Blog note: Regardless of whether Harris and the Dems generally win or lose tomorrow or in the days following the election, please try to maintain control of emotions. Don't gloat over Trump losing. In recent posts, I've argued that America is in a generations-long battle of deeply corrupt authoritarianism vs less corrupt democracy.
If Trump wins, that could be the decisive battle that leads to the end. But if he wins, pro-democracy, pro-honest, competent government people will need every possible ally they can get in hopes of saving our rule of law-based democracy and our civil liberties. Along the way to establishing his corrupt dictatorship, Trump and his enablers will have to do a lot of anti-democracy things. Each of those bad things need to be pointed out and the democratic damage they cause stated clearly and respectfully. Maybe some allies will come of that defense tactic. Alienating, disrespecting or insulting rank and file MAGA people as a whole will not be helpful in the long-term war against the various forms of American authoritarianism vying for power no matter how the elections turn out, even if Harris wins.
That said: I strongly endorse Harris. GO HARRIS!
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Poll note: Each Day I watch the polls. In the last few days I sensed a shift from net Trump support to net Harris. The Iowa poll yesterday showing Harris beating Trump was part of that. However, the situation is so complex that I am unsure of how much weight to give the polls. My intuition has flipped from thinking DJT would narrowly win to now thinking Harris will narrowly win.
I suspect that those commercials showing women voting for Harris but keeping quiet or saying they voted for DJT is resonating with some women. There seem to be an awful lot of angry husbands out there who are rabid DJT supporters. That could be something the polls cannot pick up on. Also, it appears that Biden's incredibly idiotic and insulting assertion that Trump supporters are garbage is not going to hurt Harris nearly as much as I initially thought. Initially, I thought Biden's comment was going to be the last nail in the Harris coffin.
In the history of modern polling, there’s never been a race where the final polls showed such a close contest. If the poll averages are exactly right down to the decimal (they will not be), Ms. Harris would barely need to outperform the polls to prevail.
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Chaos note: I was aware that authoritarian MAGA Republicans were planning to unleash a massive wave of lawsuits if Trump loses. I was rudely told yesterday by an exceptionally well-informed interlocutor that I was seriously misinformed and needed some slapping around to wake me up. So, I Perplexited (not a real word, yet) it:
Q: Have oner 100 lawsuits been filed by Republicans to lay the groundwork for fomenting chaos if Trump loses the election? Apparently that has happened, but it is being poorly reported by the MSM.A: It appears that Republicans and the Trump campaign have indeed filed a significant number of lawsuits related to the 2024 election, though the exact number is not explicitly stated as over 100. However, the information suggests an aggressive legal strategy aimed at challenging various aspects of the election process.Republican Legal Strategy: The Republican National Committee (RNC) and the Trump campaign have adopted a more aggressive pre-election legal strategy compared to 2020. This strategy includes: Implementing an "election integrity" program with 100,000 volunteers and attorneys in battleground states. Engaging in over 130 election lawsuits across 26 states, according to an RNC official.The lawsuits filed by Republicans cover various aspects of the election process: Challenging voter registration procedures, contesting rules for overseas voting, questioning the certification of voting machines, and attempting to restrict mail-in voting.
In conclusion, while the exact number of lawsuits is not confirmed to be over 100, the search results indicate a significant and coordinated legal effort by Republicans to challenge various aspects of the election process. This strategy appears to be more extensive and organized compared to 2020, potentially setting the stage for contesting the election results if the outcome is unfavorable to Trump.
I stand corrected. I was misinformed. A lot of lawsuits are flying right now. We can expect a heck of a lot more if DJT loses the election.
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Violence note: In my opinion, widespread violence is highly unlikely if DJT loses the election. But there could be scattered violence. But there is some indication (not paywalled) of some violence being plausible:
On Telegram, a Violent Preview of What May
Unfold on Election Day and After
Groups backing former President Donald J. Trump recently sent messages to organize poll watchers to be ready to dispute votes in Democratic areas. Some posted images of armed men standing up for their rights to recruit for their cause. Others spread conspiracy theories that anything less than a Trump victory on Tuesday would be a miscarriage of justice worthy of revolt.
“The day is fast approaching when fence sitting will no longer be possible,” read one post from an Ohio chapter of the Proud Boys, the far-right organization that was instrumental in the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol. “You will either stand with the resistance or take a knee and willingly accept the yoke of tyranny and oppression.”
A New York Times analysis of more than one million messages across nearly 50 Telegram channels with over 500,000 members found a sprawling and interconnected movement intended to question the credibility of the presidential election, interfere with the voting process and potentially dispute the outcome. Nearly every channel reviewed by The Times was created after the 2020 election, highlighting the growth and increased sophistication of the election denialism movement.
Geez, we have an election denialism movement bubbling up! What next, a vaccine denialism movement or a global warming denialism movement? Oh yeah, we already have those. Never mind.
Q: How many of those authoritarian blowhards are actually willing to get off the computer, load up their guns and stomp into the streets to shoot at whatever targets they pick? (IMO, very few, maybe several dozen)
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Dem vibes
Repub vibes
(more fearful than the Dems)
The election is uncertain, but it might not be close -- Close polls don’t tell the whole story. It’s not unlikely that if we see a typically sized polling error, one candidate — Donald Trump or Kamala Harris — could run away with the election
Some dark humor
You have to prioritize
the imminent threat --
Choose paint color or call fire dept?
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