Some Reasons to Vote Against Trump

I know, this is redundant. I just can't help myself. The excitement of the impending election is frying some of my brain circuits. (Strange, it smells like singed hair in here) 

Pro-Trumper: Why would anyone factor into their decision making process information that has not, and may not ever be proven when there is plenty of well documented and proven information upon which to base a conclusion? For that matter, why would you try to use unproven allegations to attempt to persuade others to your point of view when, again, there is plenty of evidence upon which to make that case?

Reality: There is not close to enough documented and proven information on which to base a conclusion that Trump is honest, competent, decent or moral. There is far more than enough well documented and proven information on which to base a conclusion that Trump is dishonest, incompetent, indecent, cruel and deeply immoral, arguably evil.

Pro-Trumper: With so much well documented misbehavior and willful misrepresentation by Trump, why harp on unproven allegations of tax evasion? That some voters are willing to tolerate Trump's actions and antics says a great deal about how much they oppose and fear what the left wing of the Democratic party would attempt were they to come to power. Trump at least professes to support issues and principles that are important to them, even as the Democrats threaten those same values.

Reality: It is reasonable to include unproven allegations of tax evasion in one's assessment of the president. Americans have to vote by Nov. 3 and Trump has successfully stonewalled all legitimate inquiries into his taxes so far. That delay was intentional and 100% his doing. He promised to show his tax returns but refused to so do, despite nothing holding him back from keeping his promise. No, people do not have to accept his lie about an audit preventing him from showing his returns. That audit applies only to a couple of years and even with the ongoing audit, that does not prevent him from showing his tax returns.

Based on evidence in the public record one can accord the chronic liar Trump no benefit of any doubt that he has been honest about his taxes or most anything else he says in his own defense. Why should anyone accord Trump one shred of credibility when he is a proven chronic liar? Do you trust chronic liars? Do you like being lied to? A constant stream of intentionally divisive and hateful lies from a sitting president is a deep betrayal of democracy.

His constant lies and deceit alone arguably amounts to impeachable behavior. But it isn't just the lies and deceit. There is the 4 or 5 incidents of obstruction of justice the Mueller report clearly laid out, which are also separately impeachable acts. And, there are other almost equally horrific behaviors in Trump's presidency that render him grossly unfit and/or not worthy of support.

Regarding democracy and lies and deceit, consider the quote by Sissela Bok in this discussion on the fundamental basis of democracy. It casts the immorality lies and deceit is a very clear light:

“[Johnson repeatedly told the American people] ‘the first responsibility, the only real issue in this campaign, the only thing you ought to be concerned about at all, is: Who can best keep the peace?’ The stratagem succeeded; the election was won; the war escalated. .... President Johnson thus denied the electorate of any chance to give or refuse consent to the escalation of the war in Vietnam. Believing they had voted for the candidate of peace, American citizens were, within months, deeply embroiled in one of the cruelest wars in their history. Deception of this kind strikes at the very essence of democratic government.” 

The courts have already held Trump's fake charity to be a criminal enterprise and shut it down, making Trump pay a penalty for his criminal acts of cheating on his taxes using his fake charity. Here is what the Attorney General of New York state said about the Trump charity:

“Not only has the Trump Foundation shut down for its misconduct, but the president has been forced to pay $2 million for misusing charitable funds for his own political gain. Charities are not a means to an end, which is why these damages speak to the president’s abuse of power and represent a victory for not-for-profits that follow the law. Funds have finally gone where they deserve — to eight credible charities. My office will continue to fight for accountability because no one is above the law — not a businessman, not a candidate for office, and not even the president of the United States.”

Some other rock solid reasons to oppose Trump or disbelieve the propaganda and lies he and his supporters use against the American people to confuse, disinform and divide them:

1. His rhetoric intentionally divides Americans and it needlessly sows hate, bigotry and distrust, including distrust in government, democracy and elections. That is anti-democratic authoritarianism.

2. He is attacking the legitimacy of the election with no evidence to support it. That is anti-democratic authoritarianism.

3. He wants the Department of Justice to indict and prosecute democrats he hates (Obama, Hillary, Biden) without evidence to support proper indictments. That is anti-democratic authoritarianism.

4. He supports massive voter suppression by the GOP in the name of non-existent massive vote fraud. That is anti-democratic authoritarianism.

5. He has been grossly incompetent in dealing with the pandemic but continues to (1) lie about how great a job he has done (and plenty of evidence shows he has been a failure), and (2) downplay the pandemic or take it seriously. That is gross incompetence and malicious mendacity that amounts to evil, not just mere deep immorality.

6. Trump supports and encourages right wing thugs, racists, fascists and white supremacists. That is anti-democratic authoritarianism and malicious evil.

7. The left wing of the dem party isn't fascist, authoritarian kleptocrat like Trump and the GOP now are. Trump and the GOP scare the dickens out of millions of Americans. The prospect of another 4 years of movement toward some sort of an intolerant demagogic Christian dictatorship-kleptocracy under Trump is terrifying to many people who oppose Trump.

8. The left wing of the dem party is not going to convert America to socialism because it doesn't have that power. (a) The GOP is not going to go away and it will bitterly fight tooth and claw to keep pushing America farther toward far right authoritarianism. (b) The center of the dem party and most independents are also not socialist. There is nothing to fear from them. (c) Powerful wealthy people and interests will bitterly fight tooth and claw to keep pushing America farther toward laissez-faire capitalism. Worries about socialism or socialist tyranny are reality-detached fantasies.

9. Any allegation that democrats seriously threaten one or more conservative values is false, radical right wing propaganda. Allegations of serious attacks on religious freedom from the same-sex marriage decision in 2015 are gross exaggerations. If one looks carefully at exactly what effects on religious practice and free speech there have been, one finds almost nothing. Business owners who discriminate against same-sex couples in commerce can be fined into bankruptcy in the 22 states that allow such lawsuits. However, that does not limit any right to private religious belief or practice. The other states allow business owners to discriminate against same-sex couples, thus infringing on their rights in commerce. This persecution of conservatives fantasy narrative is based on decades of radical right propaganda that foments grossly exaggerated persecuted whites and persecuted Christian myths. There are no truly serious threats to any conservative value. 

10. Trump's claim to an economic miracle is based on underlying flaws in the miracle narrative. The claim is a mirage. The 2017 GOP tax cut law (i) transferred over 80% of the benefits to wealthy businesses and people, including golf course owners, and (ii) added about $1 trillion/year to federal debt, while (iii) generating GDA growth similar to growth under Obama, e.g., 2.3% in 2019 and 2.9% in 2018. Trump promised higher growth rates than that but he did not deliver, despite massive cost to the US treasury. The first two quarters of 2020 were economic disasters due largely to Trump's grossly incompetent, failed pandemic response.

11. Trump has eviscerated the Department of Justice and the FBI. Federal investigations of Trump's activities, and the activities of others, have been quashed and swept under the rug as much as possible, e.g., the prosecution of the crook and traitor Michael Flynn. Trump continues to operate with massive conflicts of interest from his ongoing commercial business operations.  

Barr still withholds the full Mueller report 

from both congress and the American people -- 

each day without that report being released is another 

insult and another lie to the American people

12. Trump has publicly stated that he admires dictators and their power. He has stated that he wants to have dictator power for life. His actions are in fully accord with all of that. For example, he and his enablers are undermining the 2020 election as much as they possibly can, despite no evidence or rational basis other than a desire to be dictator for life. Some people saw this vicious trait right from the get go, e.g., Russia observer Masha Gessen wrote this a couple of days after the 2016 election: 

“Thank you, my friends. Thank you. Thank you. We have lost. We have lost, and this is the last day of my political career, so I will say what must be said. We are standing at the edge of the abyss. Our political system, our society, our country itself are in greater danger than at any time in the last century and a half. The president-elect has made his intentions clear, and it would be immoral to pretend otherwise. We must band together right now to defend the laws, the institutions, and the ideals on which our country is based.” 

That, or something like that, is what Hillary Clinton should have said on Wednesday [in her concession speech to Trump].

13. What else is there? There has to be more than just this. Oh yeah, 26 women have publicly accused Trump of sexually assaulting them. That's a lot. Trump has made well over 20,000 false or misleading statements to the public. That's a lot. (At least most of his supporters no longer claim that Trump never lies to the pubic) Trump's leaked tax returns show (i) he lied about his business successes, (ii) he lied about his sources of income, (iii) he is in serious debt, making him a national security threat, and (iv) he is probably a felon tax cheat. Also he is a serial business failure, deep in debt, a grifter and a draft dodger who used fake bone spurs to avoid being a loser and a sucker.

What a guy. A real stud for sure.

The lesson seems pretty clear: Vote for Biden or don't complain if Trump stays in power for another four years.

Website offers chance to 'live under a rock' during election week

Oct. 8 (UPI) -- An accommodation-booking website is offering weary voters an escape from "election stress disorder" with the opportunity to "live under a rock" for the week of the election.

Hotels.com said the Nov. 2-7 stay in a man-made cave 50 feet below ground in New Mexico will be available to book on its website on a first-come, first-served basis at 9 a.m. Friday.

The website said the opportunity is perfect for "those who are experiencing election stress disorder (this is a real thing!)."

The five-night stay costs an "Abraham Lincoln-inspired" $5 per night.

"After you've cast your ballot, you can check out of the newsfeed negativity and check in to a man-made cave built 50 feet below ground," the website said.

Hotels.com said it will also be offering a 20 percent discount on selected properties with "rock" in the name using the coupon code "UnderARock" starting Friday morning.

"Political fatigue is real regardless of the year or election," said Josh Belkin, vice president of Hotels.com.

"We're transforming an age-old idiom into a bookable experience, so individuals can relax, recharge, and recover... because who knows what else 2020 has in store for us."

https://www.upi.com/Odd_News/2020/10/08/Website-offers-chance-to-live-under-a-rock-during-election-week/8211602170666/

 

Climate Science Denial: The Motte-and-Bailey Logic Fallacy

The motte is the structure on the high ground and the bailey is 

below and inside the fenced area:

the bailey is easier to attack than the motte

(10th century technology)

Wikipedia: The motte-and-bailey fallacy (named after the motte-and-bailey castle) is a form of argument and an informal fallacy where an arguer conflates two positions which share similarities, one modest and easy to defend (the "motte") and one much more controversial (the "bailey").[1] The arguer advances the controversial position, but when challenged, they insist that they are only advancing the more modest position.[2][3] Upon retreating to the motte, the arguer can claim that the bailey has not been refuted (because the critic refused to attack the motte)[1] or that the critic is unreasonable (by equating an attack on the bailey with an attack on the motte).

Employing logic fallacies to deceive, distract, disinform and so forth is a common tactic among purveyors of dark free speech or epistemic terrorism. In the vice presidential debate, Mike Pence used the motte-and-bailey fallacy to deceive and confuse people about climate change. At the Neurologica blog, Steve Novella explains it nicely:

“Pence represented the typical denial strategy. He started by saying that the climate is changing, we just don’t know why or what to do about it. This is the motte and bailey fallacy in action – pull back from the position that is untenable to defend an easier position, but don’t completely surrender the outer position. Pence was not about to deny that global warming is happening at all in that forum because he would be too easily eviscerated, so he just tried to muddy the waters on what may seem like an easier point.

But of course, he is completely wrong on both counts. We do know what is causing climate change, it is industrial release of CO2 and other greenhouse gases. At least there is a strong consensus of scientists who are 95% confident or more this is the major driver, and there is no tenable competing theory. That is what a scientific fact looks like. We also know what to do about it – decrease global emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases. And we know how to do that – change our energy infrastructure to contain more carbon neutral sources with the goal of decarbonizing energy. Change our transportation industry as much as possible over to electric (or perhaps hydrogen) vehicles. Advance other industrial processes that release significant amounts of CO2. And look for ways to improve energy efficiency and sequester carbon efficiently. It’s not like there aren’t actual detailed published plans for exactly what to do about it.

Pence, however, will rush from his perceived motte into the bailey of total denial when he feels he has an opening. So he also said that the “climate change alarmists” are warning about hurricanes, but we are having the same number of hurricanes today as we did 100 years ago. This is not literally true (there were six hurricanes so far this year in the North Atlantic, and four in 1920), and it looks from the graph like there is a small uptick, but let’s say it’s true enough that statistically there isn’t a significant change in the number of hurricanes. This is called lying with facts – give a fact out of context that creates a deliberately false impression. In this case the false impression is also a straw man, because climate scientists don’t claim that global warming increases the number of hurricanes. They claim (their models predict) that warming increases the power and negative effects from the hurricanes that do occur.

Pence next tried to take credit for dropping CO2 release from the US, as if this is tied to pulling out of the Paris Accord. It is true that CO2 emissions are decreasing, but this is a trend that has been fairly linear since 2005. Between 2005 and 2018 US CO2 emissions dropped 12%. This is largely due to shifting energy production to less CO2 producing methods, including rising renewables. But also, I will acknowledge, this is partly due to a shift from coal to natural gas. There has been a huge drop in coal as a percentage of US energy. Pence selectively used this fact to defend natural gas, glossing over the fact that this is a greater knock against coal, which he does not want to criticize.

Admittedly a live debate is not the place to get into all these details, but pretty much everything Pence said on the climate was misleading and tracked with fossil fuel industry talking points rather than the scientific consensus.”

A couple of things merit comment. 

First, Trump, Pence and the GOP generally have been ruthlessly using logic flaws, lies and deceptive rhetoric for decades to confuse people and sow doubt in the face of contrary climate science evidence they cannot refute using either evidence (facts) or sound reasoning (~logic). Since they do that with climate science, it seems reasonable to believe that they would do that for all other things they dislike or want to deny, science-related or not.

Second, special interests with threatened economic interests have been doing the same thing for decades. 

Third, conservative politicians and special interests who distort or deny realities based on science or anything else are deeply immoral in their unwarranted distortions and denials. In this regard, they are moral cowards.

Politics and Birth Control: What You Need to Know

 Dear Cornelia,

Can you please explain to me what’s going on in the news? Is President Trump going to limit my access to birth control? Do I need to stock up before the election? 

-Politically Pressed

Hello My Dear Politically Pressed,

Right now may feel like a scene right out of The Handmaid’s Tale. So much is out of our control! Let me start by clearing things up for you, which I hope will ease your mind.

First of all, Trump himself cannot “limit your access to birth control.” Right now, insurance companies are required to pay for contraceptives under the Affordable Care Act (also known as Obamacare or ACA). The Affordable Care Act also allows you to stay on your parent’s insurance plan until age 26 and get free mammograms, among many other things.

Right now the Affordable Care Act is under pressure, which means your access to birth control may be under pressure. But not from Trump. The future of the Affordable Care Act lies in the hands of the Supreme Court. In fact, the Supreme Court is scheduled to hear arguments on the ACA exactly one (!) week after the election. However, the results will likely not be announced until the spring of 2021— the end of the Supreme Court’s session. Let me say that again: The status of your insurance-covered contraceptives will not change until this spring at the earliest. And no guarantee. T-God! So no, you do not need to “stock-up” on birth control. In fact, I’m not even sure that’s legal.

Now, as you know, with the tragic passing of Cornell’s very own Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg ’54, Trump will likely replace her seat in the court with conservative Amy Coney Barrett. It’s still up in the air whether or not Barrett could hear arguments on the ACA this November. But things are looking promising for Amy Coney Barrett, and not so promising for the Affordable Care Act.

Let’s just say hypothetically the Affordable Care Act is struck down. What will happen? If the ACA contraceptive coverage is changed or eliminated, the requirement for the coverage of contraceptives will fall onto the states. Unfortunately, only 28 states require insurance plans to cover contraceptives. Another issue: only 59 percent of workers are covered by state-regulated plans. The other  61 percent are insured by private plans, and the law will no longer require private plans to cover contractive costs. It is likely that without the ACA, millions of women will lose birth-control coverage.

To answer your question, your access to birth control will depend on what happens in the Supreme Court. Then, it depends on what state you live in and what your plan looks like.

The grim reality is that next spring, contraceptive coverage is likely to look much different. But it won’t go away completely. Look for insurance plans that include contraceptive coverage. Ask your employer. Don’t fret: There are other options for birth control. Planned Parenthood here in Ithaca can provide birth control options for next to nothing.

The best way to protect your access to birth control is to vote. The representatives we elect this fall will either be involved in defining the ACA or building new legislation to replace it. Let’s make sure our leaders know what we want.

Cheers,

Cornelia

https://cornellsun.com/2020/10/01/sex-on-thursday-politics-and-birth-control-what-you-need-to-know//

When is yours?

When do you do your “best” (as in clearest, most logical, most creative, most productive, etc.) thinking?  Do you even have a/some “peak performance” situation?   

Is it maybe:

• Upon waking up in the morning
• In the dark of the night, when you can’t sleep
• That time right before going to sleep
  
• When experiencing daydreams
• When under a lot of pressure (more chaotic situations)
• When under the influence of mind-altering drugs or alchol 
• Listening to your favorite music
• Reading a good book
• When you are able to separate your emotions/feelings from your thinking
• When you are angry
• Out in nature
• Sitting on the crapper (hey, who am I to question that? 😱)
• I’m always at peak performance... the “consummate thinker”
• I've never even noticed or thought about the concept of "clear thinking"
  
• Other (mix and match your personal specs)

So, give us the perfect scenario for your best thinking.

And thanks for recommending.

Trump’s Growing Rage at Political Opposition

Our enraged president is losing whatever control he had of his emotions and limited capacity to reason coherently. He is now calling for indictment of his political rivals. This may be related to his intolerance of restrictions his coronavirus infection has imposed on him. NPR is reporting that the president’s doctor has given him a clean bill of health to operate normally starting tomorrow despite no public transparency about his real clinical status. Presumably, the president ordered his doctor to do this. Previously, his doctors stated that they wanted him to remain out of the public at least until next Monday.

Calls for indictment of political rivals is more evidence of the president’s deadly serious, inherent anti-democratic authoritarianism and utter contempt for the rule of law. The New York Times writes:

“President Trump berated his own cabinet officers on Thursday for not prosecuting or implicating his political enemies, lashing out even as he announced that he hoped to return to the campaign trail on Saturday just nine days after he tested positive for the coronavirus.

In his first extended public comments since learning he had the virus last week, Mr. Trump went on the offensive not only against his challenger, former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., but the Democratic running mate, Senator Kamala Harris, whom he called “a monster” and a “communist.” He balked at participating in his debate next Thursday with Mr. Biden if held remotely as the organizers decided to do out of health concerns.

But Mr. Trump secured a statement from the White House physician clearing him to return to public activities on Saturday and then promptly said he would try to hold a campaign rally in Florida that day, two days earlier than the doctor had originally said was needed to determine whether he was truly out of danger. The president again dismissed the virus, saying, “when you catch it, you get better,” ignoring the more than 212,000 people in the United States who did not get better and died from it. 

The president castigated his own team, declaring that Attorney General William P. Barr would go down in history “as a very sad, sad situation” if he did not indict Democrats like Mr. Biden and former President Barack Obama. He complained that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo had not released Hillary Clinton’s emails, saying, “I’m not happy about him for that reason.” And he targeted Christopher A. Wray, the F.B.I. director. “He’s been disappointing,” Mr. Trump said. 

‘Unless Bill Barr indicts these people for crimes, the greatest political crime in the history of our country, then we’re going to get little satisfaction unless I win and we’ll just have to go, because I won’t forget it,’ Mr. Trump said, referring to the investigation into his 2016 campaign ties with Russia. ‘But these people should be indicted. This was the greatest political crime in the history of our country, and that includes Obama and it includes Biden.’  

Ms. Pelosi said she planned to introduce legislation on Friday creating a commission on presidential capacity to review the health of a commander in chief under provisions of the 25th Amendment providing for the temporary transfer of power to the vice president in case of inability to discharge the duties of the office. “Crazy Nancy is the one who should be under observation,” Mr. Trump replied on Twitter.  

‘I felt pretty lousy,’ Mr. Trump said. But, he added, ‘I’m back because I’m a perfect physical specimen and I’m extremely young.’ He once again played down the severity of the disease. ‘Now what happens is you get better,’ he said. ‘That’s what happens, you get better.’”

At this point in his mental deterioration, our delusional president is not even pretending to operate in accord with the rule of law. Also, his mentally unsound state of mind cannot be denied any longer. If sufficient evidence showed that Obama, Clinton or Biden had committed crimes, they would have been indicted already by the hyper-partisan Department of Justice. In recent years, there have been many partisan investigations to destroy prominent democrats. All have failed to indict anyone so far.

This is another example of the president’s deranged, fake reality-based world view. Just like there is no evidence of massive voter fraud, there is insufficient evidence to issue indictments of the democrats the president wants thrown in prison. Neither massive vote fraud nor the alleged democratic criminal activity exists. Our obviously mentally ill president is grossly unfit to be in office. He needs to be removed from office right now. That GOP members of congress condone this by their silence indicates that they too are grossly unfit to be in office. 

The monster here isn’t Kamala Harris and Pelosi isn’t crazy. The crazy monster sits in the White House. Sadly, that obviously sick, disrespectful, enraged beast is aided and abetted by a corrupt, incompetent tribal GOP leadership.