Nicolle Wallace posted this segment from her show (Deadline White House) yesterday, this short (2-ish minutes) video with Steve Schmidt.  No one can say it quite like Steve can.

View link here: Schmidt’s remarks begin at about the :50 mark.

From the linked video-

"COVID might be the medical cause of their deaths, but what they were killed by was:

-Misinformation

-Lies

-Malice and the immorality of political leaders who would risk their [constituents] lives in a big con for the purpose of appeasing a base, a ratings god in the form of Fox News, and the constellation of right-wing sites that would fuel all this insanity in the country.

-[It's] irresponsibility contrary to the public good for selfish [political] purposes."

I think Steve is spot on.  What about you?

Thanks for viewing, posting and recommending.