Pragmatic politics focused on the public interest for those uncomfortable with America's two-party system and its way of doing politics. Considering the interface of politics with psychology, cognitive science, social behavior, morality and history.
Etiquette
DP Etiquette
First rule: Don't be a jackass.
Other rules: Do not attack or insult people you disagree with. Engage with facts, logic and beliefs. Out of respect for others, please provide some sources for the facts and truths you rely on if you are asked for that. If emotion is getting out of hand, get it back in hand. To limit dehumanizing people, don't call people or whole groups of people disrespectful names, e.g., stupid, dumb or liar. Insulting people is counterproductive to rational discussion. Insult makes people angry and defensive. All points of view are welcome, right, center, left and elsewhere. Just disagree, but don't be belligerent or reject inconvenient facts, truths or defensible reasoning.
“President Trump and his Republican allies are launching an aggressive strategy to fight what many of the administration’s own health officials view as one of the most effective ways to make voting safer amid the deadly spread of Covid-19: the expanded use of mail-in ballots.
The scene Tuesday of Wisconsinites in masks and gloves gathering in long lines to vote, after Republicans sued to defeat extended, mail-in ballot deadlines, did not deter the president and top officials in his party. Republican leaders said they were pushing ahead to fight state-level statutes that could expand absentee balloting in Michigan, Minnesota, Arizona and elsewhere. In New Mexico, Republicans are battling an effort to go to a mail-in-only primary, and they vowed on Wednesday to fight a new move to expand postal balloting in Minnesota.
The new political effort is clearly aimed at helping the president’s re-election prospects, as well as bolstering Republicans running further down the ballot. While his advisers tend to see the issue in more nuanced terms, Mr. Trump obviously views the issue in a stark, partisan way: He has complained that under Democratic plans for national expansion of early voting and voting by mail, ‘you’d never have a Republican elected in this country again.’
At his daily news briefing on Wednesday, Mr. Trump said he believed vote-by-mail had been abused to hurt Republicans, and ‘I will not stand for it,’ though he allowed that mail ballots could help some older voters — an important part of his voting base. It was a slight modulation that came at the urging of his advisers.
In their efforts to fight expanding vote-by-mail, Republican officials are counting on a crucial and powerful ally: like-minded judges.”
If the president is right that republicans are unelectable in free and fair elections, the Trump Party is defunct except by authoritarian measures to suppress voting. ther than declaring martial law and suspending elections, the Trump Party literally has no other choice but to suppress as many democratic voters as possible, even if it suppresses some Trump Party voters in the process. The Trump Party presumably sees suppressed Trump Party votes as just regrettable collateral damage, while suppression of democratic voters is seen as patriotic and good.
As usual, the president presents no evidence to support his bald-faced lie that vote-by-mail had been abused to hurt Republicans. And, once again, the president’s self-interest above democracy, voting and the rule of law is clear and undeniable. Undeniable, that is, except by the president and his supporters and enablers.
In short, the Trump Party is willing to suppress millions of votes and even endanger voter’s lives in their desperation to remain a viable political party. What a pathetic remnant of what once was a principled institution.
“. . . . the typical citizen drops down to a lower level of mental performance as soon as he enters the political field. He argues and analyzes in a way which he would readily recognize as infantile within the sphere of his real interests. . . . cherished ideas and judgments we bring to politics are stereotypes and simplifications with little room for adjustment as the facts change. . . . . the real environment is altogether too big, too complex, and too fleeting for direct acquaintance. We are not equipped to deal with so much subtlety, so much variety, so many permutations and combinations. Although we have to act in that environment, we have to reconstruct it on a simpler model before we can manage it.” -- Democracy For Realists: Why Elections Do not Produce Responsive Governments, Christopher H. Achen and Larry M. Bartels, 2016
Morality: principles concerning the distinction between right and wrong or good and bad behavior; a particular system of values and principles of conduct, especially one held by a specified person
Evil: a manifestation of profound human immorality and wickedness, especially in people's actions; intending to harm; human malevolence
Malevolence: having or showing a wish to harm or do evil to others
Can anything be agreed on?
Concepts of morality, immorality and evil can possibly be defined such that most people would agree on the definitions. But because these concepts are essentially contested, there will always be significant disagreement on what the definitions mean and how or whether they apply in specific real world situations. For example, some people believe that abortion is immoral and others believe it is moral. This concern applies to politics, which is generally more subjective than objective and more irrational than rational.
Is there anything at least semi-objective about politics that a solid majority of people, say more than about 75%, would agree on? From what I can tell, there probably are some at least partly objective concepts that most people would agree are important to believe in or adhere to. They include respect for facts, respect for truth, reliance on sound reasoning, service to the public interest, respect for the rule of law and a belief that democracy is better than authoritarianism and demagoguery.
Of those, only respect for facts come close to solid objectivity, at least in theory. In practice, what is fact and what isn't is now usually bitterly contested. But at least people claim to be fact-based, just as they claim to rely on true truths and sound reasoning. Conversely, most people claim they dislike being lied to and being deceived. That includes including deceit by flawed partisan reasoning. As discussed before, truths can be true or false in whole or in part, and political reasoning usually isn’t mostly logical.
Is moral authority inherent in fact, truth and sound reasoning?
If it is true that most people (~95% ?) believe that facts, true truths and sound reasoning are preferable to lies and partisan bogus reasoning, then one can argue that rare but near-universal belief is a source of moral authority or a good moral value. One can also think that denying or distorting facts and truths and irrational emotional manipulation is also immoral. So is applying unreasonably flawed, biased or partisan thinking. Collectively, all of those tactics constitute dark free speech.[1]
Obviously, people will disagree on what is unreasonably flawed, biased or partisan and what is not. People in political disagreements tend to dismiss opposing facts, truths and arguments as faked or unreasonably flawed, biased or partisan. In my experience, their own invariably arguments pass muster. I do not recall even one person who ever told me that they rely on fake facts, false truths or bogus reasoning. A few have come close to that. They assert that their sacred ends justify almost any means, and thus lies and deceit are acceptable tactics. However, even those people always back away and claim they themselves are fact and reason based.
In view of the foregoing, one can conclude that dark free speech is immoral, even when the end is believed to be sacred or so important that honest speech has to be sacrificed for the greater good, God’s will, racial purity or whatever the sacred end might be.
History on tyranny vs democracy
Demagogue: a political leader or a person trying to gain political power by seeking support by appealing to the desires and prejudices of ordinary people rather than by using rational argument; a person who relies heavily on dark free speech (DFS) to try to rise to power
People who study these things usually show variations on a rather simple repeating pattern. An aspiring demagogue (tyrant wannabe) builds a core of support among people who become ardent supporters or fanatics. The demagogue uses DFS to attract the initial group of followers. The demagogue is a relentless but talented liar and deceiver capable of painting false realities to support his agenda, which is accumulation of power and usually also wealth. Over time the demagogue weasels his way into power, sometimes when existing political parties have become spent or immoral-corrupt forces and they see the demagogue as their salvation. Hitler and Mussolini rose to power this way.
Once in power, the demagogue seeks to consolidate and accumulate more power, The most common power-accumulating tactic is heavy reliance on DFS to distract, divide and confuse society. The point is to create distrust in existing institutions, political opposition and whatever target group the demagogue chooses to scapegoat for real and imagined wrongs and evil deeds. With few or no exceptions, the demagogue is deeply authoritarian. Because of that, his mortal enemies include democracy itself, social harmony, social trust in government and social institutions that defend the rule of law. Inconvenient facts, truths and logic have no place in this and all are drowned in a proverbial bathtub overflowing with DFS. Simply put, lies and deceit swallow and kill facts and sound reasoning.
One cannot deny that societies are quite susceptible to DFS wielded by a ruthless but talented demagogue. We are witnessing this right now in America. The recent increase in the president’s public approval is driven by a false belief that he is doing an excellent job in dealing with the coronavirus. That false perception has persuasive power despite a mountain of evidence showing that the president has been utterly incompetent in dealing with the crisis right from the beginning and continuing to this very day. The president’s endless lies and deceit about his own performance is persuading some Americans to adopt a false belief in his non-existent competence and maybe even honest altruism for some.
In a democracy, the end game for demagogue tyrant wannabes amounts to destruction of the rule of law, political opposition and the free press, while dividing and polarizing society into warring tribes. Those tribes tend to see their tribe through an intolerant, irrational, moralistic and righteous lens. In that social milieu, facts and rationality are simply swept away when they are inconvenient or threatening to the tribe or its sacred beliefs. That is where America is today.[2]
This is where America is today
What about the demagogue’s rank and file supporters?
In democracies, the demagogue needs at least some public support to accumulate and maintain power. America’s demagogue president is no exception. His rise to power and his current situation today have been bolstered all along by unflinching public support by people who see him as having some combination good, competence or nationalist belief. Those people were necessary to put the president in the White House.
We are at a point where essentially no lie, corrupt act, incompetent act or incitement to hate or distrust fazes hardly any supporter. That the president is a chronic liar, corrupt, a lawbreaker, a traitor, incompetent or mentally unfit for office are things the president’s rank and file supporters just deny, ignore or downplay into insignificance. Those facts have been drowned in the tub full of DFS.
How can one apportion responsibility (blame?) for the role the president’s supporters have played in all of this? Is it even rational to try to assess responsibility and moral culpability? Few or none of the president’s supporters see essentially the reality of what their leader really is. Most (~97% ?) strongly deny that he uses DFS against the American people, the rule of law or anything else. In their minds he speaks truth and fights for what is honest and decent. They dismiss criticisms of the president as just meaningless political white noise, a pack of lies or whatever else they need to believe to make concerns about the president basically go away in their minds.
There is no way to ever reconcile the two different perceptions of exactly who and what the US president really is. His supporters have some degree of responsibility for the situation we are now in. If one believes that DFS is immoral, then one can conclude that his supporters openly support immorality or even evil, but are basically unaware of it. Does that make them immoral or even evil?
Maybe the answer to that lies at least partly in what is in their minds. Some of the president’s supporters are truly oblivious to the evidence of his immoral-evil character, or they hear it but reject it as lies or whatever. Those people have been deceived and betrayed by DFS.
On the other hand, some of the president’s supporters are aware of who and what he is and they support that. They may not be openly honest about this, but they nonetheless give their support. After all, few or no Americans would ever admit that they follow a corrupt, lying dictator wannabe because they want racial purity, American global dominance, more Christian God in government or whatever it is they want. Can those people be seen as immoral or evil to any extent?
In the law, there is a concept called strict liability. It applies to some laws such as statutory rape. Legal liability can attach when a person has sex with an underage person. That person can be legally liable even though they (1) thought the person was not underage, and (2) did not know they were breaking any law. The logic is simple: If you did the act, you broke the law and are liable. It doesn't matter what was in the perpetrator’s mind.
Is it reasonable to apply the same logic to people in a democracy, with a free press and easy access to information? Are the president’s supporters responsible for the corrupt, incompetent mess America has sunk into, regardless of what they think about the president, good, bad, confused or nothing at all? What about people who do not vote? Are they culpable in some way? Is there a civic moral responsibility for people in a democracy like the US to not be so hopelessly deluded by a such an obviously corrupt, lying demagogue as the president is? What about supporter and non-voter culpability for a demagogue who is much more subtle about deploying DFS against a democracy and its society as he tries to bring it to its knees?
My assessment
A lot of Americans have little or no time for politics. Millions live paycheck to paycheck and are strapped for time. Millions of others who are better off do not care about politics, have no interest in it or are otherwise disengaged. At present, there isn’t even a law that punishes unexcused non-voting by eligible voters. Millions of Americans just blow elections off and live their lives as best they can. For various reasons that the president’s time in office has made clear, American democracy is largely defenseless against a demagogue-tyrant. Norms that used to restrain tyrant wannabes have fallen with the full support of the Trump Party.
Given how far and fast America has fallen, how obviously evil the president is, and how fast America is moving toward some form of kakistocratic, kleptocratic tyranny-oligarchy, people who do not oppose what is happening share some moral responsibility. Supporters of this share even more responsibility, and it amounts to some degree of immorality that varies with what is in their minds. Knowing support is more immoral than deceived support, which is more immoral than confused or uncertain support, which is more immoral than not participating at all. Opposition to evil is not immoral at all.
Obviously, this kind of analysis can get very complicated. For example, what about people who oppose DFS, but are authoritarians? Is authoritarianism, depending on how it is defined, even compatible with democracy? Is authoritarianism alone immoral? I believe authoritarianism alone is immoral or evil, depending on how brutal and/or corrupt it is. DFS alone is immoral or evil, depending on how reality and/or reason-detached it is, even if only a few people are exposed to it.
Footnotes:
1. Dark free speech: Constitutionally or legally protected (1) lies and deceit to distract, misinform, confuse, polarize and/or demoralize, (2) unwarranted opacity to hide inconvenient truths, facts and corruption (lies and deceit of omission), (3) unwarranted emotional manipulation (i) to obscure the truth and blind the mind to lies and deceit, and (ii) to provoke irrational, reason-killing emotions and feelings, including fear, hate, anger, disgust, distrust, intolerance, cynicism, pessimism and all kinds of bigotry including racism, and (4) ideologically-driven motivated reasoning and other ideologically-driven biases that unreasonably distort reality and reason. (my label, my definition)
2. That is not to say that the president alone is responsible for America’s situation. For decades, American conservatism relentlessly used DFS to build false, reality-detached sacred beliefs and foment deep public distrust and disrespect for inconvenient truth, science, expertise and democratic government itself. In essence, the old GOP (a corrupt, morally bankrupt institution), now the Trump Party, worked long and hard to get us here. The demagogue Trump and his run at corrupt, authoritarian single-party rule is its crowning achievement. I am not the only person who sees the ugly reality of modern American conservatism with such cold clarity.
Aspirational: Ten Years After, I'd Love to Change the World
The chaos and confusion rocking President Donald Trump's administration on the most tragic day yet of the coronavirus pandemic was exceptional even by his own standards.
Trump set out Tuesday to cement his image of a wartime leader facing down an "invisible enemy" at a dark moment as the country waits for the virus to peak and with the economy languishing in suspended animation.
"What we have is a plague, and we're seeing light at the end of the tunnel," the President said, on a day when a record number of Americans succumbed to the wicked respiratory disease.
But instead of putting minds at rest, Trump's wild performance instead put on a display many of the personal and political habits that have defined his tumultuous presidency. It was a troubling spectacle coming at such a wrenching chapter of national life, the kind of moment when Presidents are called to provide consistent, level leadership.
To begin with, Trump sparked concern that he will prevent oversight of the disbursement of economic rescue funds by removing a watchdog official responsible for overseeing the $2 trillion package. The move, coming after Trump ousted an intelligence community inspector general last week, was yet another sign that an already impeached President is using the cover of the worst domestic crisis since World War II to further erode constraints on his power.
Trump's acting Navy secretary quit after an episode in which he called an aircraft carrier captain dismissed for raising the alarm about virus infections among his crew "stupid."
Then Trump insisted he hadn't seen January memos by a top White House official warning about the pandemic at the same time the President was dismissing it as a threat.
He also announced he was placing a "very powerful hold" on funding for the World Health Organization, even though it correctly identified the scale of the virus and he didn't. Then moments later, he insisted he did no such thing.
Adding to the sense of farce, White House Press Secretary Stephanie Grisham was moved out, without ever having given a briefing, on yet another day of staff turmoil. CNN's KFile reported Tuesday that her replacement, Kayleigh McEnany, recently said that thanks to the President, "we will not see diseases like the coronavirus come here."
Trump's top economic adviser Larry Kudlow admitted that a small business rescue program was off to "a bad start" after recipients struggled to register funds, only for the President to celebrate the program's roaring success -- and to credit his daughter Ivanka with personally creating 15 million jobs.
To top off a disorientating day in the West Wing, the President presided over an unchained news conference in which among other topics, he lashed out at mail-in voting, making claims about fraud that don't square with the facts, even though he recently cast such a ballot himself. The comment followed extraordinary scenes in Wisconsin, after Republicans blocked the Badger State's Democratic governor from delaying the state's primary over concern that voters could infect one another with the novel coronavirus.
Trump's daily jousts with the media recreate the adversarial dynamic of his 2016 campaign and much of his earlier presidency and invite his supporters to adopt his narrative of events rather than fact-based critiques of his conduct. This has been a successful device in the past to cement the anti-establishment President with his followers.
But a new CNN/SSRS poll Wednesday finds increasing overall concern about Trump's handling of the coronavirus crisis following an initial spike in his ratings in recent weeks.
A majority of Americans -- 55% -- now say the federal government has done a poor job preventing the spread of the disease in the United States, up eight points in about a week. And 52% say they disapprove of the way Trump is handling the outbreak. As usual, assessments of Trump break on partisan lines. Some 80% of Republicans say the federal government has done a good job, and Trump's approval rating is steady at 44%.
Also Wednesday morning, a prominent model that tracks the coronavirus pandemic in the United States has updated its projections to predict that the nation will reach its peak number of daily Covid-19 deaths in four days and its peak use of resources -- such as hospital beds and ventilators -- in three days.
The model also predicts that far fewer people -- 60,415 -- than have been previously projected will die due to Covid-19 by August.
That model, from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington in Seattle, previously projected on Tuesday that about 82,000 people would die by August and that the country wouldn't reach peak resource use until next week.
A dark day in the fight against Covid-19
In many ways, it was just another inexplicable day of the Trump presidency.
Trump did mention Americans grieving the loss of loved ones in his scripted remarks, but the intensity of Trump's clashes with reporters and litany of outrageous claims seemed incongruous with a backdrop of such human tragedy with more than 1,800 deaths reported in a single day.
The chaos and contradictions coming from the administration do not just raise questions about the White House's current management of the pandemic. They will cause concern because the second stage of the national effort -- reopening the economy and keeping a second wave of infections at bay -- will require focused and subtle leadership that can win the confidence of the nation.
No White House has ever faced the task of ensuring such an expansive economic package is properly implemented and does not fall prey to corruption. There is little in the history of the Trump administration that suggests this will go smoothly.
The President sparked fresh fears about his capacity to properly oversee previous rescue packages and those to come when it emerged he had removed Defense Department Inspector General Glenn Fine from a post monitoring the stimulus funds.
The move prompted Democrats to warn that Trump is seeking to oversee the package himself. Trump had already warned he will ignore a provision in the bill requiring the special inspector general to report to Congress on the handling of the funds.
His dismissal of Fine was the latest swipe against the structures of government meant to hold him accountable -- that peaked with his defiance of the impeachment inquiry.
On Monday, Trump personally attacked a Health and Human Services inspector general who uncovered massive shortages of vital protective equipment at hospitals battling Covid-19.
On Friday night, the President fired the intelligence community inspector general who alerted lawmakers to a report about his pressure on Ukraine to dig up dirt on his Democratic foe Joe Biden.
Trump dismisses Navarro memos
With the pandemic taking a tighter grip on the United States, Trump has taken vigorous steps to cover up for his multiple statements earlier this year downplaying the virus.
The question of his responsibility for a lack of preparation for the crisis intensified on Tuesday when The New York Times revealed that a top economic official, Peter Navarro, had written a memo to the President in January warning coronavirus could become a "full blown pandemic" causing trillions of dollars in economic damage and risking the health of millions of Americans.
The revelation undercut the President's repeated declarations that nobody could have foreseen the consequences of the virus. It also left him in a tricky spot. Either he had to admit that he had seen the warning, or if he said it didn't reach him, he would paint a picture of dysfunction at the White House.
He did neither, seeking to foster misinformation and confusion around the document designed to disguise his own culpability.
The President maintained that he did not see the memo or memos until several days ago.
"I didn't see them. I didn't look for them either," the President said, then argued falsely he had reached the same conclusion as Navarro, citing his decision to stop flights from China. In fact, Trump was downplaying the impact of the virus as recently as early last month.
When asked why he did not level with Americans about the potential impact of the crisis if his unexpressed thoughts aligned with Navarro, Trump said: "I'm not going to go out and start screaming, this could happen."
"I'm a cheerleader for this country. I don't want to create havoc and shock."
Trump nominates a new foil -- the WHO
Unlike the President, the World Health Organization has warned for weeks about the gravity of coronavirus.
The WHO declared a Public Health Emergency of International concern on January 30 after sending a team to Wuhan and to meet Chinese leaders in Beijing.
On the same day, at a rally in Michigan, the President said of the virus, "We think we have it very well under control."
But on Tuesday, the President lashed out at the global health body, claiming it had underplayed the threat of the virus and that he had got it right.
"We're going to put a hold on money spent to the WHO. We're going to put a very powerful hold on it," the President said in his briefing.
"They called it wrong. They missed the call. They could have called it months earlier," Trump said.
"It's a great thing if it works but when they call every shot wrong that's no good," he said, accusing the WHO of being biased towards China, which Republicans have accused of trying to cover up the virus.
Given the President's long timeline of false statements and predictions, that must go down as one of the most audacious comments of his presidency. It was also reflective of his own tendency to nominate an enemy and accuse it of the very transgression that he is accused of perpetrating.
He added to the confusion by denying that he had said that he would halt funding to the WHO -- a move that would be counterproductive in a pandemic and would undermine already compromised perceptions of US leadership on the crisis.
"I'm not saying I'm going to do it, but we are going to look at it," the President said.
The President was also unable to provide much clarity on the chaos afflicting the Navy, following the resignation of Thomas Modly. The acting Navy secretary quit a day after leaked audio revealed he called the ousted commander of the USS Theodore Roosevelt "stupid" in an address to the ship's crew.
This came a little more than a week after Capt. Brett Crozier sent a memo warning of coronavirus spreading among the sailors. The memo leaked and Modly subsequently removed Crozier from command.
"I had no role in it. I don't know him but I've heard he was a very good man," the commander in chief said.
But Trump also rebuked Crozier.
"He didn't have to be Ernest Hemingway. He made a mistake but he had a bad day. And I hate seeing bad things happen."
The NYT writes about a tax break for wealthy real estate developers and investors in the recently passed $2 trillion coronavirus economic stimulus package: “It also includes a potential bonanza for America’s richest real estate investors. Senate Republicans inserted an easy-to-overlook provision on page 203 of the 880-page bill that would permit wealthy investors to use losses generated by real estate to minimize their taxes on profits from things like investments in the stock market. The estimated cost of the change over 10 years is $170 billion. ..... Among the possible beneficiaries of the change are real estate investors in President Trump’s inner circle.”
That bill is here. I think, but am not sure, that this is the sentence on page 203 that's worth about $17 billion/year in tax breaks for oppressed people like the president: “(1) Section 461(l)(2) of the Internal Revenue
2 Code of 1986 is amended by striking ‘‘a net operating loss carryover to the following taxable year under section 172’’ and inserting ‘‘a net operating loss for the taxable year for purposes of determining any net operating loss carryover under section 172(b) for subsequent taxable years.”
'Nuff said.
Suppressing the vote Trump Party style
Wisconsin held its primary yesterday over objections of democrats who wanted to delay the vote. Both the Trump Party-dominated Wisconsin supreme court and the Trump Party-dominated US supreme court said that the vote must go on as scheduled. To deal with the coronavirus threat, the city of Milwaukee reduced the number of polling stations from 180 to five. Milwaukee is where about 70% of the state’s African American residents live.
The NYT writes this about the electoral travesty: “In Milwaukee — where the number of polling stations was reduced from 180 to only five — voters tried to exercise proper social distancing as they waited, in some cases, for more than two hours. But in other areas of the state, including Madison, suburbs like Brookfield, and more rural areas like Beloit, the voting process was altered but not totally disrupted, with options that included curbside ballot access and poll locations that were more fully staffed. ..... In Wisconsin, Gov. Tony Evers and his fellow Democrats pushed for a range of changes to the primary process, including rescheduling the election and switching to mail-in voting. But Democrats faced a wall of resistance from Republicans who saw political advantage in leaving existing procedures intact.” ..... To calm people's fears, republican legislative leader Robin Vos, dressed in full protective gear (gown, gloves and mask) told reporters that "you are incredibly safe" to go out and vote. Due to a state supreme court race, the Trump Party was desperate to win this election. They choose to suppress democratic votes as best they could. Vos was the key legislator for forcing the public to engage in at risk voting.
That outrage is another significant Trump Party step toward a corrupt tyranny-oligarchy, single party rule and the total collapse of the rule of law.
Bad campaigner
Shadowproof reports that Joe Biden and his campaign did not say anything about the Trump Party’s strongarm tactics to suppress democratic votes yesterday: “Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden and his campaign never called for the Wisconsin primary to be postponed. In fact, they were silent as Republican judges on the state’s supreme court and the United States Supreme Court issued decisions that forced officials to hold the primary during a deadly coronavirus pandemic. Yet, after voters risked their health on April 7, Biden appeared on CNN’s “Cuomo Prime Time,” and stated, “My gut is we shouldn’t have had the election in the first place, the in-person election,” as if that was his position all along. ..... Conservative judges on the U.S. Supreme Court followed their ruling with a 5-4 decision that overturned a federal court, which gave voters until April 13 to return their absentee ballots. Thousands, if not tens of thousands of residents, did not receive their ballots by election day and were disenfranchised.”
Another blundering, feckless old white male democrat has shown what he’s got. It ain’t much.
The New York Times writes that America is still unable to test for the virus and because of that, some deaths from coronavirus are not being counted. Maybe that is why the president has been sabotaging efforts to get large scale testing capacity up and running. Or, maybe it is just normal Trump administration incompetence. The NYT writes:
“WASHINGTON — A coroner in Indiana wanted to know if the coronavirus had killed a man in early March, but said that her health department denied a test. Paramedics in New York City say that many patients who died at home were never tested for the coronavirus, even if they showed telltale signs of infection.
In Virginia, a funeral director prepared the remains of three people after health workers cautioned her that they each had tested positive for the coronavirus. But only one of the three had the virus noted on the death certificate.
Across the United States, even as coronavirus deaths are being recorded in terrifying numbers — many hundreds each day — the true death toll is likely much higher.
More than 9,400 people with the coronavirus have been reported to have died in this country as of this weekend, but hospital officials, doctors, public health experts and medical examiners say that official counts have failed to capture the true number of Americans dying in this pandemic. The undercount is a result of inconsistent protocols, limited resources and a patchwork of decision making from one state or county to the next.”
The article goes on to describe how a salesman in California got sick, was taken to an urgent care clinic several days later. By then he was so weak he was in a wheelchair. In that sad incident, doctors prescribed antibiotics and a cough syrup and they gave him a chest X-ray. The doctors did not test for coronavirus. A day or two later, his wife found him dead in bed. His wife had repeatedly asked for him to be tested, and the answer was no, no, no. His wife pleaded with the CDC for a test and she hired a company to do an autopsy. Finally, the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health tested the body and, 19 days after he died, they reported that he rested positive for coronavirus.
If his wife had not kept pushing for a test, that death would not have been reported as due to coronavirus.
The US response to this has been incompetent right from the get go and now months later still is incompetent. We still cannot test in the US, despite repeated lies about if from our chronic pathological liar president. This is what Trump Party ideology wants and gets from government, corruption, smug arrogance, incompetence and failure.
Try to look competent: Hide the data
In a related episode of Trump Party arrogance and incompetence, the government is not releasing ethnicity data for coronavirus deaths. Since this data is routinely collected, it is not a matter that the data doesn't exist. The Washington Post writes: “A civil rights group and hundreds of doctors are calling on the federal government to release race and ethnicity data on coronavirus infections and deaths from covid-19, citing reports that the pandemic is affecting African Americans at a disproportionate rate.”
The most obvious reason that death data isn't being released is that someone in government, probably the president, thinks that the data might make the president look bad. Several sources are reporting that African Americans have Contracted and died of coronavirus at a higher rate than other groups. ProPublica writes: “As public health officials watched cases rise in March, too many in the community shrugged off warnings. Rumors and conspiracy theories proliferated on social media, pushing the bogus idea that black people are somehow immune to the disease. And much of the initial focus was on international travel, so those who knew no one returning from Asia or Europe were quick to dismiss the risk.”
A 2 hour video that NOVA produced summarizes the data that shows humans are responsible for climate change. It first aired January 5, 2020. Before viewing this documentary, my analysis and belief about the situation was this:
Chance that climate change is real and mostly caused by humans: ~65%
Chance that the current estimate of the problem is not as bad as experts project: ~15%
Chance that the current estimate of the problem is worse than experts project: ~20%
After viewing this and being Bayesian, my analysis and belief is now this:
Chance that climate change is real and mostly caused by humans: ~77%
Chance that the current estimate of the problem is not as bad as experts project: ~3%
Chance that the current estimate of the problem is worse than experts project: ~20%
The data is presented for a lay audience. The data comes from decades of geology, study of fossils, the environmental record and other sources of information. The evidence this video lays out evidence that cannot be denied. What will be endlessly debated is the interpretation of the data.
Most climate science deniers (~99.9%) will continue to flatly deny expert consensus opinion. But maybe, just maybe one in a thousand will at least start to doubt their own certain knowledge.
Conclusion
Climate science deniers do not have any reasonable shield to defend their beliefs. Those that do cannot rationally defend their positions, unless and only unless they want to take the risk and play Russian Roulette with civilization and maybe human survival. In my opinion, they play the civilization and maybe human survival game with a 3% chance they are right.
As usual, that's just my facts- and logic-based opinion and I am not infallible.
