Etiquette



DP Etiquette

First rule: Don't be a jackass. Most people are good.

Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.

Friday, March 10, 2023

News bits: When rights collide, some people whine about it; Trump lawsuit yawner; Etc.

The Telegraph writes about attitudes in the UK (note I now question the reliability of the information posed here - I retract this news bit): 
Women’s rights have gone ‘too far’, say majority of Gen Z and millennials, study shows

More than half of younger generations polled say women's rights are now discriminating against men

Some 52 per cent of Gen Z and 53 per cent of millennials say society has gone so far in promoting women’s rights that it is discriminating against men, a survey by Ipsos UK and the Global Institute for Women’s Leadership at King’s College London found. In contrast, four in 10 baby boomers (40 per cent) and Gen X (46 per cent) said the same. More than half of all men (55 per cent) held this opinion, compared to 41 per cent of women.
Men, what a bunch of wuss. No wonder so many of them in America are Christian nationalists. They get to sanctimoniously whine about being severely persecuted and oppressed with backing from the self-righteous wrath of loving, infallible God.


Note added after posting earlier today:
 Another reference in another story mentioned The Telegraph. That suggested that The Telegraph might be a radical right or hyper-radical right source. I checked on a fact accuracy and bias assessment source and found that The Telegraph is too often not reliable. Therefore, I retract this news bit as too likely unreliable.



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The NYT writes about Trump and the absent without leave law: “Prosecutors Signal Criminal Charges for Trump Are Likely -- The former president was told that he could appear before a Manhattan grand jury next week if he wishes to testify, a strong indication that an indictment could soon follow

Yawn. The only news bit will be if (i) he is indicted or not, and then (ii) if he is acquitted or found guilty and liability for lawbreaking survives appeal all the way to the US Supreme Court. Everything else is the same empty white noise we have been hearing for some years now.


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Budget wars are heating up -- the GOP proposes blither and crackpottery, Biden proposes something that might work: This is posturing in advance of the radical right in congress ready to force the US to default on its debt. A NYT opinion piece by Paul Krugman argues these points:
  • In 2013 radical Republicans proposed a budget that was economic nonsense, i.e., it would not have reduced the debt. It included a move to privatize Medicare over a period of some years, which would have achieved a goal the GOP wanted.
  • In 2023 radical Republicans propose things that are even more nonsensical, while claiming the federal debt is a crisis. If the GOP was serious about there being a crisis, one could not see that reflected in their proposal, which preserves debt-increasing Trump tax cuts, with no cuts in in defense, Social Security or Medicare. Krugman comments on that: “Yet it also claims to balance the budget, which is basically impossible under these constraints.”
  • By contrast, Biden’s proposal might do some good. He proposes to modestly reduce the ongoing spending deficit, while shrinking the federal deficit by about $3 trillion over 10 years. In essence, Biden’s proposal reduces deficit while modestly expanding social programs by (i) raising taxes on corporations and wealthy individuals, and (ii) cost-cutting measures in health care, e.g., via using Medicare’s bargaining power to reduce spending on prescription drugs. 
  • Biden’s budget proposal is not far out of synch with what the Congressional Budget Office comes up with in its analysis of the Biden proposal. So, unlike the blithering nonsense from the GOP, there is some credibility in what Biden proposes.
  • Krugman sees no economic sense in the Republican plan and muses about why that might be: “The modern G.O.P. gets its energy from culture war and racial hostility, not faith in the miraculous power of tax cuts and small government. So why not give up on the ghost of Reaganomics? Why not come out for a strong social safety net, but only for straight white people?” 
Was that last comment by Krugman snark? 🤨

Of course, there is zero chance that Biden’s proposal would pass in congress. The entire Republican cadre hates taxes and government. So, we will be left with gridlock probably right up to the time of a US default, maybe some time thereafter if the radicals force the US into  default.

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More fun with the budget -- the hyper-radicals throw down the gauntlet: The WaPo writes about what the foaming at the mouth hyper-radicals want in their budget utopia:  
The House Freedom Caucus insisted on steeper spending cuts than some GOP lawmakers had been considering, along with caps on future spending, as the fight over the debt ceiling intensifies

A powerful group of far-right Republicans on Friday issued a new set demands in the fight over the debt ceiling, stressing they would only supply their votes to raise the limit if they can secure about $130 billion in spending cuts, cap federal agencies’ future budgets and unwind the Biden administration’s economic agenda.

The ultimatum from the House Freedom Caucus — led by Rep. Scott Perry (R-Pa.) — threatened to deal a massive blow to government health care, education, science and labor programs.
That’s more like what we have come to expect from the hyper-radical wing of the GOP. They believe in blue space lasers, babies and microchips in vaccines and lizard people Democrats. Those crackpot freaks are so far to the extreme right, they almost make the radicals look centrist. Almost, but not really.

Come June or whenever the US hits its spending ceiling, things are going to get real interesting and extremely ugly.

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More on the budget: The WaPo editorial board argues that the debt really is at crisis levels and a lot more than what Biden proposes is necessary. This paints a really scary scenario:
As debt gets bigger than the economy, the interest costs become so onerous that there is little money left for anything else. By 2033, the nation will be spending more on paying creditors than on the entire defense budget.

Even the more modest goal of attempting to stabilize the debt as a size of the economy would take close to $8 trillion in savings, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget says. Mr. Biden proposed about $3 trillion in net savings over the next decade, achieved mostly by hiking taxes on the rich and a proposal for the government to pay less for the prescription drugs it buys through programs such as Medicare and Medicaid. He deserves credit for offering some cuts and revenue raisers, but his plan underscores the reality that getting anywhere close to what’s needed over the next decade will take heroic political efforts.

The scale of sobriety that is now necessary means we will need to do a lot more than lawmakers are acknowledging. Republicans falsely claim that the nation’s budget situation would be fine if it just cut back on welfare, waste and foreign aid. Democrats are equally misleading when they suggest it will take raising taxes on big businesses and the rich and perhaps shaving a bit off defense to get where we need to be.

The CBO projects Medicare will have to start making dramatic cuts to benefits by 2030 and Social Security by 2033. There’s another reckoning coming even sooner, at the end of 2025, when Mr. Trump’s individual tax cuts expire. The GOP made the corporate tax cuts permanent, but not the cuts for families. If the tax cuts are extended, the nation’s finances look worse.
Is it just me or does the budget issue look this time like it is going to force a solution on us sooner rather than later, e.g., in the next 4-5 years? Some experts have been arguing for years that the longer we dither, the worse the pain will be later. That argument feels right.

Hear ye, hear ye...

The warnings are coming fast and furious now.  Trump indictments coming soon!

I don’t know, but I’m having visions of “The Boy(s) Who Cried Wolf.”  

In other words, I’ve seen the Trump movie enough times, and heard about Trump getting his “comeuppance” ad nauseam, that I’ve got to see it to believe it.  Yeah, “Fool me once…” Syndrome has set in for me.

So, what do you think? 

  1. Will the news of these indictments pan out?  If yes, how soon before at least one of them happens?  I'm not asking what the NEWS thinks; I'm asking what YOU think.
  2. What will be their ramifications?  (E.g., Jail time for Trump [there’s a laugh], big fines, will it bolster his chances “bigly” of getting the Republican nomination because he’s been wrongfully accused [poor me…witch-hunted], etc.)  What do you see happening to Trump and his brand?
  3. Of all Trump’s “legal problems” (tax evasion, stolen classified documents, 1/6 insurrection incitement, hush money payments to porn stars, interference in the 2020 election), what is the most egregious?  Rank them in order of legal seriousness, as you see them.

Thursday, March 9, 2023

News bits: An odd court decision whacks the bad guys for being bad; Etc.

Right-wing activists Jacob Wohl and Jack Burkman’s robocalls targeting Black voters violated the Voting Rights Act and Ku Klux Klan Act — and the question isn’t close enough to require a jury, a federal judge ruled.

[The judge said that] the evidence “establishes that the neighborhoods that Defendants targeted were not accidental or random,” finding that a reasonable jury couldn’t escape the conclusion that the pair wanted to “deny the right to vote specifically to Black voters.”

Recorded by a woman identifying herself as “Tamika Taylor,” the robocalls largely targeted diverse regions with the false message that “if you vote by mail, your personal information will be part of a public database that will be used by police departments to track down old warrants, and [will] be used by credit card companies to collect outstanding debt.”

Though Wohl and Burkman painted themselves as “goofballs and political hucksters with an irreverent sense of humor,” Judge Marrero rejected that the robocalls were “mere hyperbole.”
If the Republican Supreme Court takes this case up, it will try to find a way to let these two Republican vote fraudsters off the hook on free speech grounds. After all, Republicans use the law to protect their own and savage those they hate and politically oppose.

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Ukraine update: The NYT writes: “Russia Lacks Firepower to Keep Advancing, U.S. Intelligence Chief Says.”

That’s not credible. Maybe it will be credible when it happens. Another pulse check in six months might to shed enough fact-based light on this to come to a reasonably fact-based opinion.

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The WaPo writes: “Russia fires barrage of hypersonic missiles, piercing Ukrainian air defenses.”

Russia continues happily to pulverize Ukraine into the stone age.

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Morally bankrupt American military: The NYT writes: “Pentagon Blocks Sharing Evidence of Possible Russian War Crimes With Hague Court. American military leaders oppose helping the court investigate Russians because they fear setting a precedent that might help pave the way for it to prosecute Americans.”

Biden and State Department want to turn the evidence over. The US military fears prosecutions of its personnel. If the Pentagon stopped doing things that create liability for prosecutions, this would not be a concern. 

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From the Pissed Off Catholics Files: The WaPo writes about an investigation it launched into this odd story: “A group of conservative Colorado Catholics has spent millions of dollars to buy mobile app tracking data that identified priests who used gay dating and hookup apps and then shared it with bishops around the country. The secretive effort was the work of a Denver nonprofit called Catholic Laity and Clergy for Renewal .... The use of data is emblematic of a new surveillance frontier in which private individuals can potentially track other Americans’ locations and activities using commercially available information. No U.S. data privacy laws prohibit the sale of this data.”

Personal privacy online is just about non-existent. How many priests will get axed from this little fishing expedition is an interesting question.

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From the Snarky Columnist Files: A WaPo opinion by Alexandra Petri opines, snarking on the Faux News and Tucker Carlson spinning the 1/6 coup attempt into a harmless, fat-free nothingburger:
I got an advance transcript of Tucker Carlson’s next several shows, operating under the same premise as his recently released, selectively edited Jan. 6 coverage! It follows.

Viewers! For too long, Big Paleontology and the mainstream media have lied to you, saying that the planet was hit by a meteorite that caused dinosaurs to go extinct. That’s what they want you to think. But I’ve looked at the footage and — it’s just not the case. For the overwhelming, vast majority of the time that dinosaurs were walking around on Earth, there’s not a single meteorite to be seen.

Mostly, the dinosaurs were not impacted by a meteorite, actually. Finally, someone with the courage to say it. It makes you wonder: What else are they keeping from us?

Next, we will observe footage that reveals Abraham Lincoln was mostly not assassinated — I have almost an hour of footage of him enjoying a theater performance without incident! And footage showing that for the overwhelming majority of his life, Elvis was alive. Next, lots of footage of the Hindenburg flying without a single problem! Makes you wonder who stood to gain by painting it as a disaster! 
Faux News and Carlson are doubling down and saying the 1/6 coup attempt was peaceful and lawful. They have to double down or lose audience share. For Faux, as we all know, concern for profit is first, while truth is a distant third behind 2nd place audience share.  


Tucker showing the peaceful patriotism  
of the 1/6 coup attempt

What Tucker Carlson Really Thinks of Trump? "I Hate Him Passionately."

Tucker Carlson has been a central proponent of Trump and the MAGA movement in the GOP. He's a trusted go-to source for the MAGA troops, and in the past I have even heard rumors of his running for president in 2024. But, like a lot of other people, I've always had the suspicion that he's a phony who runs a lucrative business telling Fox audiences what they want to hear. It looks like there's something to that hunch according to recently obtained private comments Carlson made which have surfaced in the context of the Dominion Voting Systems defamation suit. The following is an excerpt of a NYT article published yesterday.

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NYT: 3/8/23

Here are five examples of Mr. Carlson’s views on Mr. Trump from the documents:

Nov. 6, 2020

As votes were being counted in the 2020 presidential election, Mr. Carlson texted with his producer, Alex Pfeiffer, fretting about viewers turning away from Fox News after the network called Arizona for President Biden.

Alex Pfeiffer: Trump has a pretty low rate at success in his business ventures.

Tucker Carlson: That’s for sure. All of them fail. What he’s good at is destroying things. He’s the undisputed world champion of that.

Nov. 10, 2020

A staff member texted Mr. Carlson to say they’d heard Mr. Trump was planning not to attend the inauguration, an important symbol of the peaceful transfer of power.

Carlson: I’d heard that about the inauguration. Hard to believe. So destructive.

Carlson: It’s disgusting. I’m trying to look away.

Nov. 23, 2020

Mr. Carlson texts with the Fox News host Laura Ingraham about Sidney Powell, a lawyer for Mr. Trump and one of the biggest promoters of the unfounded election fraud claims.

Carlson: I had to try to make the WH disavow her, which they obviously should have done long before.

Laura Ingraham: No serious lawyer could believe what they were saying.

Carlson: But they said nothing in public. Pretty disgusting. And now Trump, I learned this morning, is sitting back and letting them lose the senate. He doesn’t care. I care.

Jan. 4, 2021

Mr. Carlson texts with members of his staff, two months after the 2020 election and two days before the insurrection at the Capitol building, about looking forward to not having to cover Mr. Trump.

Carlson: We are very, very close to being able to ignore Trump most nights. I truly can’t wait.

Carlson: I hate him passionately.

Jan. 7, 2021

After the riot at the Capitol on Jan. 6, Mr. Carlson texts with Mr. Pfeiffer about Mr. Trump’s culpability in the insurrection and how to deal with viewers who still support him. It was two weeks before the inauguration of President Biden.

Carlson: Trump has two weeks left. Once he’s out, he becomes incalculably less powerful, even in the minds of his supporters.

Carlson: He’s a demonic force, a destroyer. But he’s not going to destroy us. I’ve been thinking about this every day for four years.

Pfeiffer: You’re right. I don’t want to let him destroy me either. [REDACTED]. The Trump anger spiral is vicious.

Carlson: That’s for sure. Deadly. It almost consumed me in November when Sidney Powell attacked us. It was very difficult to regain emotional control, but I knew I had to. We’ve got two weeks left. We can do this.

 

 Full article here: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/08/business/media/tucker-carlson-trump.html?campaign_id=190&emc=edit_ufn_2023