Etiquette



DP Etiquette

First rule: Don't be a jackass. Most people are good.

Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.

Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Intention economy update: Agentic search capability is on the horizon

This morning when I fired up my AI for the first search du jour, a Perplexity ad was there. It offered to put people on the wait list to get access to Comet, an agentic search platform. It sounded juicy, so I put my email on the list.


I'm gonna get whacked by a Comet! 


What is agentic searching? I had no idea. Never heard of it until about an hour ago. Perplexity describes it like this:
Agentic search is an advanced form of artificial intelligence that goes beyond traditional keyword-based search engines to provide more personalized, context-aware, and action-oriented results. It utilizes AI agents capable of understanding user intent, analyzing multiple sources, and performing complex tasks autonomously 1 3 5. (emphasis added)

AI agents can interpret and refine ambiguous queries by considering user context, search history, and intent 5. Agents can access and synthesize information from various sources, including vector databases, web searches, APIs, and specialized tools 4. The system analyzes user preferences, past behavior, and current context to tailor search results 3. Agentic search can break down complex queries, validate information across sources, and provide comprehensive answers 2.

Agentic search represents a significant evolution in information retrieval, offering users more accurate, relevant, and actionable results while reducing the time and effort required to find and process information 7. As this technology continues to develop, it has the potential to reshape how users interact with search engines and access information online 8.

I interpret this as a major step toward building infrastructure needed for implementing the intention economy. The goal is commercial-economic. Comet has some agency, unlike current AI. It can book reservations, pay bills and suggest restaurants and entertainment possibilities. Comet is aimed at displacing the currently dominant intention economy. Unless I misunderstand this[1], Comet is a major step toward unleashing a semi-autonomous AI agent to learn how read a person's intentions and, more creepily, how to implant desires, especially money spending desires into people. 

I wrote about the intention economy last January in a world-class blog post entitled The intention economy: Subtly, quietly replacing your motives with their motives:

Long story short: Artificial intelligence gives the opportunists a way to discover and manipulate your intentions and motives to do or not do something, e.g., to buy or not buy a product or to vote for or against a political candidate.


There's a Coment coming and 
it's definitely gonna hit Earth!
(Safety tip: buy an umbrella to protect yourself and your loved ones)


Qs: 
1. Has Germaine gone off his rocker and mental meds to let Comet into his brain-mind to rummage around and tinker with it? 

2. Is Germaine insanely hubristic and/or stupid to think that the intention economy technology will not be subtle or powerful enough to get, i.e., trick, the poor boob to (i) buy another Tesla, (ii) vote for a 3rd term for djt in 2028, while (iii) buying tickets for a well-deserved vacation in Sunny Moscow, Russia in January? 
(Frozen nuts alert!!)


An observation about defenses against dark free speech: For years I've been harping on an urgent need for mandatory public education in defenses against the dark arts (demagoguery, propaganda, lies, slanders, crackpot conspiracy theories, etc.). All Americans now require more education in critical thinking skills, rhetoric, self-awareness, and a reasonable understanding of the importance of unconscious bias and the power of social context. IMFO, (in my firm opinion) the coming of intention economy technology makes tghe public's lack of mental self-defenses even more urgent and important. This is a whole new front in the endless war for minds and dollars. I doubt that more than ~5% of the American people ever heard of the intention economy, and even fewer understand it to see what it is designed to do.


Footnote:
1. Perplexity was creepily cagey and understated about the role of Comet in transitioning our brain-minds from the attention economy to the intention economy.
Q: Is Comet part of the intention economy, presumably intended to surpass and displace the attention economy?

A: Comet, the AI-powered browser being developed by Perplexity, appears to be aligned with the concept of the intention economy, but it's not yet clear if it will fully realize this vision or successfully displace the attention economy. [Appears to be aligned with?? Ahhh!, understatement alert!!!]

The intention economy, as originally conceived, aims to empower consumers and create more genuine relationships between customers and vendors 1 5. While Comet may contribute to this vision, there are also concerns about a potentially problematic version of the intention economy:

Data commodification: Some researchers warn of a marketplace for behavioral and psychological data that signals intent, which could be used for hyper-personalized manipulation 5 6.

AI-driven persuasion: There are concerns about AI assistants that could forecast and influence decision-making at an early stage, potentially selling these developing "intentions" to companies 5.

Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Ukraine war update: Modern drone warfare

Ukrainian drone operator
“When a tank appears it’s like dropping a plate of food
in front of a table of hungry drone operators”


Putin's unjustifiable war against the Ukraine has taken what appears to be a very dark turn. The NYT reports (not paywalled) that about 70% of injuries and deaths are inflicted by drones:


Left: remote controlled machine gun drone kills on the ground
Right: drone kills from the air by dropping molten metal on people
When a mortar round exploded on top of their American-made Bradley infantry fighting vehicle, the Ukrainian soldiers inside were shaken but not terribly worried, having been hardened by artillery shelling over three years of war.

But then the small drones started to swarm.

They targeted the weakest points of the armored Bradley with a deadly precision that mortar fire doesn’t possess. One of the explosive drones struck the hatch right above where the commander was sitting.

“It tore my arm off,” recounted Jr. Sgt. Taras, the 31-year-old commander who, like others, used his first name in accordance with Ukrainian military protocols.

Scrambling for a tourniquet, Sergeant Taras saw that the team’s driver had also been hit, his eye blasted from its socket.

The two soldiers survived. But the attack showed how an ever-evolving constellation of drones — largely off-the-shelf technologies that are being turned into killing machines at breakneck speed — made the third year of war in Ukraine deadlier than the first two years combined, according to Western estimates. 
Dropping molten metal on Russian troops

The article points out that war has killed and wounded more than a million soldiers, according to current estimates. Drones now kill more soldiers and destroy more armored vehicles in Ukraine than all traditional weapons of war combined. Nineteen of the 31 sophisticated Abrams tanks that the United States sent to Ukraine in 2023 have been destroyed, disabled or captured. Many of those were disabled by drones. Nearly all of the others have been taken off the front lines because they are big sitting ducks for drone swarms.

Drones armed with shotguns are now shooting at enemy drones. Antiaircraft drones are attacking surveillance drones that fly higher in the sky to monitor troop and weapon movements. To increase the distance they can fly and kill, larger drones serve as motherships for swarms of small drones.

Ukrainian FPV drone operator

Open ground has turned into a killing zone for both Ukrainian and Russian troops. Soldiers have only speed for protection. They use quadbikes and motorcycles to outrun the reaction time of FPV (First Person View) drone operators. It is often impossible to move, but staying in one place is also dangerous. Fortified trench systems are obvious targets. Armored vehicles have been virtually neutralized. Drones that cost a couple of hundred dollars to make and arm can destroy vehicles and weapons costing tens of millions. 




Drones are now being deployed that cannot be radio jammed. They operate by trailing a thin fiber optic cable that is directly connected to the drone operator's screens.


Center & left: fiber optic lines left by drones
Right: Russian drone spinning out fiber cable


Ukrainian soldiers assembling FPV drones 
in a destroyed house near the front lines


Ukrainian drone destroys a tank


Other articles for this post are here and here.


It is hard to imagine the unwarranted hell the Ukrainian people are suffering. And it is all because of Putin's monstrous ego. For djt and MAGA to back away and leave the Ukraine to Putin's tender mercies is literally evil, a ghastly moral stain and a deep betrayal of democracy and the American people.

About egg prices: Price gouging? It's djt's fault

An AP article raised the issue of egg price gouging, Are egg producers inflating prices during the bird flu outbreak to boost profits? The AP article comments that, not surprisingly, egg producers blame the bird flu outbreak for driving prices to record highs. Most experts, whoever they may be, agree that bird flu mostly drives prices. However, some people believe that a few major suppliers are taking advantage of their market dominance to gouge.  

An expert critic, Angela Huffman, commented “dominant egg corporations are blaming avian flu for the price hikes that we’re seeing. But while the egg supply has fallen only slightly, these companies profits have soared.” In addition, there is past bad egg producer behavior. In 2023, a jury found that major egg producers used various means to limit the domestic supply of eggs to increase the price during the 2000s. 

Also, profits have greatly surpassed egg production costs. For example, Cal-Maine Foods reported a profit of $219 million in the latest quarter, with eggs averaging $2.74 per dozen. That is a more than a 100-fold increase from $1.2 million in the quarter before the outbreak when eggs were $1.37 per dozen.

Finally, some consumer advocates found "no evidence of aggressive price competition among the largest egg producers over the past year," suggesting that as Cal-Maine and other 'bellwether' companies raised prices, it provided an "invitation for rival egg producers to tacitly collude with Cal-Maine, forego price competition themselves, and maintain high prices for the entire industry."

Given the intense hostility of djt and MAGA elites toward regulations, one can reasonably believe that corporate collusion everywhere will be on the rise. As the federal government backs away from consumer, worker and environmental protections, most of the released power will flow to special interests who will get increased profit from de-regulation. Collusion and price gouging will become normalized and accepted as business as usual.

How likely is egg price gouging right now? Very likely. It's just free markets doing what free markets naturally want to do. And it's djt's fault for letting it happen. Of course, that should be no surprise to anyone paying attention and not trapped in MAGA's fantasy and illusion propaganda.

Monday, March 3, 2025

MAGA bits: Undermining state courts; Gutting NOAA; Killing federal tech infrastructure

Measures in several state legislatures this year have called for new approaches to weaken the power of judges. One would abandon a centuries-old precedent that courts can decide whether laws are constitutional. Another would change how judges are selected.

In 1803 the U.S. Supreme Court established the precedent in the landmark case Marbury v. Madison that courts can find laws unconstitutional.

A Montana legislative committee has voted to reject that concept. It advanced a measure that says the idea that courts alone have the power to decide what laws are constitutional is “a myth” and does not accurately reflect the 1803 ruling. Instead, the GOP-sponsored bill asserts that “no single branch has exclusive power to bind its decisions on another branch of government.”
This MAGA attack might not stop with state courts. On February 15, 2025, JD Vance posted on X, "Judges aren't allowed to dictate the boundaries of the executive's rightful authority." That comment clearly implies a belief that the president's authority isn't subject to judicial review. djt's budget director Russell Vought said during his confirmation hearings in January 2025 that the Impoundment Control Act of 1974  is unconstitutional. That law reaffirmed Congressional authority over federal funding. Vought suggests an interpretation of executive power that would allow djt to withhold funds that Congress has allocated. Right now, djt's actions are directly challenging that congressional power.
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The NYT writes (not paywalled) about gutting NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) which does world-class climate science research and provides weather forecasts to the public:
The firings are expected to cost more than 800 people their jobs, out of a total of about 13,000 staff members, according to two people familiar with the situation ....

“This loss of talent at NOAA is going to set the agency back years and compromise the integrity of missions that directly support human health and safety, economic prosperity and national security,” [a NOAA policy] analyst said, speaking on the condition of anonymity for fear of retribution. “This is not a move toward efficiency; it’s a move toward putting Americans in danger every day.”
This is no surprise. Project 2025 singled NOAA out for deep cuts. The Heritage Foundation that produced Project 2025 calls NOAA “one of the main drivers of the climate change alarm industry.” The document urges that NOAA be dismantled and some of its programs be terminated. 

Project 2025 policy commercializes the National Weather Service, a well-known NOAA function. The NWS provides weather forecasts and lifesaving warnings. Thus, if you want to know if a hurricane or blizzard is coming your way, you'll have to pay to get the info. Who knows, maybe Musk will buy the NWS at a low, low price and charge a high, high price for access to the data. Fair is fair. 

Capitalisms motto: We only charge what the market will bear, 
unless it can bear more! 👍 

So there we have it climate science denial fans. Global warming research is just a corrupt alarm industry hoax. Stop climate science research and the flow of inconvenient facts, true truths and sound reasoning stops. Easy-peasy, but awfully sleazy. 
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DOGE continues its focused attacks on government agencies and services that protect democracy, the rule of law, consumers, workers, the environment, government efficiency and other things that protect and serve the public interest. djt, Musk and the MAGA thug who runs the GSA (General Services Administration), Thomas Shedd, a mechanical engineer and former Musk employee, has laid off the entire 18F tech support group, about 90 people. 

MAGA thug Thomas Shedd

Until March 1, 18F was a digital services agency in the Technology Transformation Services department of the GSA. 18F employed researchers, website designers, and product managers. 18F built key government services like Login.gov and helping other agencies with their technology needs and cutting government operation costs. However, MAGA thugs Musk and Shedd lied by calling 18F "non-critical." Musk's DOGE also identified 18F as "non-critical." Presumably Musk ordered his former employee to get rid of 18F and Shedd complied.

So now when you go to a government website and it doesn't work, and you get all pissed off and flustered, you can blame (or thank, if you like it) djt and MAGA elites for just doing what they promised to do in Project 2025. Namely they promised to break government, gut the public interest and establish a deeply corrupt dictatorship. That is exactly what they are doing.

Non-critical or standing in the way 
of corrupt MAGA dictatorship?
(standing in the way but on the bright side, now Musk can bid as a 
private contractor for the "non-critical" jobs he got rid of! 👍)


Me? I'm waiting for the announcement that Musk and SpaceX Engineers will be replacing 18F employees. Who knows, maybe Musk will rehire them.