Etiquette



DP Etiquette

First rule: Don't be a jackass.

Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.

Monday, March 24, 2025

MAGA bit & chunk: Privatizing the post office; Killing off museums;

Newsweek reports about djt and Musk wanting to privatize everything in government that can be privatized: Protests Break Out Across US Over Plans to Change Postal Service -- It was reported in February that President Donald Trump was considering plans to transfer the USPS to the Commerce Department. Trump and his allies have also indicated they are willing to privatize the service. djt said on February 21: "We want to have a post office that works well and doesn't lose massive amounts of money. We're thinking about doing that. And it'll be a form of a merger, but it'll remain the Postal Service, and I think it'll operate a lot better." Elon Musk said at a conference earlier in March, according to Reuters: "I think logically we should privatize anything that can reasonably be privatized. I think we should privatize the Post Office and Amtrak for example … We should privatize everything we possibly can."

This is kleptocratic plutocracy in action. As usual djt and Musk are both cynical lying liars. They could not care less about making postal operations better. They just want to make a lot of money out of every privatization step they can sink their greedy, morally rotted claws into. This is no different than how the morally rotted Putin steals from the Russian people and businesses.
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This started as a news bit, but it morphed into something bigger. What follows is a renewed focus on analyzing MAGA/djt lust for wealth and power as their primary motive for destroying the US federal government. I asked Pxy to do an in-depth analysis that includes (i) an explicit assessment of probability, and (ii) an explicit command to ferret out and get rid of errors from various sources of bias and error that can lead AI to give bad responses.

The Observer reports: Trump’s Latest Executive Order Eliminates the Institute of Museum and Library Services -- In a few short months, the Trump administration has dealt a series of blows to the American cultural and museum system, making clear from the outset that dismantling such infrastructure would be a priority on its governmental agenda. There was the reinstatement of the 2020 “Promoting Beautiful Federal Civic Architecture” memorandum. .... And most recently, the issuing of a new executive order calling for the elimination of the Institute of Museum and Library Services (IMLS)—the only federal agency specifically tasked with supporting museums—”to the maximum extent consistent with applicable law.” According to the organization, the IMLS already operated at a bare minimum, accounting for just 0.0046 percent of the overall federal budget [estimated to be ~ $335.8 million for 2025]. Meanwhile, museums contribute $50 billion to the U.S. economy annually.

Assuming the data in that article is correct, it seems odd for MAGA to target the IMLS in the name of cutting costs unless there is solid evidence of corruption. Given how djt, Musk and other MAGA elites are destroying the fed. govt., my opinion is that a far more plausible motive is lust for wealth and power.  


The Pxy analysis (Reasoning mode)
If you don't want to go through the Pxy analysis, here's the conclusion, which is no surprise in view of all the evidence: Based on strong evidence a high confidence analysis indicates that wealth and power motives are most plausible for Trump and Musk, given Musk’s regulatory conflicts, privatization of critical services, and MAGA’s erosion of institutional checks. Traditional small-government conservatism is inconsistent with MAGA’s centralized power grabs and corporate favoritism. 

At least this time, I tried to force Pxy to reduce errors from various biases. This is the 1st time I've done the analysis in an explicitly anti-bias, anti-error, pro-accuracy way.


Q3: Conduct the same analysis, but this time include a fully neutral analysis that (i) tests alternative hypotheses (e.g., anti-bureaucrat ideology, states’-rights arguments), (ii) audits sources for partisan skew (e.g., comparing Observer claims to CBO reports), and (iii) flags speculative links. My interest is in determining with as much accuracy and confidence as possible how likely it is that Trump, Musk and MAGA elites generally are driven by a wealth and power motive more than other possible motives, e.g., religion, genuine belief in very small, weak government, and genuine belief (not just lip service) that free, barely regulated markets almost always do a better job than government can. In the analysis, consider the difference between old-fashioned conservatism and attendant policies and MAGA's ideological basis, using all available public information to help inform the analysis.

A3: To assess the likelihood that wealth/power motives drive Trump, Musk, and MAGA elites—compared to ideological or governance-related motives—a neutral analysis requires weighing evidence, auditing sources, and testing alternative hypotheses.

1. Key Evidence Supporting Wealth/Power Motives

Privatization and Corporate Interests
Musk’s DOGE Role:
As head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), Musk has pushed to dismantle federal agencies (e.g., IMLS, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau) while his companies (Tesla, SpaceX) hold $13B in federal contracts 1 2. This creates a direct conflict of interest, as deregulation could reduce oversight of his ventures 2 5.

Legal Incentives: Musk faces 11+ federal investigations into labor violations, fraud, and discrimination. His alignment with Trump coincides with efforts to weaken regulatory bodies probing his businesses 2 5.

Economic Impact: The IMLS represents 0.0046% of the federal budget ($335.8M) but generates $50B in economic activity. Eliminating it provides negligible fiscal savings, undermining claims of cost-cutting 4 8.

Centralization of Power
Unprecedented Authority: Trump’s delegation of executive power to Musk—allowing him to bypass Congress and terminate federal employees—has no historical precedent 1 10.

Anti-Democratic Shifts: Musk’s public statements frame democracy as incompatible with bureaucratic oversight, advocating for a "streamlined" government controlled by unelected officials1 12.

Partisan Source Bias
Left-leaning outlets (Observer, Common Dreams) emphasize corruption and profit motives. However, factual overlaps (e.g., Musk’s contracts, investigations) remain consistent across sources 1 2 5.

Neutral sources (Britannica, Sciences Po) confirm MAGA’s anti-establishment rhetoric coexists with elite alliances, noting a shift toward “pluto-populism” 11 12.


2. Testing Alternative Hypotheses

Hypothesis 1: Anti-Bureaucrat Ideology
Evidence For:
MAGA rhetoric criticizes “deep state” inefficiency. The IMLS employs only 75 workers, aligning with small-government optics 3 8.

Evidence Against: Traditional conservatism prioritizes state/local governance, yet the executive order targets IMLS’s statutory functions (e.g., Grants to States), contradicting states’-rights principles 3. Musk’s focus on privatizable sectors (libraries, USPS) over larger agencies suggests selective, profit-driven targeting 3 8.


Hypothesis 2: Genuine Belief in Free Markets
Evidence For:
Trump’s tax cuts and Musk’s deregulation advocacy (e.g., opposing NLRB, FAA) align with libertarian ideals 2 5.

Evidence Against: MAGA’s tariffs, immigration restrictions, and industrial policies contradict free-market principles, prioritizing nationalist over economic goals 14. Musk’s reliance on federal contracts ($13B) and subsidies (e.g., SpaceX’s $1.8B NRO deal) undermines claims of opposing government intervention 5 12


Hypothesis 3: Religious/Cultural Conservatism
Evidence For: MAGA’s opposition to DEI initiatives and “woke” narratives could align with conservative cultural values 6 11.

Evidence Against: IMLS cuts harm rural, religious communities reliant on libraries for services 3 8. Trump/Musk prioritize corporate interests (e.g., crypto, AI) over traditional issues like abortion or religious liberty 10 14.




4. Confidence and Uncertainty
High Confidence: Wealth/power motives are primary drivers for Musk (regulatory avoidance, contract retention) and Trump (consolidating executive authority). The IMLS’s minimal cost and maximal ROI make fiscal arguments implausible 4 8.

Moderate Confidence: Anti-bureaucrat ideology is secondary, used to legitimize privatization benefiting elites. MAGA’s policy contradictions (e.g., tariffs vs. free markets) weaken ideological consistency 14.

Low Confidence: Claims of direct quid pro quo (e.g., Musk’s DOGE role ➔ profit) rely on circumstantial evidence. Partisan sources overstate coordination 1 2.


5. Speculative Links Flagged
Musk’s “Broligarchy”:
Sciences Po’s “Muskoligarchy” theory posits a tech-industrial complex takeover. While Musk’s influence is unprecedented, no evidence confirms a coordinated elite cabal 12.

Bannon-Musk Feud: Conflicts over immigration (H-1B visas) suggest MAGA’s internal divisions, not unified ideology 13.


Conclusion
Wealth and power motives are most plausible for Trump and Musk, given Musk’s regulatory conflicts, privatization of critical services, and MAGA’s erosion of institutional checks. Traditional small-government conservatism is inconsistent with MAGA’s centralized power grabs and corporate favoritism. While anti-bureaucrat rhetoric exists, it primarily masks elite enrichment. Neutral analysis confirms:

Strength of Evidence: High for profit/power motives (direct financial ties, legal incentives).

Weakness of Alternatives: Anti-bureaucrat/states’-rights arguments lack consistency; cultural motives are peripheral.

This assessment acknowledges left-leaning source bias but finds convergent factual support across partisan and neutral reports.