Etiquette



DP Etiquette

First rule: Don't be a jackass. Most people are good.

Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.

Tuesday, August 9, 2022

Republican politicians now openly ignoring court rulings they dislike

Once again, the issue is Republican Party election subversion tactics. And once again, the intent of Republican elites and politicians is crystal clear: Subvert elections so that only Republican candidates can win elections. Anyone who cannot see this by now, just cannot see, is not looking or knows it and either supports or opposes election subversion by the openly fascist Republican Party.

Maps in Four States Were Ruled Illegal Gerrymanders. They’re Being Used Anyway.

Since January, judges in Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana and Ohio have found that Republican legislators illegally drew those states’ congressional maps along racial or partisan lines, or that a trial very likely would conclude that they did. In years past, judges who have reached similar findings have ordered new maps, or had an expert draw them, to ensure that coming elections were fair.

But a shift in election law philosophy at the Supreme Court, combined with a new aggressiveness among Republicans who drew the maps, has upended that model for the elections in November. This time, all four states are using the rejected maps, and questions about their legality for future elections will be hashed out in court later.

The immediate upshot, election experts say, is that Republicans almost certainly will gain more seats in midterm elections at a time when Democrats already are struggling to maintain their bare majority.  
Some election law scholars say they are troubled by the consequences in the long run.

“We’re seeing a revolution in courts’ willingness to allow elections to go forward under illegal or unconstitutional rules,” Richard L. Hasen, a professor at the U.C.L.A. School of Law and the director of its Safeguarding Democracy Project, said in an interview. “And that’s creating a situation in which states are getting one free illegal election before they have to change their rules.”
If Republicans get their way, all it may take to kill off free and fair elections in the US is just one election under illegal or unconstitutional rules. That might be all it will take.

Once the Republican Party has normalized the practice of ignoring court rulings it dislikes, that will put a big wood stake through both the heart of what little is left of (1) the rule of law[1], and (2) free and fair elections. After that, other civil liberties will fall along with the fall of the rule of law.

Anyone who thinks that the 2022 general elections will be free and fair, really ought to take a look at the summary shown below and then reconsider their position in light of relevant data and in light of what the NYT reported and this post and other recent posts here contain. I've been warning people over and over and over. 


December 2021 data


Footnote:
1.  Despite yesterday's execution of an FBI search warrant at Mar-a-lago, the rule of law as applied to rich and/or powerful people is barely hanging on by a thread. That applies especially to openly fascist Republicans, even some who are not rich or powerful. 

Monday, August 8, 2022

Good news from science

This is a really big deal. The NIH is now funding research into ways to enhance scientific rigor. This should be a game changer. I hope it's not too little or too late. Steve Novella at Neorologica writes:
This is a great idea, and in fact is long overdue. The NIH is awarding various grants to establish educational materials and centers to teach principles of scientific rigor to researchers. This may seem redundant, but it absolutely isn’t.

At present principles of research are taught in basic form during scientific courses, but advanced principles are largely left to individual mentorship. This creates a great deal of variability in how well researchers really understand the principles of scientific rigor. As a result, a lot of research falls short of scientific ideals. This creates a great deal of waste in the system. NIH, as a funding institution, has a great deal of incentive to reduce this waste.

The primary mechanism will be to create teaching modules that then can be made freely available to educational and research institutions. These modules would cover: 

“biases in research; logical fallacies around causality; how to develop hypotheses; designing literature searches; identifying experimental variables; and reducing confounding variables in research.”

Sounds like a good start. The “biases in research” is a broad category, so I’m not sure how thorough coverage will be. I would explicitly include as an area of education – how to avoid p-hacking. Perhaps this could be part of a broader category on how to properly use statistic in research, the limits of the p-value, and the importance of using other statistical methods like effect sizes and Bayesian analysis.  
Prior research has shown that when asked about their research behavior, about a third of researchers admit (anonymously) to bad behavior that amounts to p-hacking. This is likely mostly innocent and naive. I lecture about this topic all the time myself, and I find that many researchers are unfamiliar with the more nuanced aspects of scientific rigor.  
And of course, once the NIH requires certification, this will almost certainly make it uniform within academia, at least on the biomedical side. Then we need other research granting institutions to replicate this, also requiring certification. It basically should become impossible to have a career as a researcher in any field without some basic certification in the principles of research rigor.
OMG, someone outside Dissident Politics is actually taking logic fallacies seriously? I must have died and got reluctantly shoved up to heaven. Next after science, politics needs to tackle this same plague on democracy, humanity and civilization.

No, it is not the case that science and politics can be dealt with the same way. They are different. But it is the case that the data and reasoning behind politics can be subject to the same kind of rigor, if politics is to be based more on fact and sound reasoning than it is now. Opinions will still differ, but the extent of difference due to irrationally disputed facts, e.g., stolen election vs. not stolen, differences in opinions ought to be significantly reduced. Everyone doing politics firmly believes their politics is based on real facts and sound reasoning. A lot of research indicates that just is not true for most people, most of the time.

Politics is mostly sloppy, not rigorous.

Good thing most of us won't be alive in 2100, and here is why.........

 

America Will Invade Canada Before the Year 2100

But it could happen far, far sooner



Let’s face it, friends:

America is over.

Eventually, despotic American politicians will wake up and realize there’s a simple solution to all their self-imposed problems:

Invade Canada.

Snowy's reaction: Oh geeze, what a depressing article, and this after just getting away from the good Ole U.S. of A.

Here is the rest of the depressing article:

https://survivingtomorrow.org/america-will-invade-canada-before-the-year-2100-29d8f3dd3b24

Conclusion: At least Americans will get to discover poutine.



Sunday, August 7, 2022

About social security and how much the Republican Party hates it

Republican elites hate, hate hate social security and the rest of the social safety net. The GOP is a pull yourself up by your bootstraps Darwinian survival or die political party. In GOP dogma, those who die deserve to die. Every penny that goes to regular people is one less penny that go to super wealthy elites. Each of those lost pennies is a moral outrage to GOP elites. Lost pennies includes those lost to evil, socialist, pedophilic social security spending and etc.

Waddabout the Republican Party rank and file? Most are deceived, clueless and betrayed by the GOP and its propaganda Leviathan like Faux 'News'. Most of them actually believe the lies and adopt the irrational Republican Party hate propaganda.

Opinion | Republicans are coming after Social Security. Democrats, take note.

.... the Republicans are once again taking aim at it and are, in the process, handing Democrats an issue almost as politically potent as abortion rights as they fight to hold on to their slim majorities in the November elections.

The most recent to join the fray is Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.). He announced earlier this week that he believes Social Security should be up for a congressional reauthorization vote every single year. “If you qualify for an entitlement, you get it no matter what the cost,” he huffed on a podcast.

The nerve of those entitled seniors. They paid faithfully into a program and expect a check. Imagine that!

This ups the ante from Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.), who opened the Social Security floodgates earlier this year when he proposed putting all government programs — including Social Security and Medicare — up for renewal every five years. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) immediately declared it dead on arrival, but that hasn’t stopped some Republicans such as Johnson from expressing their approval.

It’s almost as though these Republicans can’t stop themselves from acting on the hope that when it comes to Social Security, the majority of voters won’t take them seriously, even as the GOP base laps their message up. But, in an age when increasing numbers of Americans are going to need a Social Security check to get by in retirement, that seems like a risky bet.
The fascist Republican Party is all in on getting rid of all social safety net spending, including Medicare, Medicaid, food stamps and all the rest. In their twisted political religion, no mercy for anyone for any reason is what the Founders intended. That includes no mercy for veterans who fought in wars to protect their  corrupt, worthless hides and bank accounts.

Our morally rotted ex-president once commented about America's war dead. In 2020, the Atlantic wrote:
Trump said, “Why should I go to that cemetery? It’s filled with losers.” In a separate conversation on the same trip, Trump referred to the more than 1,800 marines who lost their lives at Belleau Wood as “suckers” for getting killed. 
The rest of the corrupt, hard assed Republican Party leadership feels or acts the same way, no matter how hard they deny it. Liars deserve no credibility. That includes Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski, the two radical right Republican Senators the MSM falsely refers to as "moderates."

Where there is some dispute in the GOP is about how fast and openly to shaft us regular people. 

Morally rotted McConnell wants time for an appearance of subtlety to quietly abandon average Americans and leave them rotting in a garbage heap. Less patient, equally morally rotted Republicans like Ron Johnson are ready for immediate action. The US Supreme Court also wants to bulldozer safety net protections for average people right now. But maybe most of those Republican Christofacscist radicals on the court are more politically savvy. They might bide their time for a bit, no matter how that odious it is to them. They are also part of the relentless radical right quest to kill democracy, inconvenient truth, the rule of law, civil liberties and our social safety net.

Or, is all that just over the top?