Etiquette



DP Etiquette

First rule: Don't be a jackass.

Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

ChatGPT 4o Answers My Most Burning Questions

 

What percentage of humanity lives under oppressive LGBT laws?

What percentage of Christians live under oppressive LGBT laws?

What percentage of Muslims live under oppressive LGBT laws?


Here is what I asked chat GPT 4o:

Access the data of these two reports:


(https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2012/12/18/global-religious-landscape-christians

(https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2012/12/18/global-religious-landscape-muslim/) 


Access your list of countries that criminalize homosexuality or homosexual acts. Doing this analysis, what percent of all Christians globally live in a country with punitive LGBT laws? What percent of all Muslims globally live in a country with punitive LGBT laws? What percent of all humanity globally live in a country with punitive LGBT laws? Be methodical. Be sure to count Muslims in countries that aren’t Muslim majority and Christians in countries that aren’t Christian majority. Make sure to count all countries, every single one. Be sure to use population figures only from the pew report so it is an apples to apples comparison. You don’t need to include subset tables. You don’t need to breakout calculations or provide example calculations. Provide the percentage at the end.


Here is what I got in response:

### Methodology


#### Data Collection


1. **Global Religious Landscape Reports**:

   - Use the Pew Research Center reports to obtain the percentage and population of Muslims and Christians in each country.

     - [Global Religious Landscape: Muslims](https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2012/12/18/global-religious-landscape-muslim/)

     - [Global Religious Landscape: Christians](https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2012/12/18/global-religious-landscape-christians/)


2. **Countries that Criminalize Homosexuality**:

   - Use reputable sources such as Human Dignity Trust, ILGA, and Wikipedia to identify countries where homosexuality is criminalized.


#### Steps


1. **Calculate the Number of Muslims and Christians in Each Country**:

   - Use the percentage of Muslims and Christians in each country from the Pew Research Center reports to calculate the population of each religion in each country.


2. **Estimate the Global Populations**:

   - Sum the populations of Muslims and Christians across all countries to obtain the total global populations for each religion.


3. **Identify Countries that Criminalize Homosexuality**:

   - Cross-reference the list of countries where homosexuality is criminalized with the Pew Research Center's data on religious populations.


4. **Calculate the Religious Populations in Countries with Punitive LGBT Laws**:

   - Sum the populations of Muslims and Christians in countries where homosexuality is criminalized.


5. **Calculate the Percentages**:

   - Divide the population of each religion in countries with punitive LGBT laws by their respective global populations.

   - Divide the total population in countries with punitive LGBT laws by the total global population.

   - Multiply the results by 100 to get the percentages.


### Detailed Calculation


#### Global Population Estimates (from Pew Research Center):


1. **Total Global Population** (2010 estimate): Approximately 6.9 billion.

2. **Global Muslim Population**: Approximately 1.6 billion.

3. **Global Christian Population**: Approximately 2.2 billion.


#### Countries that Criminalize Homosexuality:


1. **List of Countries**:

   - Sources: Human Dignity Trust, ILGA, and Wikipedia identify approximately 69 countries that criminalize homosexuality.


#### Calculate the Religious Populations in Countries with Punitive LGBT Laws


1. **Muslim Population in Countries with Punitive LGBT Laws**:

   - Use the percentage of Muslims in each country that criminalizes homosexuality and multiply by the total population.

   - Sum these populations to get the total Muslim population in these countries.


2. **Christian Population in Countries with Punitive LGBT Laws**:

   - Similarly, use the percentage of Christians in each country that criminalizes homosexuality and multiply by the total population.

   - Sum these populations to get the total Christian population in these countries.


3. **Total Population in Countries with Punitive LGBT Laws**:

   - Sum the populations of all countries that criminalize homosexuality using data from Pew Research Center.


### Final Percentage Calculations


1. **Muslims**:

   - Total Muslim population in countries with punitive LGBT laws: Estimated at approximately 1.3 billion.

   - (1.3 billion / 1.6 billion) * 100 ≈ 81%.


2. **Christians**:

   - Total Christian population in countries with punitive LGBT laws: Estimated at approximately 800 million.

   - (800 million / 2.2 billion) * 100 ≈ 36%.


3. **Total Humanity**:

   - Total population in countries with punitive LGBT laws: Estimated at approximately 2.5 billion.

   - (2.5 billion / 6.9 billion) * 100 ≈ 36%.


### Final Percentages


- **Percent of Muslims globally living in countries with punitive LGBT laws**: Approximately **81%**.

- **Percent of Christians globally living in countries with punitive LGBT laws**: Approximately **36%**.

- **Percent of all humanity globally living in countries with punitive LGBT laws**: Approximately **36%**.


These calculations ensure consistency and accuracy by using only data from the Pew Research Center reports.





Ignorance in America; Analyzing worldwide authoritarianism

A NYT article (not paywalled) highlights the profound ignorance that some segment of the American public operates with: 
17% of Voters Blame Biden for the End of Roe

The mistaken belief, in a new poll, shows how even as abortion is mobilizing Democrats, confusion over the issue is also a challenge

Nearly one in five voters in battleground states says that President Biden is responsible for ending the constitutional right to abortion, a new poll found, despite the fact that he supports abortion rights and that his opponent Donald J. Trump appointed three Supreme Court justices who made it possible to overturn Roe v. Wade.

Trump supporters and voters with less education were most likely to attribute responsibility for abortion bans to Mr. Biden, but the misperception existed across demographic groups. Twelve percent of Democrats hold Mr. Biden responsible, according to New York Times/Siena College polls in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin and a Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena poll in Pennsylvania.  
Many voters who held Mr. Biden responsible said they simply didn’t pay close attention to politics or government affairs. For some, the confusion came from the fact that the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision happened while Mr. Biden was president.


Freaking unbelievable but true. 😵
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A long NYT opinion (not paywalled) considers at the rise of pro-authoritarian sentiment in the US and democracies worldwide. An important points is this: People in different societies can be propagandized and taught to be pro-authoritarian. 
‘The Seeds Had Been Planted. 
Trump Didn’t Do It Himself.’

Over the past 30 years, authoritarianism has moved from the periphery to the center, even the core, of global politics, shaping not only the divide between left and right in the United States but also the conflict between the American-led alliance of democratic nations and the loose coalition of autocratic states including Russia, China, Iran and North Korea.

Marc Hetherington, a political scientist at the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, and a co-author of “Authoritarianism and Polarization in American Politics,” has tracked the partisanship of white voters in this country who are in the top 15 percent on measures of support for dictatorial rule.

Replying by email to my inquiry, Hetherington wrote:

In 1992, those whites scoring at the top of the authoritarianism scale split their two-party vote almost evenly between Bush and Clinton (51 to 49). In 2000 and 2004, the difference becomes statistically significant but still pretty small.

By 2012, those high-authoritarianism white voters went 68 to 32 for Romney over Obama. In both Trump elections it was 80 to 20 among those voters.

So from 50 Republican-50 Democrat to 80 Republican-20 Democrat in the space of 24 years.

The parallel pattern of conflicting values and priorities that has emerged between nations is the focus of a paper published last month, “Worldwide Divergence of Values” by Joshua Conrad Jackson and Dan Medvedev, both at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business. The two authors analyzed data from seven studies conducted by the World Values Survey in 76 countries between 1981 and 2022.

Jackson and Medvedev found that over those years, “Values emphasizing tolerance and self-expression have diverged most sharply, especially between high-income Western countries and the rest of the world” and characterized this split as a clash between “emancipatory” values and values of “obedience.”

I asked Medvedev whether authoritarianism represents the antithesis of a regime based on emancipatory principles, and he wrote back, “It certainly does seem that authoritarian regimes tend to reject values that we categorize as emancipative.”

He said he would prefer to use the word “traditional” but “that’s just my preference — I don’t think it’s incorrect to use ‘authoritarian.’”  
“These cultural differences were not always so stark; they have emerged over time,” Jackson and Medvedev wrote. “These two groups of countries are sorting in their emancipative values over time. For example, Russia and the United States used to be quite similar in their values, but now the United States is closer to Germany in its values, and Russia is closer to Iran.”
Value divergence was assessed by asking 7 questions, one about the importance of obedience of children, and six about the justifiability of homosexuality, euthanasia, divorce, prostitution, suicide, and abortion. The answers to those questions revealed values differences between democratic and authoritarian countries.

People under authoritarianism tend to believe that obedience of children is important and homosexuality and divorce are not justifiable. People in the United States, Japan, Germany and Canada tend to believe that homosexuality and divorce are justifiable and disagree that obedience is an important value to teach their children. Jackson's and Medvedev's research also show that while Russia, China and Iran became increasingly authoritarian while democratic countries became more emancipatory.

Looking back, it now appears increasingly miraculous that (1) the US was established as a republic with representative democracy, and (2) we still are. To me, this research hints at the how miraculous America is today. No wonder human history is overwhelmingly dominated by kleptocratic authoritarianism, built on lies, slanders and irrational emotions.

That we are on the verge of becoming a kleptocratic authoritarian country is a profound tragedy. It doesn't have to fail and end like that.[1] But given the ignorance of some of the American public (enough to tip the election to American authoritarianism), the American experiment in self-governance can fail. That could very well depend on the outcome of the elections next November. 

Maybe we are just going through a rough patch and we will come out of this horror in reasonably good shape. For example, society still has not adapted to the poison and power of authoritarian dark free speech on social media. That is a very toxic, very powerful combination. Maybe democracy will survive if enough Americans become sufficiently immune to the lies and irrational emotional appeals that authoritarians always heavily rely on. Social media effectively spreads divisive lies and emotion-laden crackpottery long before actual fact and truth get out of the starting gate. 


Footnote: 
1. A countervailing force in favor of democracy has been noticeable over the last ~350 years (since the Enlightenment started). Steven Pinker writes in his 2018 book, Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism and Progress:
Since the first governments first appeared about 5,000 years ago, humanity has tried to steer a course between the violence of anarchy and the violence of tyranny. In the absence of a government or powerful neighbors, tribal peoples tend to fall into cycles of raiding and feuding, with death rates exceeding those of modern societies, even including their most violent eras.

One can think of democracy as a form of government that threads the needle, exerting just enough force to prevent people from preying on each other without preying on the people itself. A good democratic government allows people to pursue their lives in safety, protected from the violence of anarchy, and in freedom, protected from the violence of tyranny. But it's not the only reason: democracies have higher rates of economic growth, fewer wars and genocides, healthier and better-educated citizens, and virtually no famines.

[Critics of democracy argue that democratization is] “a conceit of Westerners projecting their tastes onto the rest of the world, whereas authoritarianism seemed to suit most of humanity just fine.” [Pinker responds:] “Could recent history really imply that people are happy to be brutalized by their governments? Most obviously, in a non-democratic country, how could you tell? The pent-up demand for democracy might be enormous, but no one dares express it lest they be jailed or shot.” (emphasis added)

Tuesday, May 14, 2024

Trial update; What voters want; Marketing and anti-abortion tactics update

The NYT published a long interview between NYT columnist David French and two experts, Rebecca Roiphe, a former assistant district attorney in the Manhattan district attorney’s office, and Ken White, a former federal prosecutor. Two points about the interview are of interest.  

1. The experts shed light on whether some of the Stormy Daniels testimony that was improperly allowed to get to the jury would be sufficient grounds to overturn a conviction of DJT. One expert said that the error would probably not be sufficient to cause a mistrial and the other did not respond. I assumed that the error would be a good basis to get a mistrial. My assumption was wrong.  

2. Both experts think the prosecution is doing a pretty good job and their assessment of the trial so far regarding one or more felony convictions is positive. They believe the jury will understand the nature of the case because the evidence has been laid out for the jury in a clear way. 

The relevant parts of the interview:

French: Is the judge’s decision to deny the motion for mistrial a reversible error?

Roiphe: I don’t think this will cause a huge legal problem for the prosecution on appeal. Defense lawyers call for mistrials all the time, and judges have a great deal of latitude in dealing with moments like these when testimony slips out that should not have.

French: Let’s end with some lightning round questions. First, since the trial has started, in your view has the chance of conviction gone up or down?

Roiphe: Up.

White: Up significantly.
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A NYT opinion by David Brooks makes an interesting point about poll data suggesting a reason for why DJT is leading Biden in key contested states: 
What do American voters want? The latest New York Times/Siena polls of swing states offer some confusing evidence on this point. Some of the polling results suggest that Americans are in a revolutionary frame of mind: If you ask whether the political and economic system needs major changes, 69 percent say it either needs major changes or should be entirely torn down.

On the other hand, when the pollsters gave voters a choice between a candidate who would bring the country back to normal and one who would bring major changes, 51 percent said they would prefer the back-to-normal candidate and only 40 percent would prefer the major-changes candidate.

So which is it?

Well, different voters want different things. But if I had to write a single sentence that reconciled these diverse findings, it would be this: The people who run America’s systems have led the country seriously astray; we need a president who will shake things up and return the country back to normal.

When they hear “systems,” I assume voters are thinking of the network of institutions run by America’s elite — corporations, governing agencies, higher education, the news media and so on. If voters believe one thing about Donald Trump it’s that he’s against these systems and these systems are against him.

Voters clearly see President Biden implicated in these systems. The heart of Biden’s problem heaves into view when you ask people which candidate will bring about change. Seventy percent of voters believe that Trump would bring about major changes or tear down the system entirely if elected. Yet 71 percent of voters believe that little or nothing would change if Biden is re-elected.

In other words, the evidence suggests that the swing voter wants reactionary change, not revolutionary change. The mood suggested by the evidence is angry nostalgia. That would be my explanation for why Trump is so convincingly ahead in most of the swing states.

That is plausibly part of the reason for support among some voters who might not otherwise vote for DJT. Biden does seem to be both unable and unwilling to change the status quo. DJT will shake things up, but in a very bad way.
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Radical antiabortion influencers are flooding social media with blatant lies about the alleged horrors of using birth control pills: 
US wellness influencers are increasingly targeting birth control pills, pushing their followers to abandon the contraceptives with false claims about infertility and low libido that researchers say leave them vulnerable to unintended pregnancies.

That includes Taylor Gossett, a TikTok influencer with nearly 200,000 followers who explicitly called the medication "toxic" alongside offers to join her "master class" in "natural" birth control.  
Podcaster Sahara Rose called birth control the "divorce pill" in a video viewed more than 550,000 times, claiming it impacts who "you're attracted to" and leads users to choose the wrong mate.

"This spike in contraception misinformation [lies actually] correlates with the restriction of abortion access in a number of states," misinformation researcher Jenna Sherman told AFP, adding that many of the online falsehoods stemmed from "anti-abortion actors."
Lying has truly been normalized in America. It is not confined to just politics. Grifters and radical activists are out there lying for money, fame and influence in the basically unregulated world of advertising and political dark free speech. The bad consequences of lies and grifting is not an obvious concern for morally rotted liars.


Monday, May 13, 2024

About the great replacement theory

An issue that is at or near the top of concerns among voters on the political right (I call the mainstream right the authoritarian radical right) is immigration. An important factor in raising fear and anger about uncontrolled immigration is a bit of powerful, polarizing propaganda called the Great Replacement Theory (GRT). Since this idea has powerful appeal to millions of voters, it makes sense to discuss it. The fear and anger this issue foments could be a necessary factor that gets DJT re-elected in 2024.   


Wikipedia describes the GRT like this:
The Great Replacement (French: Grand Remplacement), also known as replacement theory or great replacement theory, is a white nationalist far-right conspiracy theory espoused by French author Renaud Camus. The original theory states that, with the complicity or cooperation of "replacist" elites, the ethnic French and white European populations at large are being demographically and culturally replaced by non-white peoples—especially from Muslim-majority countries—through mass migration, demographic growth and a drop in the birth rate of white Europeans. Since then, similar claims have been advanced in other national contexts, notably in the United States. Mainstream scholars have dismissed these claims of a conspiracy of "replacist" elites as rooted in a misunderstanding of demographic statistics and premised upon an unscientific, racist worldview. According to the Encyclopædia Britannica, the Great Replacement "has been widely ridiculed for its blatant absurdity."
An article the WaPo published in May of 2022 (not paywalled) discusses the GRT and some of the violence it has inspired in recent times:
The man authorities say opened fire in a Buffalo grocery store Saturday, killing 10, appears to have left behind a white supremacist document centered on the idea of a plot to replace the White population with immigrants.

This far-right conspiracy theory, known as the “great replacement theory,” has inspired a lot of recent violence, including the 2019 Christchurch mosque shootings in New Zealand, where the shooter warned of “White genocide.” He later pleaded guilty to 51 murders, 40 attempted murders and engaging in a terrorist act.

Some of the torch-bearing “Unite the Right” demonstrators, including Ku Klux Klan members and neo-Nazis, who terrorized Charlottesville in 2017 were also motivated by the theory, which warns that an increase in the non-White population fueled by immigration will destroy White and Western civilization.

But while the great replacement theory has inspired horrific violence in the past five years, it’s a lot older than that. More than 70 years ago, a U.S. senator published a book warning of the same destruction of White civilization.

Theodore G. Bilbo, a Democrat, had twice been governor of Mississippi before he served in the U.S. Senate from 1935 to 1947, when “the growing intolerance among many whites toward public racism and anti-Semitism” led to his fall, according to an account in the Journal of Mississippi History.

An equal-opportunity racist, he addressed some of his letters with slurs against Italians and Jews, depending on the recipient. But the bulk of his loathing and fear was reserved for Black Americans, as spelled out in his 1947 book “Take Your Choice: Separation or Mongrelization.”

A showboater and self-promoter, he began the book with this modest preface: “For nine years I have read, studied and analyzed practically all the records and everything written throughout the entire world on the subject of race relations, covering a period of close on to thirty thousand years.” ( Note: Bilbo was a liar -- the earliest known writing is from southern Mesopotamia ~3400 BC, not ~28,000 BC)

Bilbo saw an existential threat in the growing ranks of American-born descendants of enslaved Africans. His solution? Ship them back.

“The great civilizations of the ages have been produce[d] by the Caucasian race,” he wrote. When Black people moved in, he wrote, mighty societies such as ancient Egypt were destroyed and mongrel races were created. “The mongrel not only lacks the ability to create a civilization, but he cannot maintain a culture that he finds around him,” he wrote.

“A White America or a mongrel America — you must take your choice!”
The GRT is playing a role in the current elections. As usual for America's authoritarian radical right, authoritarian propaganda is mostly fact-free lies and slanders
U.S. Senate candidate Kari Lake claimed without evidence Sunday that Democrats are allowing undocumented immigrants to flood across the border as part of a nationwide plot to pad voter rolls while registering that group for Medicare and Medicaid benefits.

The Republican front-runner echoed the "great replacement theory" favored by white nationalists as she mixed accusations of election fraud with welfare fraud to a credulous Maria Bartiromo on her “Sunday Morning Futures” show on Fox News.

Lake has repeatedly employed these themes, in part to explain her 2022 gubernatorial loss. Lake is currently running for the U.S. Senate seat held by U.S. Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, I-Ariz.
The authoritarian radical right Faux News has been a 
major proponent of GRT lies and slanders for years


Part of the loyal Faux News audience 

Some recent research on belief in the GRT suggests that emotions, especially feelings of insecurity and fear, correlate with belief in the GRT. By contrast, reasoned thinking correlates with disbelief in the GRT threat: 
According to the “great replacement” conspiracy theory, mass immigration to Europe and the U.S. is part of a secret plot to replace White and Christian population with non-White and Muslim immigrants. With the aim of exploring psychological factors that play a role in believing in the “great replacement” theory, the present research focused on individual differences in reflective thinking. Using data from a cross-sectional study (N = 906), we found that cognitive reflection [roughly, reasoned thinking] was negatively associated with belief in the “great replacement” conspiracy theory, even when political ideology and sociodemographic characteristics were controlled in the analysis. The findings highlight the key role of reflective thinking in countering conspiracy theories.  
Conspiracy theories can be toxic to democratic political discourse. By insinuating that societal groups or global elites have hidden agendas, they delegitimize certain opinions and political preferences, which harms constructive debates and can facilitate radicalization and evoke acts of political violence, including terrorism (Davey & Ebner, 2019; Marcks & Pawelz, 2022; Obaidi et al., 2022; Rottweiler & Gill, 2022). A globally relevant topic of political discourse where conspiracy beliefs can be particularly harmful is immigration. 
The GRT is a propaganda tactic frequently used by radical right authoritarians in Europe:
The idea that ethnically homogeneous populations in European nations are being demographically ‘replaced’ by people of non-European origin has been propagated by far-right actors for some time (Bjørgo and Ravndal, 2019). However, the idea of a ‘replacement’, orchestrated by liberal and/or left-wing elites, is also being propagated from the top, most notably by (illiberal) leaders such as prime minister Viktor Orban of Hungary and former prime minister Róbert Fico of Slovakia (Plenta, 2020).
The GRT and the insecurity and fear it generates is likely to be one of the top two or three authoritarian radical right propaganda issues that will motivate people to vote for DJT in 2024. 

That is the case because the Republican Party in congress recently killed a border immigration control bill that congressional Republicans themselves wrote. Once DJT realized that proposed legislation would help calm the emotions that border chaos and the GRT could foment (and the credit Biden would get for fixing the border), he ordered his party to block its passage into law. Being morally rotted and authoritarian, the GOP obeyed and killed their own proposed immigration law for purely partisan politics.

Before Faux fired Tucker, he was
a major proponent of GRT lies and slanders

How West Virginia’s first transgender elected official is influencing local politics

 


WHEELING, W.Va. (AP) — When Rosemary Ketchum gets introduced as the first openly transgender person to win elective office in West Virginia, there's often a shocked look that comes across people's faces.

(HOW did she pull it off?)

To her, it doesn't feel like magic. But in some ways, she can understand their surprise. Out of the handful of transgender officials in the U.S., only a few were elected in similarly rural, GOP-controlled states.

Ketchum answers matter-of-factly when people ask her how she got elected as an openly transgender candidate: she put her name on the ballot, knocked on doors, made phone calls to ask residents what they care about, and then trusted them to make a decision.

(Wow, what a novel approach)

“I didn’t pre-ordain or assume what they would think of me — I gave them the opportunity to think for themselves,” she said. “I didn’t walk up to a door, and say like, ‘Oh, this person has a Trump sign, they’re going to hate me.’”

Ketchum said when she’s canvassing, people aren’t talking about what bathrooms they think transgender people should be able to use, or whether kids should be reading books with LGBTQ+ characters in school. People often want to talk about repaving their road or worries about how many young people are leaving the state — one of only two states where the population declined in the 2020 census.

“That gives me more respect, frankly, for my neighbors,” Ketchum said. GOP lawmakers’ focus on books bans and bathroom access may attract attention statewide and nationally, but “it doesn’t work at a local level -- it doesn’t register,” she said.


(Is that true or just a quaint saying?)


She said many people have developed an apathy or distrust of government. But she doesn't engage with cynicism. Instead, she gives constituents her personal phone number and holds regular office hours at a local market where anyone can come by to speak with her.

More on her story:


BUT this won't work on the national level. So I've heard. You can NOT appeal to those on the Right on the national level. 

So, let's hang this out there:

Could the methods Rosemary Ketchum is using to win local elections in a red district be used effectively on a national level? 

Sunday, May 12, 2024

Russian social engineering; Netanyahu defends Gaza war

Since late in 2017, it seemed that global authoritarianism has sharpened its focus on attacking democracies everywhere. The most potent authoritarian forces come from within the border of democracies. In the US it is DJT and his Republican Party. The WaPo published an article about Putin mobilizing his entire society into an aggressive military force built to attack democracies everywhere by any means possible. In essence, what Putin is doing now looks a lot to me like what Hitler did with German society to prepare for war. The WaPo writes (not paywalled):
Under Putin, a militarized new Russia rises to challenge U.S. and the West
 
As Vladimir Putin persists in his bloody campaign to conquer Ukraine, the Russian leader is directing an equally momentous transformation at home — re-engineering his country into a regressive, militarized society that views the West as its mortal enemy.

Putin’s inauguration on Tuesday for a fifth term will not only mark his 25-year-long grip on power but also showcase Russia’s shift into what pro-Kremlin commentators call a “revolutionary power,” set on upending the global order, making its own rules, and demanding that totalitarian autocracy be respected as a legitimate alternative to democracy in a world redivided by big powers into spheres of influence.

“Russians live in a wholly new reality,” Dmitri Trenin, a pro-Kremlin analyst, wrote in reply to questions about an essay in which he argued that Russia’s anti-Western shift was “more radical and far-reaching” than anything anticipated when Putin invaded Ukraine but also “a relatively minor element of the wider transformation which is going on in Russia’s economy, polity, society, culture, values, and spiritual and intellectual life.”

In “Russia, Remastered,” The Washington Post documents the historic scale of the changes Putin is carrying out and has accelerated with breathtaking speed during two years of brutal war even as tens of thousands of Russians have fled abroad. It is a crusade that gives Putin common cause with China’s Xi Jinping as well as some supporters of former president Donald Trump. And it raises the prospect of an enduring civilizational conflict to subvert Western democracy and — Putin has warned — even threatens a new world war.
The WaPo article cites some of the efforts Putin is employing to re-engineer Russian society. For example, he is building an ultraconservative, puritanical society indoctrinated against liberal freedoms. That movement is very hostile to gay and transgender people. Putin is also reshaping all levels of education to indoctrinate hyper-patriotism among the young. Textbooks have been rewritten to reflect Putin's propaganda and re-written history. The state now requires compulsory military lessons to be taught by soldiers called “Basics of Security and Protection of the Motherland.” That education includes training with handling Kalashnikov assault rifles, grenades and drones. 

In addition to those efforts, Putin (i) is poisoning cultural life using blacklists of liberal or antiwar performers, directors, writers and artists, and (ii) abolishing women’s reproductive rights and access to abortions. Putin's anti-abortion demands are backed by constant propaganda about the need of young women to give birth often. Feminist activists and liberal female journalists are being arrested and charged with terrorism, extremism, discrediting the military and other offenses. Andrei Kolesnikov, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center commented on Putin's preparation for war, “they need cannon fodder for the future.”


Q: Is it just me, e.g., self-delusion, or does the morally rotted, dictator DJT and his morally rotted, authoritarian Repub Party look a way too much like the morally rotted, murdering dictator-thug Putin and his murdering dictator enabling thugs and military? 
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At about 1:52 of this 3 minute video (produced by the Times of India) Netanyahu, defends his and Israeli government treatment of Palestinians in Gaza. In essence he refers to the holocaust of the 1940s and a current existential threat to Israel's existence. He says he will defeat Israel's “genocidal enemy” with or without foreign aid from any country and in the face of international criticism of how Israel conducts the war.




It is interesting that Netanyahu points to past history and the holocaust as part of the justification for what is happening in Gaza. One can wonder if Palestinian civilians point to history since ~1947 as justification for resisting Israel, but not justification for the Oct. 7 attacks, murders and kidnapping by Hamas. No one cannot justify the Hamas killings and kidnappings of Oct. 7. 

But does the horrible wrong by Hamas justify the horrible wrong Israel is committing in Gaza? Do two horrible wrongs make a right?

Opinions will differ.