Etiquette



DP Etiquette

First rule: Don't be a jackass.

Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.

Wednesday, January 17, 2024

News bits: Various items

From the Oops, Unintended Consequences Files: China Told Women to Have Babies, but Its Population Shrank Again -- The number of babies born in China declined for the seventh straight year in 2023.


Playing with Pugsley on the 
Liangma River in Beijing

Where’s all the babies?: Can China Reverse Its Population Decline? Just Ask Sweden.
Wealthy countries have been trying to boost their birthrates for decades. The results have been pretty similar. History suggests that once a country crosses the threshold of negative population growth, there is little that its government can do to reverse it. And as a country’s population grows more top-heavy, a smaller, younger generation bears the increasing costs of caring for a larger, older one.


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A note about the USSC case that could gut federal agencies: Maybe the reason the USSC took up a nearly identical case to go with the first one was to get Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson back on the decision. She recused herself from the first case, Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo because she was an appeals court judge of that case. So, five months after she recused herself, in an extraordinary move the USSC accepted a second, nearly identical case Relentless Inc. v. Department of Commerce that Jackson Brown is not conflicted out of. The most likely reason for taking that 2nd case was to get all 9 justices on the decision. 

I interpret that to mean that, to make the political optics look as good as possible, the six radical authoritarian Republicans want Brown Jackson on the decision because they plan to gut federal agency power. Doing that will shift massive power from government to morally rotted, deeply corrupt, elite brass knuckles capitalist plutocrats. This step by the radical USSC would mark a major step in the dismantling of protections for American democracy, the rule of law, and indirectly most of our remaining civil liberties. The NYT comments:
The fishermen are represented by two conservative groups, Cause of Action Institute and the New Civil Liberties Alliance. Both have financial ties to the network of foundations and advocacy organizations funded by Charles Koch, a billionaire who has long supported conservative and libertarian causes.
As usual for the MSM, the NYT continues to fail to understand the nature of the American  radical right authoritarian wealth and power movement. It is not conservative. It is staunchly authoritarian, anti-democracy, anti-transparency and morally rotted. It is all about transferring a lot more power and wealth to those who already have vast power and wealth.

When power flows from government to special interests, elite plutocrats in this instance, civil liberties inevitably come under pressure. One must keep track of the flow of power. Power doesn’t just go away. It tends to flow to where existing wealth and power already are.

This reporting well and truly scares the bejesus out of me. With some luck, I misread the tea leaves. But I just can’t envision any other highly plausible reason for the USSC to take up that 2nd case. Now I’m deeply worried.
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From the Brass Knuckles Capitalism Files: Research shows drug prices in the United States are nearly double those in other well-off countries. The NYT comments:
In 2018, they were nearly double those in France and Britain, even when accounting for the discounts that can substantially reduce how much American health plans and employers pay.

“The U.S. market is the bank for pharmaceutical companies,” said Ameet Sarpatwari, an expert in pharmaceutical policy at Harvard Medical School. “There’s a keen sense that the best place to try to extract profits is the U.S. because of its existing system and its dysfunction.”
The NYT points to six factors unique to the US: (i) the absence of governments negotiating drug prices, (ii) no price control laws, (iii) incentives that reward doctors, hospitals and middle men to all make more from higher drug prices, (iv) a fragmented and complex system that adds cost but delivers little or nothing in return, (v) companies game the patent  system, and (vi) the core brass knuckles capitalist moral imperative of charging what the market will bear (which is defined by the drug companies, not defined in terms of adverse impacts on people who cannot afford what drug companies say they can afford -- it is capitalism-centric, not consumer-centric).

It is no wonder at all that the American people are being fleeced horribly in the name of sacred, infallible unregulated brass knuckles capitalism. 
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From the Clueless Blowhards & Arrogant Hypocrites Files: The Hill writes: Pope Francis urges avoiding pornography, ‘winning the battle against lust’ -- Pope Francis on Wednesday encouraged Catholics to avoid pornography, while noting sexual pleasure “is a gift from God.” Pornography undermines sexual pleasure and such “satisfaction without relationship” can lead to forms of addiction, the pontiff argued during a catechesis on the “vice of lust” at his general audience in Saint Peter’s Square on Wednesday.

If porn has some effect to reduce unwanted babies, that is good. The Pope (1) needs to deal with wanton lust and rape in his own morally rotted institution, and (2) support all those hundreds of millions of babies born into hopeless poverty that his hypocrite church commands and encourages poor people to have.  

In my opinion, the arrogance, hypocrisy, self-delusion and sheer lunacy about social issues that comes from Catholic popes is staggering.

This one is for you Francis

Tuesday, January 16, 2024

Trump stuff; Billionaires wait for huge USSC decision

One source summarized it like thisFlorida Man Facing 91 Criminal Counts Wins Iowa Caucuses

But it wasn't a big blowout for the IFM (indicted Florida man), which is rather good news.


Another source commentedTrump poised to win 98 out of 99 Iowa counties

The AP commentedIn his closing pitch to Iowa Republicans, Trump says their votes can help him punish his enemies

Germaine’s learned analysis: The GOP is what it is, pro-corrupt dictatorship, and what it is really sucks.
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Lots of sources are reporting that tomorrow, America's authoritarian radical right USSC will hear arguments in two related cases brought by fishermen unhappy about fishing quotas the federal government imposed to keep fish stocks from collapsing due to overfishing. The cases are Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo, and Relentless v. Department of Commerce

What this is really about is gutting the power of essentially all federal agencies to make and enforce regulations. Billionaires and elite brass knuckles capitalists desperately want this case to be a win for the fishermen. That would be a gigantic win for regulation-free power and the access to more wealth that power brings to the elites. 

A Potentially Huge Supreme Court Case Has a Hidden Conservative Backer

The case, to be argued by lawyers linked to the petrochemicals billionaire Charles Koch, could sharply curtail the government’s regulatory authority

The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on Wednesday that, on paper, are about a group of commercial fishermen who oppose a government fee that they consider unreasonable. But the lawyers who have helped to propel their case to the nation’s highest court have a far more powerful backer: the petrochemicals billionaire Charles Koch.

The case is one of the most consequential to come before the justices in years. A victory for the fishermen would do far more than push aside the monitoring fee, part of a system meant to prevent overfishing, that they objected to. It would very likely sharply limit the power of many federal agencies to regulate not only fisheries and the environment, but also health care, finance, telecommunications and other activities, legal experts say.

“It might all sound very innocuous,” said Jody Freeman, founder and director of the Harvard Law School Environmental and Energy Law Program and a former Obama White House official. “But it’s connected to a much larger agenda, which is essentially to disable and dismantle federal regulation.”

The lawyers who represent the New Jersey-based fishermen, are working pro bono and belong to a public-interest law firm, Cause of Action, that discloses no donors and reports having no employees. However, court records show that the lawyers work for Americans for Prosperity, a group funded by Mr. Koch, the chairman of Koch Industries and a champion of anti-regulatory causes.  
The law firm’s board of directors includes a top lawyer at the firm that has represented Koch Industries in a range of cases, like the company’s past defense against lawsuits linked to its handling of petroleum coke, a byproduct of oil refining, and in its opposition to stronger regulations on the substance.

The lawyer also represents Koch Industries in an ongoing lawsuit filed by the Minnesota attorney general that accuses the company of deceptive practices related to climate change.
As usual, corrupt billionaires and big corporations operate in as much secrecy as they can to hide their clearly authoritarian, government-hating wealth and power agenda. The capitalists (like Christian theocrats) want and mostly seem to get effective plausible deniability for the criticism they are corrupt plutocrats (or theocrats) with no social conscience. 

A decision in these two cases could easily gut the much of the power of federal agencies, which are already vehemently hated by the authoritarian radical right Republican Party (ARRRP). In essence, this case could wind up killing the mythical “socialist deep state”, causing a massive flow of power from citizens and the government to elite radical authoritarian plutocrats and Christian theocrats.

So even if DJT does not win the White House in the 2024 elections, the anti-democratic ARRRP monster has a life and vitality of its own. As I have warned many times here, the radicalized, authoritarian USSC is a major part of the radical right’s democracy-hating monster and it operated independently from the corrupt dictator DJT. In the end, one will probably eat the other. Right now, I don’t know which beast will eat and which will be eaten.



TIME TO PANIC!

 NO! NOT because Trump won the Iowa caucus. THAT was expected. BUT because of............

Germany is preparing for Putin attack against NATO in 2025: Leaked secret plans reveal step-by-step how Russia will escalate conflict to all-out war in 18 months

Germany is preparing for Vladimir Putin's forces to attack NATO in 2025, according to leaked secret plans. 

Secret documents from the German Ministry of Defence reveal a step-by-step doomsday guide on how Russia will escalate the conflict in Ukraine to an all-out war in just 18 months.

The leaked plans, published by German newspaper Bild, reveal in detail the path to a Third World War with Putin using Belarus as a launching pad for an invasion - as he did in February 2022 for his war in Ukraine. 




Whatchathink?

Either a .............



OR..................


Monday, January 15, 2024

US Grant's prescient 1875 speech


The American Presidency Project has Grant's 1875 speech in Des Moines, Iowa. It strongly resonates today.
September 29, 1875

COMRADES:—It always affords me much gratification to meet my old comrades-in-arms of ten to fourteen years ago, and to live over again the trials and hardships of those days, hardships imposed for the preservation and perpetuation of our free institutions. We believed then, and believe now, that we had a government worth fighting for, and if need be, dying for.

I do not bring into this assemblage politics, certainly not partisan politics, but it is a fair subject for soldiers in their deliberations to consider what may be necessary to secure the prize for which they battled in a republic like ours. Where the citizen is sovereign and the official the servant, where no power is exercised except by the will of the people, it is important that the sovereign — the people — should possess intelligence.
The free school is the promoter of that intelligence which is to preserve us as a free nation. If we are to have another contest in the near future of our national existence, I predict that the dividing line will not be Mason and Dixon's, but between patriotism and intelligence on the one side, and superstition, ambition, and ignorance on the other.

Now in this centennial year of our national existence, I believe it a good time to begin the work of strengthening the foundation of the house commenced by our patriotic forefathers one hundred years ago, at Concord and Lexington. Let us all labor to add all needful guarantees for the more perfect security of free thought, free speech, and free press, pure morals, unfettered religious sentiments, and of equal rights and privileges to all men, irrespective of nationality, color, or religion.

Encourage free schools, and resolve that not one dollar of money appropriated to their support, no matter how raised, shall be appropriated to the support of any sectarian school. Resolve that the State or Nation, or both combined, shall furnish to every child growing up in the land, the means of acquiring a good common-school education, unmixed with sectarian, pagan, or atheistic tenets. Leave the matter of religion to the family altar, the church, and the private school supported entirely by private contributions. Keep the church and state forever separate. With these safeguards, I believe the battles which created the Army of the Tennessee will not have been fought in vain.

AI impact on jobs; Billionaires' shameless hypocrisy; Trump stuff

The BBC reports that an IMF analysis indicates AI will have a major impact on jobs:
AI to hit 40% of jobs and worsen inequality, IMF says

Artificial intelligence is set to affect nearly 40% of all jobs, according to a new analysis by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

IMF's managing director Kristalina Georgieva says "in most scenarios, AI will likely worsen overall inequality".

Ms Georgieva adds that policymakers should address the "troubling trend" to "prevent the technology from further stoking social tensions". 
The IMF projects that the technology will affect just 26% of jobs in low-income countries. .... Ms Georgieva said "many of these countries don't have the infrastructure or skilled workforces to harness the benefits of AI, raising the risk that over time the technology could worsen inequality among nations".
Given American political dysfunction and authoritarian radical right ideology dead set against government trying to do anything about problems that any society faces in any country, we can expect little to no domestic or international movement on this developing matter. 

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One outspoken critic of former Harvard president Claudine Gay was billionaire hedge fund manager Bill Ackman. Ackman ripped Gay for alleged plagiarism that was found in her PhD dissertation thesis (and for her inadequate response to questions about anti-Semitism at Harvard before a congressional committee). Gay failed to cite the source of several passages in her thesis. 

Ackman’s outspokenness drew some attention to him, and then his wife Neri Oxman. Business Insider (BI) published allegations that Oxman had plagiarised parts of her PhD dissertation. The WaPo commented on the kerfuffle:
Early this month, Business Insider published two stories that alleged that Neri Oxman, a former MIT professor, had plagiarized some of her work, such as by taking information from Wikipedia articles to write her dissertation. The stories came after her husband, the hedge fund manager Ackman, pushed Harvard University to oust then-President Claudine Gay over concerns that she had mishandled student protests and committed plagiarism in her career. Gay resigned on Jan. 2.
Ackman flew into a snit but, unlike the way other billionaires express their displeasure about inconvenient reporting, he publicly said what he did to try to force BI to retract the stories about his wife’s plagiarism. Axios reported:
Bill Ackman, a hard-charging hedge fund manager, is typical in terms of how he behaves about publication of stories they don’t like. Where he’s not typical is in his willingness to be open about what he did:

When the "Neri Oxman admits to plagiarism story" broke, I reached out to a board member I knew at BI, and to its controlling shareholders, the co-ceos of KKR, and to Mathias Döpfner, the Chairman and CEO of [parent company] Axel Springer. I assumed that with a call or two, I would be able to convince BI or AS to suspend the stories.

BI is Business Insider, a publication that reported accurately that Ackman’s wife, Neri Oxman (an Israeli), admitted to instances of plagiarism in her doctoral dissertation (she failed to put quote marks around several copied passages). KKR is a major shareholder in Axel Springer (AS), which owns BI. Ackman’s assumption was that because Springer owns BI, he could bully them into taking down the story, overriding BI’s editor-in-chief. Oxman’s mea culpa:

Oops, forgot the quote marks,
my bad

Reality check: While it’s true that hedge fund managers often find it easier to talk to CEOs than to editors, it’s incredibly rare for a CEO to override an editor.

Tom Glocer, a former CEO of Thomson Reuters, tells Axios that “I was contacted multiple times (by disgruntled hedge fund managers in particular) when Reuters wrote something less than the adoring hagiography they sought.”

“My standard playbook was to refer the complaint directly to the editor in chief, to let the EIC call the complainant directly, and to remind that person of our separation of church and state.”

The bottom line: Ackman was not being realistic in his assumptions. But he had something of a tailwind because he's Jewish; he was accusing BI of anti-Semitism; and Springer is strongly and explicitly pro-Israel.
Arrogant billionaires like Ackman are the ones often calling the shots about all kinds of things. They buy congress and candidates who will serve them, usually at our expense. Hypocrisy does not faze them any more than corruption does. Getting their way and telling their version of often fake reality is what they expect, demand and often get. Axios implicitly posits billionaire influence on reporting as it being incredibly rare for a CEO to override an editor.

I’m not sure it is incredibly rare for billionaires to influence reporting. Look at Faux News and the rest of the authoritarian radical right propaganda and slanders Leviathan. I suspect elite influence on reporting happens quote a lot. Maybe EICs don’t see a lot of elite complaints because elite political and economic pressure can be exerted in many ways. Maybe the rule is billionaires influence reporting more often than they don’t.
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As commented on here yesterday, various sources are reporting about DJT lying to the court: 
Trump called a judge a 'bad person' for not allowing him to travel for a funeral. His calendar says he’s got a campaign event that day. .... Donald Trump requested the trial date for E. Jean Carroll's defamation trial be postponed. He said he would be traveling on Wednesday to attend his mother-in-law’s funeral. His campaign website shows he’ll be in New Hampshire at a campaign rally that evening.

Bad judge, bad, bad judge! That’ll teach that judge a thing or two. /s

But who knows, maybe DJT will blow the court off and go to the funeral to prove he wasn’t lying about planning to attend. But even if he did that, it’s still not believable as anything other than a forced change in his political theater agenda. The controlling rule of thumb:

Known chronic liars don’t get any credibility or benefit of any doubt.


Vote for DJT damnit, even if it kills you: The Hill reports on DJT’s inspiring call to arms in Iowa today:
Former President Trump encouraged his Iowa supporters to caucus for him at any cost, joking that due to extreme winter weather, “even if you vote and then pass away, it’s worth it.”

Meteorologists warned of “life-threatening” conditions in Iowa for the weekend as the state prepares to caucus. Trump canceled three of his four in-person Iowa events Sunday due to the freezing cold and snow.  
“You can’t sit home. If you’re sick as a dog, you say, ‘Darling, I gotta make it,’” Trump said at an Indianola rally on Sunday. “Even if you vote and then pass away, it’s worth it, remember.”
That speaks for itself. And, he wasn't joking. Remember the rule of thumb stated above.
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MLK Was An Inferior Pastor And ‘Communist,’ 
Said Top GOP Candidate For N.C. Governor

In unearthed Facebook posts, Mark Robinson also called the civil rights movement “crap” and vowed to work on MLK Day because he’s “not a leach.
Martin Luther King Jr. was just an “ersatz pastor” and a “communist,” and the 1960s civil rights movement was “crap,” according to a series of Facebook posts by Mark Robinson, the leading Republican candidate to be North Carolina’s next governor.

Robinson, who is currently the state’s lieutenant governor, regularly criticized King and the civil rights movement for years on Facebook ― specifically on MLK Day ― HuffPost found amid a review of his posts. The Black politician also downplayed slavery, rejected the idea that he’s part of the African American community, and attacked the late congressman and civil rights icon, John Lewis.
There we have it civil liberties fans. At least some elite authoritarian, radical right GOP leaches think that civil rights are crap and working on MLK Day prevents one from being a leach. What a bunch of feisty, slandering parasite hypocrites.

Sunday, January 14, 2024

A new front in American religious wars?; Trump stuff

The Freedom From Religion Foundation raises the specter of a form of potential religious war in the US. What triggered it is the usually successful efforts of TST (The Satanic Temple) to try to match the presence of Christianity on government properties. TST is a legal religion, but it is secular and does not worship Satan as a religious deity. The presence of TST in public places infuriates many Christian zealots who deny that TST can or should be a religion. The FFRF writes:
FFRF Action Fund is taking to task Michigan state Rep. Josh Schriver for his comments asking for the removal of tax-exempt status of churches he disfavors.

In a recent appearance on a conservative Christian podcast, “Your Defending Fathers,” Schriver announced he was working on a policy to establish a legal distinction between Christian churches and what he referred to as the “Church of Satan,” actually the Satanic Temple – West Michigan, which erected a holiday display outside the Michigan Capitol in December. The display, intended to “celebrate the year and celebrate our own achievements and celebrate religious plurality,” according to a spokesperson for the temple, was met with predictable outrage by seven state representatives, who signed a letter to the Michigan Capitol Commission demanding its removal.

Schriver said his proposed policy would “really focus on making a distinction between the church — the church of Jesus Christ — and this, quote unquote Church of Satan. …You really have an issue where they’re seen as equal in the eyes of the state, and that doesn’t seem right to me for many, many legitimate reasons.”  
Schriver shows abysmal ignorance of the constitutional prohibition of a religious test for public office by saying, “We have a duty to lead people as representatives who are appointed by God to make sure that we have a state that is not just good, not just great, but godly.” He also displays arrogance in grandiosely parading himself as answering only to “Jesus Christ”: “Honestly, I work for God not for man. And so at the end of the day, I answer to one person and that’s Jesus Christ.” 
“In fact, Schriver’s paycheck is provided by the good people of Michigan, so he works for them, and his duty is to uphold his oath of office to ‘support the Constitution of the United States and the constitution of this state,’” notes FFRF Action Fund President Annie Laurie Gaylor. “The U.S. Constitution is a godless document, whose only references to religion are exclusionary.”
Once Christians legislate the power for themselves to decide what is a “valid” church and what isn’t, there will be great temptation to do more housecleaning. Once the TST is gone, Christian zealots will not be able to resist the temptation to put other invalid religions in their place. Islam, Scientology, Judaism, Hinduism and Mormonism come to mind as early potential wipeout targets. 

Also note that Mr. Shriver cites many, many legitimate reasons for wanting to do this. I suspect he cannot cite many, much less many, many reasons for killing TST as a legal religion.

Time will tell how this plays out. Catholic vs Protestant? 
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DJT is asking for a delay in his defamation trial by E. Jean Carroll against him. Some distant relative died and Trump wants to reschedule a court proceeding to attend the trial. As usual, DJT is lying through his teeth to the court. This letter to the judge from Carroll’s attorney calls out Trump’s insulting lie:


One peanut gallery commenter snarked: Hilarious, of course he did this. Question is, will he blow off his dear mother-in-laws funeral?

The Hill reports about an interesting poll: 56 percent in new poll willing to see Trump disqualified from ballots in all or some states -- A majority of Americans in a new survey say they would support the Supreme Court either disqualifying former President Trump from presidential ballots across the country or letting states decide whether to include him on their ballots.

The Hill reports about another poll with two pleasant surprises surprise in it: 
Just under half of likely Iowa GOP caucusgoers who support former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley indicated that they would make a crossover to the Democratic party, saying that they would rather vote for President Biden over former President Trump.

A new NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll released just one day before the Iowa caucus found that 43 percent of Haley backers in the state said they would vote for Biden if Trump is the GOP nominee while 23 percent say they would vote for the former president. Nineteen percent said they would vote for Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.
Given his crackpottery, I suspected that RFK Jr would probably draw more votes from DJT than Biden. This data accords with that possibility at least in Iowa. Bigger surprise is that 43% of Haley backers would vote for Biden. I didn’t expect that.