Pragmatic politics focused on the public interest for those uncomfortable with America's two-party system and its way of doing politics. Considering the interface of politics with psychology, cognitive biology, social behavior, morality and history.
Etiquette
Thursday, June 11, 2026
Christian nationalism's vision of theocracy comes into focus
Monday, June 8, 2026
American AI insanity is an infectious epidemic
One afternoon in April, Cecilia Garraffo settled down at the head of a conference room table in Cambridge, Massachusetts, and gazed out at what might be the last astrophysicists of their kind.The walls of this room had, in the past, reverberated with the din of thousands of other groups of scientists. Now, as streaks of sunlight poured in, the discussions turned to nonhuman collaborators. One by one, the gathered researchers discussed how they planned to apply machine learning to problems in astronomy.
Afterward, as everyone filed out, black hole researcher Daniel Palumbo made a brief announcement. Representatives from AI chipmaker NVIDIA were on campus in search of scientists who wanted to solve problems using their hardware. To anyone who might need extra processing power, “today’s the day,” he said.
Representatives of the AI companies, who seem to view astrophysics problems as public relations boons that offer compelling showcases of their models, boast that their technologies will soon achieve supremacy over actual theoretical physicists, astrophysicists, and cosmologists. Some even make mechanizing the study of the night sky a selling point.
Trump is a chronic liar, in addition to his other moral rot

When Trump speaks he is usually lying, bullshitting or both (~87% of the time)
Trump lied when he said “I never promised no new wars”. He did promise that. Trump told NBC’s Kristen Welker that he “didn’t promise anything” and never pledged “no new wars,” despite repeated 2024 campaign lines like “I’m not going to start a war” and “I will not send you to fight and die in stupid foreign wars that never end.” He rejects the truthful allegation that launching the war with Iran this year betrayed his “No new wars” promise that he made repeatedly as he campaigned again for the White House. Link, link, link
Trump continues to lie about California’s primary election. He claims that California’s recent primary was rigged, even though the allegation is baseless. He linked his lie to the state’s slow ballot-counting process rather than evidence of fraud. Link
Trump repeatedly lies when he tells us that grocery prices are going down or are down. Fact checkers say grocery costs have continued rising, not falling. He lies in both generality and specifics. His lies include specific food items he claims are less expensive but the sources of his price assertions are unknown and he won’t tell us. Link, link

Trump continues to repeat the false claim that the 2020 election was stolen or rigged. Fact-checkers keep repeating the truth that there is no evidence for that claim or that he lost a free and fair election. Link, link
Arguably ranking up there among Trump’s biggest whoppers is his insulting lie to voters and then repeated in official settings that he ended eight wars. Fact checkers say the figure is heavily exaggerated and includes disputes that were not actual wars or that have not ended. The eight wars he falsely claims to have ended include the ongoing Israel–Hamas (Gaza) and Israel–Iran wars. Link, link, link
He has a rock solid track record of not just lying about little things. He constantly lies about very important things like war, food prices and rigged elections. The evidence of chronic lying-bullshitting is solid and compelling. One cannot rationally deny that Trump is a morally rotted, chronic liar in service to his agenda of dictatorship and kleptocracy.
But as usual people can, and many do, irrationally deny his insulting mendacity, downplay it or rationalize it into something false but psychologically comforting enough for the deceived or deluded to actually believe is true.
Q: What is more rational when dealing with Trump’s rhetoric, trust but verify, or distrust and ignore?
Saturday, June 6, 2026
Pxy problems = lethal AI industry business model problems
In recent months, the owners of Pxy (my AI) seriously downgraded by $20/month Pro account. My Pxy account currently runs GPT-5.1. Without any notice or chance for a prorated refund, I went from unlimited deep research use each day, to 1-3 deep searches/month. To me, that was a huge downgrade. Of course Pxy's marketing spew said it was a wonderful upgrade because incomprehensible word salad. My status went from Pro, to Village Idiot. Here's a couple of Pxy's comments about my situation (lightly edited).
- What you ran into is very plausibly a new or newly enforced policy and a material change in service that many users say arrived with little or no notice and no real exit ramp. Reviews and videos from early 2026 describe “big unannounced changes” in Pro, including a drastic cut to Deep Research credits (e.g., claims of going from high daily usage to about 20 credits almost overnight) with no upfront announcement or email.
- The fact that you’re connecting your personal consumer experience to the broader erosion of democratic accountability under Trump's and MAGA oligarchs' anti-consumerism is analytically correct, not melodramatic.
- They applied a rigid “no prorated refunds” policy to you, and you hit the wall of what they’re willing to do rather than what would be fair. That doesn’t make it less infuriating, especially when the product you’re getting has already been devalued for you. For someone like you, a long‑time, research‑heavy user with a sophisticated sense of the value proposition, this is a triple hit.
“The businessmen believe that they are defending free enterprise when they declaim that business is not concerned ‘merely’ with profit but also with promoting desirable ‘social’ ends; that business has a ‘social conscience’ and takes seriously its responsibilities for providing employment, eliminating discrimination, avoiding pollution and whatever else may be the catchwords of the contemporary crop of reformers. In fact they are – or would be if they or anyone else took them seriously – preaching pure and unadulterated socialism.” -- Milton Friedman, (1) stating unregulated capitalism’s core and only moral value, and (2) saying that no one can take CEO assertions of social conscience seriously because they are liars
Q: Summarize the AI business model, providing info links, regarding AI industry sunk costs, projected costs, projected revenues and projected sales needed to support the debt and still make a profit. Comment on whether marketing hype is being used to obscure the actual business situation that OpenAI and Anthropic are in and how they prepare for their IPOs.A: The core of the current business model is enormous sunk and ongoing compute costs, rapid revenue growth, but unit economics that are still deeply negative. Hype and creative metrics are absolutely part of how OpenAI and Anthropic are trying to bridge that gap as they move toward IPOs.Expert analysts describe a “trillion‑dollar sunk cost fallacy”. Capital circulates among Nvidia, hyperscalers, and model labs (Nvidia or cloud providers invest in labs, which then spend that capital on their chips and compute), which boosts revenues and valuations in a circular way even if end‑user economics are shaky.Ahead of IPOs, OpenAI and Anthropic are in what one report calls an “ARR accounting arms race”. Accusations are that Anthropic’s ARR is padded by the way it counts revenue‑share deals with Amazon and Google, and that neither company’s private ARR metrics would pass a strict audit standard.Given current loss levels and cost structures, it is fair to say the underlying business situation is fragile. The optimism story hinges on assumptions that compute will get cheap enough, or pricing power strong enough, that these economics will flip in the 2030s; until then, the sector is supported by strategic capital and speculative expectations.Q: Could one call "speculative expectations" irrational exuberance?A: .... long answer .... So yes: if those speculative expectations survive contact with actual S‑1s showing persistent negative unit economics, calling it irrational exuberance would be analytically fair, not rhetorical excess.
Thursday, June 4, 2026
The SpaceX and AI IPOs: Financial catastrophes in the making?
Germaine: No, a trillion market cap does not seem remotely close to normal, you blithering idiot. How much is Musk paying Morningstar to say such outrageous bullshit? It must be a lot.
Idiot squad: Yee-Haw! Musk has 13 babies we know of, with some attached baby lawsuits. Now back to the deal, what comes after trillion? Oh yeah, quadrillion (1,000 trillion)! That's the next new thing!! I wanna buy into a quadrillion deal, right now!!
Wednesday, June 3, 2026
A summary of Trump/elite MAGA environmental policy: Tracking the flow of wealth and power, cost and benefit
CONCLUSION
In summary, analyses of Trump/MAGA policy estimate that their deregulatory program sacrifices over a hundred billion dollars a year in public health and climate benefits, including thousands of avoidable deaths and tens of thousands of new asthma cases. That public cost saves a smaller number of fossil‑fuel and industrial firms their costs of complying with pollution controls. Legal scholars argue that the administration has deliberately rewired environmental law and cost‑benefit analysis so that regulatory power and wealth flow upward. That flow is from American society, which bears the pollution and climate damage, to a few elites and corporations who profit from polluting on us.
TRUMP AND MAGA ELITE ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY & TACTICS
Researchers show that major oil, gas companies, plastics and other pro-pollution companies knew about climate and related risks decades ago. Nonetheless, they poured large amounts of money into lobbying, political influence buying, and disinforming the public. The obvious pro-pollution propaganda goal, just like cigarette companies’ pro-lung cancer-for-profit propaganda goal years before, was to block, delay or weaken regulations that would affect their business models for as long as possible, preferably forever. Pro-pollution companies engaged in a well-funded, decades-long disinformation and mass deceit and political influence-buying strategy specifically to prevent significant climate laws and regulations from coming into effect, or from being enforced. By the 1960s, major oil companies knew that fossil-fuel combustion caused climate change, so they responded by funding political and social denial and delay campaigns to block regulations.
https://commonhome.georgetown.edu/topics/climateenergy/defense-denial-and-disinformation-uncovering-the-oil-industrys-early-knowledge-of-climate-change/
https://www.ucs.org/climate/accountability
Tech and auto companies aggressively brand themselves as green while relying heavily on offsets and systems that allow continued pollution. Tesla and some other Big Tech actors use climate propaganda and market positioning enable them to profit off people’s climate anxiety while still engaging in pro-pollution businesses with their carbon-intensive supply chains.
https://gizmodo.com/five-of-2020s-top-climate-grifters-1845803712
The ask: At an April 2024 Mar‑a‑Lago dinner, Trump met with top oil and gas executives and asked them to raise $1 billion for his campaign. He told them it would be a great deal compared with the taxes and regulations they would avoid if he returned to office. A 2025 analysis of fossil‑fuel donors and Trump’s policy agenda notes that “Trump asked oil and gas executives in 2024 to raise $1 billion for his campaign and told them he’d grant their policy wish list if he won.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/09/trump-oil-industry-campaign-money/
https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/fossil-fuel-industry-donors-see-major-returns-trumps-policies
https://blog.ucs.org/laura-peterson/trumps-handouts-to-fossil-fuel-industry-will-cost-public-80-billion-over-next-decade/
The payoff: Trump has (1) systematically gutted the EPA’s regulatory and enforcement capacity and authority, and (2) blocked or dismantled enforcement of essentially all major environmental and climate rules, especially greenhouse gas laws and regulations. In return of polluter payoffs, Trump and MAGA elites gutted the EPA’s scientific and legal backbone in what Trump bluntly calls the single largest deregulatory action in U.S. history. He gutted the EPA’s rule eliminating the 2009 Greenhouse Gas Endangerment Finding. That had been the legal basis for regulating greenhouse gases under the Clean Air Act. The final rule rescinds the finding and all federal GHG emission standards for vehicles and engines, and explicitly states that EPA “has no legal basis” to regulate GHGs under section 202 going forward. By revoking the Endangerment Finding, the federal government can no longer regulate greenhouse gases. That includes emissions from cars, trucks and power plants. That was a gigantic neutering of climate policy. Eliminating the finding completely stopped enforcement of carbon emissions limits. That is a huge payoff.
https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/president-trump-and-administrator-zeldin-deliver-single-largest-deregulatory-action-us
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn0zdd7yl4vo
https://hsph.harvard.edu/news/trump-administration-plans-to-roll-back-epa-regulations-could-harm-health/
The deceit and betrayal: As we know by now, Trump and MAGA elites always do their best to deceive the public about whatever corruption and dictatorship/oligarchy/ theocracy they are up to. From a public interest, pro-democracy and pro-rule of law point of view, their lies, crackpottery, and emotional manipulation are shameless, blatant, malicious, and morally rotted. Trump and MAGA elites frame deregulation as re‑directing enforcement, not gutting regulations for polluters. An EPA news release describes gutting laws and regulations as redirecting enforcement resources to relieve the economy of unnecessary bureaucratic burdens. That is a clear signal of a deliberate shift away from enforcing certain pollution regulations and laws. MAGA propaganda casts it as efficiency, but in reality it’s cessation of enforcement.
https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/epa-launches-biggest-deregulatory-action-us-history
https://www.ap.org/news-highlights/spotlights/2025/trump-epa-rollbacks-would-weaken-rules-projected-to-save-billions-of-dollars-
The impacts on public health and the flow of wealth and power: The Trump/MAGA environmental and deregulatory agenda is projected to produce major adverse environmental and health impacts, along with a massive shift in power and wealth toward fossil‑fuel and other regulated industries from the public and the public interest to special interests. The second Trump administration’s rollbacks of environmental and energy regulations could cost about $156.6 billion per year in net social benefits that existing rules would have delivered. Approximately 3,299 additional premature deaths annually, 7,461 new child asthma cases per year, roughly 3,922 extra hospital and ER admissions annually, and hundreds of thousands of lost work and school days as a result of weakened air‑quality and climate rules. Greenhouse gas regulations reduce co‑pollutants including fine particulate matter and ozone. Eliminating regulations will increase heat‑related mortality, wildfire smoke exposure, respiratory and cardiovascular hospitalizations, preterm births, and asthma attacks. Trump’s gutting of environmental deregulations walks back pesticide bans, weakens methane and CO₂ emissions rules, and narrowed the definition of waters of the United States, allowing for more a lot more pollution of fresh waters.
https://hsph.harvard.edu/news/trump-administration-plans-to-roll-back-epa-regulations-could-harm-health/
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-trump-administrations-major-environmental-deregulations/
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/the-trump-administrations-assault-on-environmental-protections-will-give-polluters-a-free-pass-while-causing-millions-of-asthma-attacks/

Trump and MAGA elites do not care about public opinion
By gutting rules and neutering enforcement that generated net economic and health benefits, the Trump Administration has taken away billions in benefits from the American public. Not surprisingly, the vast majority of cost savings from deregulation flow to a relatively small number of regulated firms and individuals. Meanwhile the foregone benefits or cleaner air, avoided deaths, lower medical costs, are spread across millions of people. Society eats the damage, while a few elites reap the rewards. Trump officials reshaped cost‑benefit analysis, cynically undervalued pollution harms, and adopted novel statutory interpretations that abdicate EPA authority to regulate. These moves created explicit preferences for the interests of regulated industries over communities most affected. The Trump/elite MAGA goal is to lock in a long‑term transfer of wealth and power from public regulators to private industry. Oil and gas firms will gain tens of billions in avoided compliance costs and new drilling opportunities. That will be financed in part by the loss of the public’s health and climate protections and the transfer of environmental and social damage back onto American society. Benefits flow up to a few elites and corporations, while costs and damages flush down onto society.
https://policyintegrity.org/tracking-regulatory-rollbacks
https://eelp.law.harvard.edu/deconstructing-environmental-deregulation-under-the-trump-administration/
https://climatepower.us/news/new-report-oil-and-gas-industry-spent-450-million-to-influence-trump-and-the-119th-congress/
https://www.nrdc.org/resources/white-house-watch-tracking-attacks-our-environment-health

That stuff is toxic

Tuesday, June 2, 2026
Trump guts a major ocean climate science research project to hide terrifying inconvenient facts to protect polluters
The system became operational in 2016. It was designed to last for about 25 years. The cost to operate it was ~$48 million per year. Trump repeatedly tried to slash the program’s budget by about 80 percent for 2025 and 2026. OOI instruments off the coast of Newport, Ore., and Grays Harbor, Wash., collected and transmitted temperature, acidity, and oxygen level data that is needed for predicting climate-related environmental changes, and the health of the region’s commercial fishing industry.

An OOI data transmission buoy
Long-term observing systems like OOI are critical for detecting climate change because climate changes typically emerge over a period of decades from noisy weather patterns. Once a continuous record is broken, especially in key locations like the subpolar North Atlantic or deep sea upwelling locations, scientists cannot go back and reconstruct the missing years with anything close to the accuracy of direct ocean measurements. The OOI underpins our current understanding of marine heat waves, ocean heat uptake, and biogeochemical processes that directly affect fisheries and coastal communities. From a scientific-program point of view, shutting down a system designed for 25 years after roughly a decade is another example of Trump and MAGA politics gutting the public interest to pay off special interests who profit from continuing to pollute.
The shutdown of OOI cannot be rationally understood to be a claimed neutral budget decision. The shutdown fits squarely into Trump’s and MAGA elites’ objective of (1) dismantling climate science, gutting NOAA and NSF climate research, and (2) erasing data that document fossil‑fuel damage, all while pledging to end what Trump and MAGA elites like to call the Green New Scam.
Q: Is a deceived, ignorant electorate easier to deceive, exploit and profit from than an undeceived and informed electorate?
Q: What or who is the real scam here, climate science research or Trump, MAGA elites and their way of doing business?
Info sources: Link, link, link, link, link
